424
closed trades
41%
win rate
-544.51
total pnl ($)
0.581
weight
7d window — n=77 wr=40% pnl=-108.35
· venues=(unknown)
· horizon=—
· SL=—
· TP=—
· class=? in ?
Cumulative P&L (last 100 closed)
Last 100 trades
| time | sym | side | entry→exit | pnl | close |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-26 16:07 | INJ | Buy | 4.59155→4.73692 | +15.37 | take_profit |
| 06-26 15:09 | ETH | Sell | 1547.15→1576.15 | -9.82 | stop_loss |
| 06-26 14:00 | ADA | Sell | 0.143214→0.146059 | -10.38 | stop_loss |
| 06-26 13:59 | APT | Sell | 0.584454→0.596247 | -10.55 | stop_loss |
| 06-26 13:57 | SOL | Buy | 68.5963→70.7744 | +15.41 | take_profit |
| 06-26 10:52 | ATOM | Buy | 1.62671→1.5944 | -10.40 | stop_loss |
| 06-26 10:39 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0750268→0.0736018 | -9.97 | stop_loss |
| 06-26 10:00 | AVAX | Buy | 6.26287→6.14389 | -9.95 | stop_loss |
| 06-26 07:17 | ARB | Sell | 0.0727118→0.0741456 | -10.29 | stop_loss |
| 06-26 06:44 | OP | Buy | 0.103766→0.107033 | +15.29 | take_profit |
| 06-26 06:22 | APT | Sell | 0.582054→0.593645 | -10.42 | stop_loss |
| 06-26 06:22 | SOL | Buy | 66.639→68.7587 | +15.44 | take_profit |
| 06-26 03:56 | ETH | Sell | 1534.85→1563.64 | -9.83 | stop_loss |
| 06-26 03:56 | ADA | Sell | 0.139925→0.142587 | -9.97 | stop_loss |
| 06-26 02:13 | LTC | Buy | 41.0633→40.2468 | -10.39 | stop_loss |
| 06-26 02:12 | SUI | Buy | 0.677659→0.664771 | -9.97 | stop_loss |
| 06-26 01:17 | APT | Buy | 0.592148→0.592052 | -0.45 | timeout |
| 06-26 00:31 | ETH | Sell | 1567.84→1567.66 | -0.41 | timeout |
| 06-25 21:32 | SOL | Sell | 65.7221→66.9595 | -9.87 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 20:27 | BNB | Buy | 552.858→556.701 | +2.99 | timeout |
| 06-25 17:15 | DOGE | Sell | 0.0732357→0.074666 | -10.21 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 16:55 | INJ | Buy | 4.18425→4.10392 | -10.07 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 15:34 | ATOM | Buy | 1.56549→1.6156 | +15.57 | take_profit |
| 06-25 13:48 | ARB | Sell | 0.0756611→0.0731883 | +15.89 | take_profit |
| 06-25 13:46 | OP | Buy | 0.104486→0.102483 | -10.03 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 13:45 | ETH | Sell | 1638.74→1586.06 | +15.61 | take_profit |
| 06-25 13:38 | XRP | Sell | 1.08613→1.06587 | +8.86 | timeout |
| 06-25 11:34 | INJ | Sell | 4.26733→4.18555 | +9.16 | timeout |
| 06-25 11:33 | ATOM | Sell | 1.67128→1.62871 | +12.20 | timeout |
| 06-25 06:56 | BTC | Sell | 60694→61828 | -9.80 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 06:56 | APT | Sell | 0.623844→0.635777 | -10.01 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 05:07 | SOL | Sell | 67.6119→68.8868 | -9.89 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 05:07 | ARB | Sell | 0.0754911→0.0769877 | -10.36 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 03:17 | ATOM | Sell | 1.65189→1.64011 | +3.04 | timeout |
| 06-25 02:41 | INJ | Buy | 4.26317→4.18186 | -10.02 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 02:24 | LINK | Buy | 7.37004→7.41355 | +2.46 | timeout |
| 06-25 02:17 | SUI | Sell | 0.684189→0.678059 | +4.00 | timeout |
| 06-24 20:19 | ETH | Sell | 1585.24→1614.97 | -9.85 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 20:06 | ADA | Sell | 0.140415→0.143117 | -10.07 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 20:01 | SOL | Sell | 65.7081→66.9535 | -9.93 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 20:01 | APT | Sell | 0.602549→0.614561 | -10.42 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 17:20 | BNB | Sell | 569.448→551.388 | +15.36 | take_profit |
| 06-24 16:51 | ATOM | Buy | 1.63441→1.6031 | -10.01 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 16:51 | AVAX | Sell | 6.36281→6.16154 | +15.39 | take_profit |
| 06-24 16:51 | BTC | Sell | 61886.9→59909 | +15.50 | take_profit |
| 06-24 13:23 | APT | Buy | 0.634259→0.622033 | -10.08 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 13:23 | SUI | Buy | 0.696624→0.683317 | -9.98 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 13:22 | OP | Buy | 0.101565→0.0994753 | -10.75 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 11:49 | SOL | Sell | 68.8517→70.1486 | -9.87 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 07:45 | BTC | Buy | 62942.1→62665.9 | -2.66 | timeout |
| 06-24 07:39 | LINK | Buy | 7.65391→7.6023 | -3.81 | timeout |
| 06-24 07:38 | ADA | Sell | 0.154001→0.150408 | +11.21 | timeout |
| 06-24 07:38 | ARB | Sell | 0.0792002→0.0783796 | +4.71 | timeout |
| 06-23 23:45 | ARB | Sell | 0.0784004→0.0788897 | -3.54 | timeout |
| 06-23 23:40 | LINK | Buy | 7.6006→7.6066 | -0.02 | timeout |
| 06-23 23:40 | ADA | Sell | 0.150612→0.150948 | -1.56 | timeout |
| 06-23 23:39 | LTC | Sell | 42.1735→42.0755 | +0.69 | timeout |
| 06-23 15:28 | LINK | Buy | 7.55129→7.55921 | +0.11 | timeout |
| 06-23 15:28 | ETH | Sell | 1652.03→1653.27 | -0.84 | timeout |
| 06-23 15:27 | INJ | Sell | 4.58235→4.53383 | +4.79 | timeout |
| 06-23 14:55 | LTC | Buy | 43.4769→42.642 | -10.06 | stop_loss |
| 06-23 06:21 | LTC | Buy | 44.6122→43.7382 | -10.25 | stop_loss |
| 06-23 06:20 | BNB | Buy | 591.508→580.105 | -10.05 | stop_loss |
| 06-23 06:18 | ETH | Buy | 1732.97→1700.58 | -9.78 | stop_loss |
| 06-23 04:41 | INJ | Sell | 4.7966→4.63336 | +16.58 | take_profit |
| 06-22 05:41 | BNB | Buy | 584.726→591.852 | +5.63 | timeout |
| 06-22 05:41 | ETH | Buy | 1708.17→1738.23 | +8.34 | timeout |
| 06-22 05:41 | LTC | Buy | 44.4921→45.0527 | +5.84 | timeout |
| 06-22 00:58 | ARB | Sell | 0.0817196→0.0833325 | -10.33 | stop_loss |
| 06-21 12:14 | BNB | Buy | 589.357→585.494 | -3.77 | timeout |
| 06-21 12:14 | ETH | Buy | 1734.57→1721.03 | -4.35 | timeout |
| 06-21 12:14 | SOL | Buy | 73.067→73.116 | -0.15 | timeout |
| 06-21 12:13 | LTC | Buy | 44.5241→45.0067 | +4.98 | timeout |
| 06-20 11:07 | ETH | Buy | 1716.17→1726.93 | +2.65 | timeout |
| 06-20 11:07 | LTC | Buy | 44.046→44.2259 | +1.59 | timeout |
| 06-20 11:06 | ATOM | Sell | 1.79715→1.78795 | +2.05 | timeout |
| 06-20 11:06 | BTC | Buy | 63548.2→63621.8 | +0.12 | timeout |
| 06-19 17:21 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0824566→0.0830952 | +3.41 | timeout |
| 06-19 13:51 | LTC | Buy | 43.4309→43.959 | +5.63 | timeout |
| 06-19 13:51 | INJ | Buy | 5.06457→5.14101 | +7.10 | timeout |
| 06-19 12:51 | AVAX | Sell | 5.9895→6.10458 | -10.09 | stop_loss |
| 06-19 09:42 | SOL | Sell | 68.9697→68.4463 | +3.33 | timeout |
| 06-19 05:57 | LTC | Buy | 43.875→43.5351 | -4.33 | timeout |
| 06-19 04:01 | AVAX | Sell | 6.31332→6.11293 | +15.39 | take_profit |
| 06-19 03:15 | LINK | Buy | 8.0199→7.8641 | -10.17 | stop_loss |
| 06-19 02:12 | INJ | Buy | 5.40585→5.30192 | -10.07 | stop_loss |
| 06-18 22:08 | LINK | Buy | 7.83236→7.97451 | +8.60 | timeout |
| 06-18 22:08 | AVAX | Sell | 6.30202→6.29327 | +0.23 | timeout |
| 06-18 22:07 | LTC | Buy | 43.3498→43.7281 | +3.88 | timeout |
| 06-18 20:10 | INJ | Buy | 5.15049→5.31327 | +15.38 | take_profit |
| 06-17 22:33 | BNB | Buy | 604.551→599.31 | -4.81 | timeout |
| 06-17 19:28 | ETH | Buy | 1777.28→1744.05 | -9.80 | stop_loss |
| 06-17 18:05 | LTC | Buy | 45.8074→44.9363 | -9.96 | stop_loss |
| 06-17 18:03 | OP | Buy | 0.110158→0.107969 | -10.39 | stop_loss |
| 06-17 08:45 | LTC | Buy | 45.7934→45.3447 | -5.35 | timeout |
| 06-17 08:44 | BTC | Buy | 65831.3→64887.8 | -7.62 | timeout |
| 06-17 08:39 | ETH | Buy | 1794.68→1760.94 | -9.82 | stop_loss |
| 06-17 08:31 | ATOM | Buy | 2.0031→1.96383 | -10.13 | stop_loss |
| 06-16 14:32 | BTC | Buy | 66603.3→65365 | -9.76 | stop_loss |
| 06-16 14:16 | DOGE | Buy | 0.08786→0.0871632 | -4.41 | timeout |
Paper vs Live
Paper (trades.jsonl)
424
closed
41%
win rate
-544.51
total pnl ($)
-25.6 bps
avg bps net
Live (dry_run=0)
0
closed
—
win rate
—
total pnl ($)
—
avg bps net
Live: 0 trades, insufficient sample
Per-symbol breakdown (paper)
| symbol | n | wr | net bps | total pnl ($) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ETH | 46 | 41% | -11.9 | -27.70 |
| ATOM | 43 | 40% | -42.8 | -91.84 |
| BTC | 42 | 40% | -20.9 | -44.45 |
| BNB | 37 | 41% | -44.7 | -83.12 |
| LTC | 36 | 42% | -36.5 | -65.78 |
| AVAX | 32 | 44% | -22.1 | -35.44 |
| OP | 32 | 34% | -63.9 | -102.13 |
| ARB | 28 | 36% | -51.6 | -72.56 |
| SUI | 23 | 39% | -26.7 | -30.85 |
| SOL | 23 | 43% | +19.4 | +21.92 |
| INJ | 18 | 67% | +113.1 | +101.55 |
| XRP | 18 | 44% | -0.2 | -0.31 |
| ADA | 12 | 42% | +6.8 | +3.91 |
| DOGE | 11 | 18% | -118.2 | -65.05 |
| LINK | 11 | 36% | -67.9 | -37.35 |
| APT | 10 | 20% | -92.0 | -46.00 |
| NEAR | 2 | 100% | +307.1 | +30.70 |
Recent bounces (last 20 of 26)
| time | sym | side | reason |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06-26 15:19 | INJ | Buy | stale_intent |
| 06-26 15:19 | LTC | Buy | stale_intent |
| 06-26 15:19 | BNB | Buy | stale_intent |
| 06-26 11:54 | APT | Sell | trigger_already_opened |
| 06-26 11:54 | SOL | Buy | below_min_notional_skip |
| 06-26 07:39 | ATOM | Buy | trigger_already_opened |
| 06-25 21:44 | LTC | Buy | below_min_notional_skip |
| 06-25 20:33 | SUI | Buy | below_min_notional_skip |
| 06-25 19:21 | APT | Buy | below_min_notional_skip |
| 06-25 14:38 | BNB | Buy | below_min_notional_skip |
| 06-25 14:21 | INJ | Buy | below_min_notional_skip |
| 06-25 12:30 | OP | Buy | below_min_notional_skip |
| 06-25 03:17 | BTC | Sell | trigger_already_opened |
| 06-24 21:21 | INJ | Buy | below_min_notional_skip |
| 06-24 21:20 | ATOM | Sell | trigger_already_opened |
| 06-24 20:38 | LINK | Buy | below_min_notional_skip |
| 06-24 19:21 | ADA | Sell | trigger_already_opened |
| 06-24 19:21 | APT | Sell | trigger_already_opened |
| 06-24 19:21 | SOL | Sell | trigger_already_opened |
| 06-24 14:35 | BNB | Sell | stale_intent |
Postmortem feed (last 10)
| time | sym | side | pnl | narrative |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-06 06:37 | BTC | Sell | -10.42 | The market was in a tight consolidation phase with neutral funding rates and stable on-chain interest, creating a low-volatility environment. The short thesis failed because price action immediately breached the stop-loss level, indicating that the anticipa… |
| 05-04 22:04 | ADA | Sell | -1.36 | The market was in a volatile uptrend with strong 7-day momentum while funding rates remained neutral. The thesis failed because the trade was closed due to a timeout before the anticipated reversal could materialize. |
| 05-04 21:11 | BTC | Sell | -0.79 | The market was in a neutral consolidation phase with flat funding rates and modest weekly gains for Bitcoin. The trade failed because the position was closed due to a timeout, preventing any profit from being realized despite the lack of immediate direction… |
| 05-04 21:01 | ETH | Buy | -4.95 | The market was in a low-volatility consolidation phase with neutral funding rates and flat momentum across both ETH and BTC. The trade failed because the anticipated breakout never materialized, resulting in a timeout exit due to the price failing to reach … |
| 05-02 13:02 | ADA | Buy | -0.90 | ADA was flat to slightly negative across all timeframes (down 0.13% on the 1h, -0.62% on 24h) with Bitcoin and Ethereum both modestly positive, indicating weak relative momentum in the ADA pair at close. The funding momentum signal (HL streak=3, last=+0.006… |
| 05-02 12:44 | BTC | Sell | -0.61 | # Trade Analysis Bitcoin's funding rate remained deeply negative (−0.31 bps) with elevated open interest of $4.06B, indicating persistent bearish sentiment and short crowding at the close. The trade's thesis failed because the funding rate did not continue… |
| 05-02 10:38 | ETH | Buy | -0.46 | The ETH market was essentially flat at close ($2303.66), with a slight 1-hour decline of -0.13% and mild 24-hour gains of +1.03%, reflecting consolidation after the 7-day downtrend of -0.77%. The funding-momentum signal that triggered the buy (a +0.0077% po… |
| 05-02 02:40 | BTC | Sell | -2.39 | At close, Bitcoin's funding rate had compressed to -0.0073% with $4.2B in open interest, indicating the negative funding momentum that drove the short signal had largely dissipated. The trade's thesis failed because the 38-candle streak of negative funding … |
| 05-02 02:37 | ADA | Buy | -3.43 | # Trade Analysis: funding-momentum-ADA **Market Context at Close:** ADA was consolidating in a micro-downtrend (1h=-0.14%, 7d=-0.77%) while Bitcoin posted modest gains (+2.22% 24h), indicating a divergence in altcoin momentum; funding rates had turned slig… |
| 05-02 02:37 | ETH | Buy | -0.64 | Ethereum was trading sideways to slightly down in the hour before close ($2297.11, -0.05% 1h), with funding rates having compressed sharply from the +0.73% signal trigger to +0.00623%, indicating the leverage crowd had already unwound their longs. The fundi… |