7
closed trades
14%
win rate
-21.76
total pnl ($)
1.123
weight
7d window — n=0 wr=0% pnl=+0.00
· venues=(unknown)
· horizon=—
· SL=—
· TP=—
· class=? in ?
Backtest evidence
run: 2026-05-17 03:50:41 (36.4d ago) · src: canon
verdict: REJECT
· strict: STRICT-FAIL
· batch:
z
n: 18
· wr: 38.9%
· total_bps: -903.9
· mean_bps: -50.21
· sharpe: -0.22
· max_dd_bps: -972.1
gate: min_trades=— min_wr=— min_total_bps=— min_sharpe=— effective_days=—
Cumulative P&L (last 7 closed)
Last 100 trades
| time | sym | side | entry→exit | pnl | close |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-03 20:45 | BTC | Buy | 66723.3→65062.2 | -12.94 | stop_loss |
| 05-18 01:35 | BTC | Buy | 77919.9→76840.2 | -7.39 | timeout |
| 05-12 22:43 | BTC | Buy | 81724.1→81715.9 | -0.56 | timeout |
| 05-04 02:00 | BTC | Sell | 78121.1→80040 | -12.69 | stop_loss |
| 04-30 02:25 | BTC | Buy | 76449→76194 | -2.12 | timeout |
| 04-27 15:21 | BTC | Sell | 79087→76714 | +14.55 | take_profit |
| 04-26 02:23 | BTC | Buy | 77525→77499 | -0.62 | timeout |
Paper vs Live
Paper (trades.jsonl)
7
closed
14%
win rate
-21.76
total pnl ($)
-62.0 bps
avg bps net
Live (dry_run=0)
0
closed
—
win rate
—
total pnl ($)
—
avg bps net
Live: 0 trades, insufficient sample
Per-symbol breakdown (paper)
| symbol | n | wr | net bps | total pnl ($) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BTC | 7 | 14% | -62.0 | -21.76 |
Recent bounces (last 20 of 0)
| time | sym | side | reason |
|---|---|---|---|
| no bounces recorded | |||
Postmortem feed (last 10)
| time | sym | side | pnl | narrative |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-30 02:25 | BTC | Buy | -2.12 | BTC was in a mild downtrend at close ($75,769, -0.85% over 24h, -3.30% over 7d) with negative funding (-0.22%) signaling weak demand from leveraged longs. The fear_greed_velocity_fade strategy's contrarian long signal (Fear & Greed shifted -21 pts to 26/Fea… |
| 04-27 15:21 | BTC | Sell | +14.55 | # Trade Analysis On close, BTC had declined 1.37% in the preceding hour and 1.63% over 24 hours, creating short-term weakness that aligned with the contrarian fade setup. The Fear & Greed Index's +16 point swing to 47 (Neutral) signaled excessive complacen… |
| 04-26 02:23 | BTC | Buy | -0.62 | Bitcoin was consolidating with minimal intraday momentum, showing flat performance over 24 hours (-0.09%) while maintaining a modest 2.55% weekly gain, indicating a sideways market environment. The fear-and-greed contrarian buy signal (triggered by a 15-poi… |