9
closed trades
67%
win rate
+2.26
total pnl ($)
1.260
weight
7d window — n=0 wr=0% pnl=+0.00
· venues=(unknown)
· horizon=—
· SL=—
· TP=—
· class=? in ?
Backtest evidence
run: 2026-05-19 23:44:33 (40.1d ago) · src: canon
verdict: REJECT
· strict: STRICT-FAIL
· batch:
jz
n: 41
· wr: 31.7%
· total_bps: -1080.1
· mean_bps: -26.34
· sharpe: -0.32
· max_dd_bps: -1513.2
gate: min_trades=— min_wr=— min_total_bps=— min_sharpe=— effective_days=—
Cumulative P&L (last 9 closed)
Last 100 trades
| time | sym | side | entry→exit | pnl | close |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-04 10:24 | BTC | Buy | 79661→78184 | -9.72 | stop_loss |
| 05-04 04:28 | BTC | Buy | 78865.9→80294 | +8.57 | timeout |
| 05-03 22:28 | BTC | Buy | 78631.9→79012 | +1.92 | timeout |
| 05-03 16:27 | BTC | Buy | 78410.9→78624.1 | +0.91 | timeout |
| 05-03 10:26 | BTC | Buy | 78079.9→78414.1 | +1.69 | timeout |
| 05-03 04:27 | BTC | Buy | 78390.9→78177.1 | -1.80 | timeout |
| 05-02 22:26 | BTC | Buy | 78402.9→78591.1 | +0.75 | timeout |
| 05-02 16:26 | BTC | Buy | 78246.9→78465.1 | +0.97 | timeout |
| 05-02 10:25 | BTC | Buy | 78275.9→78186.1 | -1.03 | timeout |
Paper vs Live
Paper (trades.jsonl)
9
closed
67%
win rate
+2.26
total pnl ($)
+5.1 bps
avg bps net
Live (dry_run=0)
0
closed
—
win rate
—
total pnl ($)
—
avg bps net
Live: 0 trades, insufficient sample
Per-symbol breakdown (paper)
| symbol | n | wr | net bps | total pnl ($) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BTC | 9 | 67% | +5.1 | +2.26 |
Recent bounces (last 20 of 0)
| time | sym | side | reason |
|---|---|---|---|
| no bounces recorded | |||
Postmortem feed (last 10)
| time | sym | side | pnl | narrative |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-03 04:27 | BTC | Buy | -1.80 | # Trade Analysis: fear_recovery_1777753565 At close, Bitcoin was stuck in a tight consolidation band around $78,728 with minimal directional momentum across all timeframes (1h: +0.09%, 24h: +0.46%), while funding rates remained elevated at 0.67%, signaling… |
| 05-02 22:26 | BTC | Buy | +0.75 | BTC was trading in a stable, well-funded state with 0.016% positive funding and $3.99B open interest, showing equilibrium conditions without directional pressure. The trade's thesis succeeded marginally (+24 bps gross) because the Fear & Greed index's recov… |
| 05-02 16:26 | BTC | Buy | +0.97 | BTC was in a tight consolidation phase with minimal momentum across all timeframes (1h: +0.08%, 24h: +0.28%), showing the uptrend had stalled after the initial fear recovery bounce, while negative funding rates (-0.004545%) signaled weakening bullish convic… |
| 05-02 10:25 | BTC | Buy | -1.03 | # Trade Analysis: fear-recovery-1777688715 BTC was essentially flat intraday (−0.15% 1h) with modest 24h gains (+1.27%), showing choppy consolidation near $78,242 as the timeout closed the position. The fear-recovery momentum thesis failed because the Fear… |