governance_vote_passage_market_ignorance_long

43

closed trades

37%

win rate

-66.12

total pnl ($)

0.738

weight

7d window — n=22 wr=32% pnl=-76.05 · venues=(unknown) · horizon=— · SL=— · TP=— · class=? in ?

Backtest evidence run: 2026-05-18 20:13:59 (40.1d ago) · src: canon

verdict: REJECT · strict: STRICT-FAIL · batch: acd__restored_27dcbb4f

n: 30 · wr: 30.0% · total_bps: -1226.3 · mean_bps: -40.88 · sharpe: -0.55 · max_dd_bps: -1385.8

gate: min_trades=— min_wr=— min_total_bps=— min_sharpe=— effective_days=—

time	sym	side	entry→exit	pnl	close
06-24 16:48	ETH	Buy	1639.76→1608.93	-9.84	stop_loss
06-24 15:44	ETH	Buy	1655.97→1624.92	-9.82	stop_loss
06-24 15:41	ETH	Buy	1659.47→1628.42	-9.79	stop_loss
06-24 13:48	ETH	Buy	1671.47→1640.22	-9.80	stop_loss
06-24 11:51	ETH	Buy	1673.67→1681.03	+1.74	timeout
06-24 09:39	ETH	Buy	1667.47→1666.53	-0.74	timeout
06-24 07:33	ETH	Buy	1677.07→1672.73	-1.76	timeout
06-24 05:17	ETH	Buy	1661.57→1670.93	+2.38	timeout
06-24 03:10	ETH	Buy	1664.37→1662.43	-1.02	timeout
06-24 01:11	ETH	Buy	1658.27→1667.83	+2.43	timeout
06-23 22:56	ETH	Buy	1659.17→1662.83	+0.66	timeout
06-23 20:34	ETH	Buy	1662.97→1662.23	-0.66	timeout
06-23 18:29	ETH	Buy	1657.47→1657.13	-0.54	timeout
06-23 16:24	ETH	Buy	1653.47→1661.73	+2.05	timeout
06-23 14:25	ETH	Buy	1644.46→1659.13	+4.03	timeout
06-23 08:17	ETH	Buy	1690.77→1659	-9.83	stop_loss
06-23 06:21	ETH	Buy	1720.17→1687.59	-9.91	stop_loss
06-23 06:20	ETH	Buy	1727.37→1695.08	-9.77	stop_loss
06-23 06:18	ETH	Buy	1733.77→1701.28	-9.81	stop_loss
06-23 04:44	ETH	Buy	1718.37→1722.43	+0.73	timeout
06-23 01:53	ETH	Buy	1733.87→1724.83	-3.06	timeout
06-22 23:50	ETH	Buy	1737.17→1725.83	-3.71	timeout
05-20 19:37	ETH	Buy	2118.71→2136.59	+3.76	timeout
05-20 13:46	ETH	Buy	2130.71→2122.99	-2.29	timeout
05-20 11:45	ETH	Buy	2125.71→2125.69	-0.49	timeout
05-20 09:46	ETH	Buy	2110.81→2129.59	+3.98	timeout
05-20 07:45	ETH	Buy	2106.91→2132.09	+5.51	timeout
05-20 05:45	ETH	Buy	2114.01→2125.29	+2.20	timeout
05-20 03:44	ETH	Buy	2117.61→2111.19	-1.97	timeout
05-20 01:45	ETH	Buy	2114.21→2106.49	-2.28	timeout
05-19 23:44	ETH	Buy	2116.61→2114.29	-1.02	timeout
05-19 20:55	ETH	Buy	2101.81→2117.29	+3.19	timeout
05-19 18:54	ETH	Buy	2117.51→2115.79	-0.89	timeout
05-19 16:54	ETH	Buy	2114.31→2119.39	+0.71	timeout
05-19 14:48	ETH	Buy	2134.91→2095.14	-9.78	stop_loss
05-19 12:50	ETH	Buy	2136.91→2116.69	-5.18	timeout
05-19 10:49	ETH	Buy	2134.11→2112.19	-5.58	timeout
05-19 08:49	ETH	Buy	2125.01→2136.89	+2.33	timeout
05-19 06:48	ETH	Buy	2139.01→2136.99	-0.93	timeout
05-19 04:38	ETH	Buy	2139.51→2132.09	-2.19	timeout
05-19 02:37	ETH	Buy	2124.41→2126.19	-0.04	timeout
05-19 00:38	ETH	Buy	2087.31→2137.39	+11.54	timeout
05-18 22:37	ETH	Buy	2097.51→2138.79	+9.35	timeout

Paper (trades.jsonl)

43

closed

37%

win rate

-66.12

total pnl ($)

-30.6 bps

avg bps net

Live (dry_run=0)

0

closed

—

win rate

—

total pnl ($)

—

avg bps net

Live: 0 trades, insufficient sample

symbol	n	wr	net bps	total pnl ($)
ETH	43	37%	-30.6	-66.12

time	sym	side	reason
no bounces recorded

time	sym	side	pnl	narrative
no postmortems

More…

Cumulative P&L (last 43 closed)

Last 100 trades

Paper vs Live

Per-symbol breakdown (paper)

Recent bounces (last 20 of 0)

Postmortem feed (last 10)