gas_btc_mempool_backlog_accumulation_short · strategy

156

closed trades

46%

win rate

+16.96

total pnl ($)

1.316

weight

7d window — n=41 wr=44% pnl=+15.53 · venues=(unknown) · horizon=— · SL=— · TP=— · class=? in ?

Backtest evidence run: 2026-05-17 01:32:41 (41.3d ago) · src: canon

verdict: REJECT · strict: STRICT-FAIL · batch: restored_gas_btc_mempool_backlog_accumulation_short

n: 62 · wr: 37.1% · total_bps: -361.4 · mean_bps: -5.83 · sharpe: -0.16 · max_dd_bps: -612.5

gate: min_trades=— min_wr=— min_total_bps=— min_sharpe=— effective_days=—

Cumulative P&L (last 100 closed)

Last 100 trades

time	sym	side	entry→exit	pnl	close
06-27 06:50	BTC	Sell	60284→60404	-1.01	timeout
06-27 03:47	BTC	Sell	59948→60296	-2.35	timeout
06-26 23:01	BTC	Sell	59689→60022	-2.26	timeout
06-26 19:13	BTC	Sell	60154→59988	+0.66	timeout
06-26 15:39	BTC	Sell	59730→60483.2	-4.73	stop_loss
06-26 09:44	BTC	Sell	60602→59967	+3.35	timeout
06-26 05:56	BTC	Sell	60078→59898	+0.73	timeout
06-26 02:13	BTC	Sell	59784→58706.9	+5.99	take_profit
06-25 21:35	BTC	Sell	59244→59991	-4.73	stop_loss
06-25 18:04	BTC	Sell	59504→59640	-1.12	timeout
06-25 13:44	BTC	Sell	61135.9→60041	+5.95	take_profit
06-25 11:55	BTC	Sell	61674.9→61216.1	+2.29	timeout
06-25 08:51	BTC	Sell	61749.9→61757.1	-0.36	timeout
06-25 04:05	BTC	Sell	60861→60827	-0.12	timeout
06-24 23:29	BTC	Sell	60832→60947	-0.98	timeout
06-24 17:47	BTC	Sell	60219→59139	+5.96	take_profit
06-24 13:22	BTC	Sell	62897.9→61751.1	+6.07	take_profit
06-24 09:44	BTC	Sell	62642.9→62649.1	-0.35	timeout
06-24 04:34	BTC	Sell	62688.9→62670.1	-0.21	timeout
06-24 01:04	BTC	Sell	62513.9→62912.1	-2.55	timeout
06-23 21:41	BTC	Sell	62312.9→62583.1	-1.83	timeout
06-23 17:15	BTC	Sell	62338.9→62413.1	-0.73	timeout
06-23 13:33	BTC	Sell	62574.9→62345.1	+0.96	timeout
06-23 09:16	BTC	Sell	62976.9→62442.1	+2.64	timeout
06-23 04:27	BTC	Sell	64168.8→63948.2	+0.89	timeout
06-23 00:10	BTC	Sell	64314.8→63933.2	+1.76	timeout
06-22 19:50	BTC	Sell	64503.8→64367.2	+0.43	timeout
06-22 14:40	BTC	Sell	65076.7→64911.2	+0.58	timeout
06-22 11:21	BTC	Sell	64116.8→64269.2	-1.14	timeout
06-22 07:57	BTC	Sell	64183.8→64172.2	-0.25	timeout
06-22 04:40	BTC	Sell	64508.8→63983.2	+2.54	timeout
06-22 00:36	BTC	Sell	63582.8→63738.2	-1.17	timeout
06-21 19:09	BTC	Sell	64171.8→64134.2	-0.11	timeout
06-21 16:06	BTC	Sell	64094.8→64153.2	-0.64	timeout
06-21 12:20	BTC	Sell	64265.8→63992.2	+1.17	timeout
06-21 07:39	BTC	Sell	64317.8→64204.2	+0.30	timeout
06-21 02:35	BTC	Sell	64238.8→64227.2	-0.25	timeout
06-20 20:41	BTC	Sell	63819.8→63850.2	-0.48	timeout
06-20 16:58	BTC	Sell	63932.8→63978.2	-0.56	timeout
06-20 12:48	BTC	Sell	63587.8→63583.2	-0.29	timeout
06-20 08:50	BTC	Sell	63724.8→63402.2	+1.46	timeout
06-20 02:30	BTC	Sell	63570.8→63419.2	+0.52	timeout
06-19 22:52	BTC	Sell	63167.8→63310.2	-1.10	timeout
06-19 19:01	BTC	Sell	62905.9→63059.2	-1.17	timeout
06-19 13:45	BTC	Sell	62534.9→63324.8	-4.74	stop_loss
06-19 10:46	BTC	Sell	62618.9→62393.1	+0.94	timeout
06-19 07:14	BTC	Sell	62640.9→62796.1	-1.19	timeout
06-19 01:29	BTC	Sell	62828.9→62905.1	-0.75	timeout
06-18 20:30	BTC	Sell	62778.9→63104.2	-2.14	timeout
06-18 15:39	BTC	Sell	63988.8→62843.1	+5.95	take_profit
06-18 12:00	BTC	Sell	64158.8→63954.2	+0.80	timeout
06-18 07:14	BTC	Sell	63870.8→63998.2	-1.01	timeout
06-18 04:01	BTC	Sell	64574.8→64241.2	+1.49	timeout
06-17 22:17	BTC	Sell	64235.8→64179.2	-0.01	timeout
06-17 18:09	BTC	Sell	65802.7→65283.3	+2.45	timeout
06-17 15:05	BTC	Sell	64998.7→65151.3	-1.14	timeout
06-17 12:03	BTC	Sell	64831.8→64761.2	+0.07	timeout
06-17 08:51	BTC	Sell	65617.7→64933.2	+3.34	timeout
06-17 04:29	BTC	Sell	66046.7→65836.3	+0.80	timeout
06-17 00:15	BTC	Sell	65811.7→65697.3	+0.30	timeout
06-16 21:10	BTC	Sell	65716.7→65870.3	-1.13	timeout
06-16 17:41	BTC	Sell	65850.7→65718.3	+0.39	timeout
06-16 12:57	BTC	Sell	66474.7→66433.3	-0.09	timeout
06-16 09:33	BTC	Sell	66356.7→66600.3	-1.60	timeout
06-16 06:01	BTC	Sell	66139.7→66095.3	-0.08	timeout
06-16 02:56	BTC	Sell	66267.7→65692.3	+2.72	timeout
06-15 21:32	BTC	Sell	66625.7→66410.3	+0.82	timeout
06-15 18:13	BTC	Sell	67196.6→66725.3	+2.15	timeout
06-15 15:13	BTC	Sell	66635.7→66604.3	-0.15	timeout
06-15 11:14	BTC	Sell	65662.7→65936.3	-1.77	timeout
06-15 07:53	BTC	Sell	65795.7→65723.3	+0.07	timeout
06-15 04:16	BTC	Sell	65737.7→65692.3	-0.07	timeout
06-15 00:41	BTC	Sell	65330.7→65486.3	-1.15	timeout
06-14 20:37	BTC	Sell	63733.8→64016.2	-1.86	timeout
06-14 15:38	BTC	Sell	64266.8→64042.2	+0.91	timeout
06-14 12:16	BTC	Sell	64497.8→64467.2	-0.15	timeout
06-14 09:16	BTC	Sell	64254.8→64387.2	-1.03	timeout
06-14 05:21	BTC	Sell	64501.8→64329.2	+0.62	timeout
06-14 01:15	BTC	Sell	64423.8→64638.2	-1.48	timeout
06-13 21:08	BTC	Sell	64136.8→64281.2	-1.10	timeout
06-13 16:03	BTC	Sell	64144.8→64125.2	-0.21	timeout
06-13 12:00	BTC	Sell	63712.8→63949.2	-1.61	timeout
06-13 06:58	BTC	Sell	63481.8→63706.2	-1.55	timeout
06-13 03:55	BTC	Sell	63782.8→63535.2	+1.04	timeout
06-12 18:08	BTC	Sell	63735.8→63721.2	-0.23	timeout
06-12 14:48	BTC	Sell	63462.8→63506.2	-0.55	timeout
06-12 09:22	BTC	Sell	62974.9→63619.2	-3.89	timeout
06-12 05:35	BTC	Sell	63458.8→63441.2	-0.21	timeout
06-12 00:31	BTC	Sell	63602.8→63573.2	-0.14	timeout
06-11 21:18	BTC	Sell	63634.8→63497.2	+0.45	timeout
06-11 16:52	BTC	Sell	62935.9→62586.1	+1.63	timeout
06-11 13:34	BTC	Sell	63149.8→62740.1	+1.96	timeout
06-11 08:04	BTC	Sell	62526.9→62722.1	-1.40	timeout
06-11 03:25	BTC	Sell	62146.9→62069.1	+0.13	timeout
06-10 23:04	BTC	Sell	61736.9→61332.1	+1.98	timeout
06-10 19:54	BTC	Sell	61881.9→61910.1	-0.47	timeout
06-10 16:59	BTC	Sell	62149.9→62201.1	-0.60	timeout
06-10 12:33	BTC	Sell	60987→61757.9	-4.74	stop_loss
06-10 10:29	BTC	Sell	61485.9→61305.1	+0.71	timeout
06-09 21:11	BTC	Sell	61783.9→62023.1	-1.67	timeout

Paper vs Live

Paper (trades.jsonl)

156

closed

46%

win rate

+16.96

total pnl ($)

+3.1 bps

avg bps net

Live (dry_run=0)

closed

—

win rate

—

total pnl ($)

—

avg bps net

Live: 0 trades, insufficient sample

Per-symbol breakdown (paper)

symbol	n	wr	net bps	total pnl ($)
BTC	156	46%	+3.1	+16.96

Recent bounces (last 20 of 3)

time	sym	side	reason
06-26 17:28	BTC	Sell	stale_intent
06-25 16:20	BTC	Sell	stale_intent
06-24 12:10	BTC	Sell	stale_intent

Postmortem feed (last 10)

time	sym	side	pnl	narrative
no postmortems

More…