57
closed trades
44%
win rate
-0.49
total pnl ($)
1.287
weight
7d window — n=5 wr=40% pnl=+5.23
· venues=(unknown)
· horizon=—
· SL=—
· TP=—
· class=? in ?
Backtest evidence
run: 2026-05-18 20:58:28 (40.5d ago) · src: canon
verdict: REJECT
· strict: STRICT-FAIL
· batch:
aew__restored_5df97e73
n: 6
· wr: 33.3%
· total_bps: -28.7
· mean_bps: -4.78
· sharpe: -0.07
· max_dd_bps: -148.9
gate: min_trades=— min_wr=— min_total_bps=— min_sharpe=— effective_days=—
Cumulative P&L (last 57 closed)
Last 100 trades
| time | sym | side | entry→exit | pnl | close |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-28 00:20 | ETH | Sell | 1575.14→1576.06 | -0.38 | timeout |
| 06-27 10:12 | ETH | Buy | 1581.86→1582.64 | -0.10 | timeout |
| 06-24 13:22 | BTC | Sell | 62815.9→61848.1 | +3.63 | take_profit |
| 06-22 11:49 | ETH | Buy | 1746.77→1773.82 | +3.64 | take_profit |
| 06-21 22:05 | BTC | Buy | 64087.2→63744.8 | -1.56 | timeout |
| 06-20 23:08 | ETH | Sell | 1732.93→1741.87 | -1.51 | timeout |
| 06-20 16:25 | BTC | Sell | 63920.8→64035.2 | -0.67 | timeout |
| 06-20 02:09 | BTC | Sell | 63659.8→63471.2 | +0.52 | timeout |
| 06-19 12:09 | ETH | Buy | 1689.47→1692.13 | +0.17 | timeout |
| 06-19 10:17 | BTC | Sell | 62570.9→62426.1 | +0.35 | timeout |
| 06-19 02:25 | BTC | Sell | 63021.8→63000.1 | -0.14 | timeout |
| 06-18 22:34 | BTC | Sell | 63072.8→62716.1 | +1.19 | timeout |
| 06-18 15:37 | BTC | Sell | 63939.8→62914.1 | +3.77 | take_profit |
| 06-18 10:49 | ETH | Buy | 1746.47→1741.43 | -0.95 | timeout |
| 06-18 00:20 | BTC | Sell | 64230.8→64630.2 | -1.78 | timeout |
| 06-17 10:24 | ETH | Buy | 1763.18→1772.52 | +1.10 | timeout |
| 06-16 16:33 | BTC | Buy | 65650.3→65700.7 | -0.04 | timeout |
| 06-16 13:11 | ETH | Buy | 1817.68→1793.62 | -3.53 | stop_loss |
| 06-15 11:25 | ETH | Sell | 1736.03→1759.05 | -3.54 | stop_loss |
| 06-14 19:40 | BTC | Sell | 63755.8→63789.2 | -0.35 | timeout |
| 06-14 01:11 | ETH | Buy | 1679.67→1684.63 | +0.51 | timeout |
| 06-12 08:57 | BTC | Buy | 62987.1→63447.8 | +1.60 | timeout |
| 06-11 11:57 | ETH | Buy | 1655.77→1666.53 | +1.40 | timeout |
| 06-10 09:21 | BTC | Buy | 61658.1→60846.5 | -3.51 | stop_loss |
| 06-10 09:14 | ETH | Sell | 1639.24→1614.06 | +3.61 | take_profit |
| 06-09 18:35 | BTC | Sell | 61400.9→61731.1 | -1.57 | timeout |
| 06-08 01:15 | ETH | Sell | 1704.63→1678.17 | +3.66 | take_profit |
| 06-07 19:15 | ETH | Buy | 1632.96→1611.33 | -3.53 | stop_loss |
| 06-06 12:40 | BTC | Buy | 60662→60700 | -0.07 | timeout |
| 06-06 12:40 | ETH | Buy | 1552.46→1556.74 | +0.47 | timeout |
| 06-02 11:08 | ETH | Buy | 1974.1→1980.7 | +0.61 | timeout |
| 06-01 11:18 | ETH | Buy | 1986.3→1984.3 | -0.48 | timeout |
| 05-29 19:19 | ETH | Sell | 2035.7→2004.4 | +3.62 | take_profit |
| 05-29 10:21 | BTC | Buy | 73748.7→73639.3 | -0.60 | timeout |
| 05-28 10:22 | BTC | Buy | 73313.7→73353.3 | -0.09 | timeout |
| 05-27 15:06 | BTC | Sell | 75258.2→74997.7 | +0.64 | timeout |
| 05-26 22:56 | ETH | Buy | 2073.31→2066.99 | -0.99 | timeout |
| 05-26 10:36 | ETH | Buy | 2096.21→2128.69 | +3.64 | take_profit |
| 05-25 20:58 | ETH | Buy | 2124.01→2107.49 | -2.17 | timeout |
| 05-25 19:53 | BTC | Buy | 77625.9→77421.1 | -0.89 | timeout |
| 05-25 11:18 | ETH | Buy | 2117.51→2114.09 | -0.63 | timeout |
| 05-24 21:30 | ETH | Buy | 2100.51→2088.59 | -1.65 | timeout |
| 05-24 15:50 | BTC | Buy | 76469.8→76399.2 | -0.46 | timeout |
| 05-24 15:47 | ETH | Buy | 2099.21→2094.19 | -0.83 | timeout |
| 05-24 02:58 | BTC | Sell | 76867.2→76813.8 | -0.05 | timeout |
| 05-23 07:50 | ETH | Buy | 2036.5→2009.79 | -3.50 | stop_loss |
| 05-22 21:20 | BTC | Buy | 75747.8→75996.2 | +0.59 | timeout |
| 05-22 18:29 | BTC | Sell | 76964.2→76794.8 | +0.33 | timeout |
| 05-22 15:10 | ETH | Sell | 2127.49→2120.81 | +0.56 | timeout |
| 05-21 20:25 | ETH | Buy | 2130.91→2139.39 | +0.77 | timeout |
| 05-21 09:23 | ETH | Buy | 2133.71→2138.39 | +0.32 | timeout |
| 05-20 22:55 | BTC | Buy | 77621.9→77435.1 | -0.83 | timeout |
| 05-20 15:00 | ETH | Buy | 2128.71→2134.69 | +0.47 | timeout |
| 05-20 13:07 | BTC | Buy | 77431.9→77497.1 | -0.02 | timeout |
| 05-20 09:26 | BTC | Buy | 77232.9→77396.1 | +0.30 | timeout |
| 05-19 02:46 | BTC | Buy | 77126.9→76760.2 | -1.42 | timeout |
| 05-16 22:15 | ETH | Buy | 2179.62→2180.58 | -0.12 | timeout |
Paper vs Live
Paper (trades.jsonl)
57
closed
44%
win rate
-0.49
total pnl ($)
-0.3 bps
avg bps net
Live (dry_run=0)
0
closed
—
win rate
—
total pnl ($)
—
avg bps net
Live: 0 trades, insufficient sample
Per-symbol breakdown (paper)
| symbol | n | wr | net bps | total pnl ($) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ETH | 30 | 50% | +0.9 | +0.63 |
| BTC | 27 | 37% | -1.6 | -1.12 |
Recent bounces (last 20 of 2)
| time | sym | side | reason |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06-28 06:37 | ETH | Buy | circuit_breaker |
| 06-27 22:48 | ETH | Sell | circuit_breaker |
Postmortem feed (last 10)
| time | sym | side | pnl | narrative |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| no postmortems | ||||