536
closed trades
43%
win rate
-258.21
total pnl ($)
0.858
weight
7d window — n=118 wr=41% pnl=-60.72
· venues=(unknown)
· horizon=—
· SL=—
· TP=—
· class=? in ?
Backtest evidence
run: 2026-05-20 00:49:03 (38.7d ago) · src: canon
verdict: REJECT
· strict: STRICT-FAIL
· batch:
amw
n: 94
· wr: 31.9%
· total_bps: -968.4
· mean_bps: -10.30
· sharpe: -0.30
· max_dd_bps: -1177.8
gate: min_trades=— min_wr=— min_total_bps=— min_sharpe=— effective_days=—
Cumulative P&L (last 100 closed)
Last 100 trades
| time | sym | side | entry→exit | pnl | close |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-27 16:19 | XRP | Buy | 1.07317→1.07163 | -1.15 | timeout |
| 06-27 15:28 | SOL | Buy | 72.7309→72.8591 | +0.43 | timeout |
| 06-27 15:28 | ETH | Buy | 1593.36→1599.94 | +1.62 | timeout |
| 06-27 14:58 | ATOM | Buy | 1.5958→1.5993 | +0.66 | timeout |
| 06-27 12:56 | OP | Buy | 0.103686→0.103514 | -1.27 | timeout |
| 06-27 05:36 | AVAX | Buy | 6.56024→6.53047 | -2.72 | timeout |
| 06-27 00:05 | INJ | Buy | 4.8175→4.91167 | +9.32 | take_profit |
| 06-26 20:10 | SUI | Buy | 0.701585→0.699655 | -1.83 | timeout |
| 06-26 20:09 | ATOM | Buy | 1.5953→1.6025 | +1.82 | timeout |
| 06-26 13:44 | XRP | Buy | 1.01995→1.02544 | +2.24 | timeout |
| 06-26 13:44 | ETH | Buy | 1531.25→1545.95 | +4.35 | timeout |
| 06-26 13:44 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0730713→0.0737366 | +4.10 | timeout |
| 06-26 13:44 | BTC | Buy | 58993.9→59394 | +2.94 | timeout |
| 06-26 11:03 | SUI | Buy | 0.674118→0.67991 | +3.84 | timeout |
| 06-26 08:10 | BNB | Buy | 567.112→567.218 | -0.36 | timeout |
| 06-26 08:00 | SOL | Buy | 70.0015→70.7904 | +5.18 | timeout |
| 06-26 04:26 | ATOM | Buy | 1.64141→1.62068 | -6.77 | stop_loss |
| 06-26 02:13 | BTC | Buy | 59277→58648.7 | -5.75 | stop_loss |
| 06-26 02:12 | XRP | Buy | 1.02916→1.01784 | -5.95 | stop_loss |
| 06-26 02:12 | ETH | Buy | 1555.26→1538.28 | -5.90 | stop_loss |
| 06-26 02:12 | ADA | Buy | 0.142216→0.140565 | -6.25 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 14:33 | LTC | Buy | 39.7899→40.6358 | +10.18 | take_profit |
| 06-25 14:09 | XRP | Buy | 1.01705→1.03744 | +9.57 | take_profit |
| 06-25 14:08 | AVAX | Buy | 5.9956→6.11437 | +9.46 | take_profit |
| 06-25 13:59 | DOGE | Buy | 0.07218→0.0713834 | -5.97 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 13:07 | ETH | Buy | 1629.66→1634.74 | +1.11 | timeout |
| 06-25 08:58 | SOL | Buy | 69.4384→68.9747 | -3.80 | timeout |
| 06-25 08:57 | BTC | Buy | 61890.1→61671.9 | -2.21 | timeout |
| 06-25 08:57 | LINK | Buy | 7.53298→7.49852 | -2.73 | timeout |
| 06-25 07:22 | ADA | Buy | 0.149897→0.149423 | -2.02 | timeout |
| 06-25 06:32 | SUI | Buy | 0.693233→0.692737 | -0.81 | timeout |
| 06-24 21:02 | ETH | Buy | 1593.56→1610.84 | +4.97 | timeout |
| 06-24 21:02 | INJ | Buy | 4.31188→4.27873 | -4.29 | timeout |
| 06-24 21:02 | BTC | Buy | 60237→60820 | +4.40 | timeout |
| 06-24 19:15 | ADA | Buy | 0.141705→0.140105 | -6.10 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 17:57 | XRP | Buy | 1.05526→1.04994 | -2.96 | timeout |
| 06-24 17:22 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0740265→0.0732121 | -5.95 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 16:47 | APT | Buy | 0.616654→0.609543 | -6.22 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 15:37 | AVAX | Buy | 6.32368→6.25381 | -5.98 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 14:45 | SOL | Buy | 68.7513→69.0526 | +1.74 | timeout |
| 06-24 14:08 | OP | Buy | 0.0987847→0.100775 | +9.62 | take_profit |
| 06-24 13:47 | SUI | Buy | 0.688112→0.680449 | -6.01 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 13:27 | ATOM | Buy | 1.63841→1.61889 | -6.41 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 12:42 | ETH | Buy | 1667.57→1674.83 | +1.73 | timeout |
| 06-24 12:42 | INJ | Buy | 4.28787→4.34991 | +6.80 | timeout |
| 06-24 12:41 | BTC | Buy | 62607.1→62817.9 | +1.23 | timeout |
| 06-24 12:37 | ARB | Buy | 0.0779995→0.0785304 | +2.95 | timeout |
| 06-24 10:17 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0789417→0.0786403 | -2.36 | timeout |
| 06-24 08:05 | APT | Buy | 0.647262→0.645938 | -1.47 | timeout |
| 06-24 05:48 | OP | Buy | 0.102876→0.101574 | -6.78 | stop_loss |
| 06-23 19:54 | NEAR | Buy | 1.97549→1.9833 | +1.53 | timeout |
| 06-23 19:01 | ADA | Buy | 0.150118→0.149803 | -1.50 | timeout |
| 06-23 19:01 | OP | Buy | 0.0986447→0.0980155 | -3.63 | timeout |
| 06-23 18:50 | ATOM | Buy | 1.72503→1.71727 | -2.70 | timeout |
| 06-23 17:12 | BTC | Buy | 62739.1→62501.9 | -2.34 | timeout |
| 06-23 14:32 | INJ | Buy | 4.58185→4.57196 | -1.52 | timeout |
| 06-23 13:41 | XRP | Buy | 1.10378→1.10012 | -2.10 | timeout |
| 06-23 13:41 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0795379→0.0792872 | -2.02 | timeout |
| 06-23 11:02 | LINK | Buy | 7.55989→7.53652 | -1.99 | timeout |
| 06-23 09:35 | APT | Buy | 0.624356→0.626643 | +1.38 | timeout |
| 06-23 09:35 | ARB | Buy | 0.0776294→0.0776506 | -0.30 | timeout |
| 06-23 09:35 | ATOM | Buy | 1.73943→1.74386 | +0.83 | timeout |
| 06-23 09:18 | SOL | Buy | 68.6483→68.7897 | +0.60 | timeout |
| 06-23 08:24 | ETH | Buy | 1651.87→1634.02 | -5.85 | stop_loss |
| 06-23 07:53 | AVAX | Buy | 6.16734→6.15306 | -1.61 | timeout |
| 06-23 07:50 | BNB | Buy | 580.305→581.705 | +0.76 | timeout |
| 06-23 07:49 | BTC | Buy | 62887.1→62925.9 | -0.14 | timeout |
| 06-23 07:30 | SUI | Buy | 0.682531→0.690937 | +5.71 | timeout |
| 06-23 05:58 | INJ | Buy | 4.65926→4.62964 | -3.61 | timeout |
| 06-23 01:31 | LTC | Buy | 44.5231→44.6008 | +0.42 | timeout |
| 06-23 01:31 | XRP | Buy | 1.12948→1.13082 | +0.14 | timeout |
| 06-23 01:31 | ETH | Buy | 1725.17→1733.43 | +1.94 | timeout |
| 06-22 23:29 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0821455→0.0823944 | +1.06 | timeout |
| 06-22 23:29 | SOL | Buy | 71.7978→72.0632 | +1.41 | timeout |
| 06-22 23:28 | BTC | Buy | 64048.2→64018.8 | -0.68 | timeout |
| 06-22 22:42 | ARB | Buy | 0.0832208→0.0827393 | -3.34 | timeout |
| 06-22 17:54 | INJ | Buy | 4.86232→4.87628 | +1.00 | timeout |
| 06-22 16:58 | ETH | Buy | 1744.17→1740.13 | -1.61 | timeout |
| 06-22 15:27 | XRP | Buy | 1.14989→1.14431 | -2.87 | timeout |
| 06-22 15:27 | LTC | Buy | 45.3863→45.2967 | -1.44 | timeout |
| 06-22 14:31 | BNB | Buy | 600.64→596.501 | -3.90 | timeout |
| 06-22 14:18 | APT | Buy | 0.682871→0.674594 | -6.51 | stop_loss |
| 06-22 11:04 | BTC | Buy | 64185.2→64096.8 | -1.14 | timeout |
| 06-22 11:04 | ADA | Buy | 0.16034→0.16007 | -1.29 | timeout |
| 06-22 11:03 | SOL | Buy | 73.7751→73.6939 | -1.00 | timeout |
| 06-22 11:03 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0837739→0.0836951 | -0.92 | timeout |
| 06-22 08:52 | OP | Buy | 0.102796→0.103004 | +0.56 | timeout |
| 06-22 08:52 | ETH | Buy | 1747.97→1746.93 | -0.76 | timeout |
| 06-22 08:05 | NEAR | Buy | 2.18105→2.15698 | -5.97 | stop_loss |
| 06-22 07:29 | ATOM | Buy | 1.80465→1.80345 | -0.78 | timeout |
| 06-22 02:30 | BNB | Buy | 594.058→593.332 | -1.07 | timeout |
| 06-22 02:30 | ADA | Buy | 0.16176→0.16043 | -4.57 | timeout |
| 06-21 22:15 | ETH | Buy | 1709.27→1715.13 | +1.27 | timeout |
| 06-21 22:15 | LINK | Buy | 7.82646→7.84094 | +0.47 | timeout |
| 06-21 22:14 | SOL | Buy | 72.6579→72.9611 | +1.63 | timeout |
| 06-21 22:09 | BTC | Buy | 63714.2→63606.8 | -1.29 | timeout |
| 06-21 19:32 | ARB | Buy | 0.084011→0.083809 | -1.66 | timeout |
| 06-21 19:32 | AVAX | Buy | 6.27097→6.26713 | -0.75 | timeout |
| 06-21 19:32 | APT | Buy | 0.657664→0.656936 | -1.01 | timeout |
| 06-21 19:31 | ATOM | Buy | 1.76884→1.77116 | +0.20 | timeout |
Paper vs Live
Paper (trades.jsonl)
536
closed
43%
win rate
-258.21
total pnl ($)
-9.7 bps
avg bps net
Live (dry_run=0)
0
closed
—
win rate
—
total pnl ($)
—
avg bps net
Live: 0 trades, insufficient sample
Per-symbol breakdown (paper)
| symbol | n | wr | net bps | total pnl ($) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ETH | 57 | 39% | -5.3 | -14.99 |
| BTC | 56 | 50% | +4.0 | +11.06 |
| SOL | 43 | 42% | -24.4 | -52.39 |
| DOGE | 42 | 45% | -9.3 | -19.45 |
| XRP | 36 | 33% | -24.7 | -44.38 |
| ADA | 33 | 36% | -21.2 | -34.97 |
| ATOM | 31 | 35% | -28.0 | -43.29 |
| INJ | 30 | 40% | -14.3 | -21.36 |
| BNB | 27 | 48% | -6.0 | -8.12 |
| LINK | 27 | 37% | -10.2 | -13.79 |
| LTC | 27 | 52% | +15.1 | +20.37 |
| NEAR | 26 | 50% | +4.9 | +6.29 |
| SUI | 24 | 54% | +8.1 | +9.66 |
| AVAX | 23 | 48% | +18.1 | +20.84 |
| APT | 20 | 35% | -36.4 | -36.34 |
| OP | 19 | 37% | -37.1 | -35.17 |
| ARB | 15 | 53% | -2.9 | -2.18 |
Recent bounces (last 20 of 4)
| time | sym | side | reason |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06-27 15:20 | XRP | Buy | circuit_breaker |
| 06-27 14:32 | SOL | Buy | circuit_breaker |
| 06-27 14:32 | ETH | Buy | circuit_breaker |
| 06-27 11:58 | OP | Buy | circuit_breaker |
Postmortem feed (last 10)
| time | sym | side | pnl | narrative |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| no postmortems | ||||