fear_greed_regime_shift_long

58

closed trades

43%

win rate

-182.42

total pnl ($)

0.957

weight

7d window — n=11 wr=45% pnl=-29.54 · venues=(unknown) · horizon=— · SL=— · TP=— · class=? in ?

Backtest evidence run: 2026-05-17 16:52:35 (36.2d ago) · src: canon

verdict: INSUFFICIENT_HISTORY · strict: STRICT-FAIL · batch: bt

n: 0 · wr: 0.0% · total_bps: +0.0 · mean_bps: +0.00 · sharpe: +0.00 · max_dd_bps: +0.0

gate: min_trades=— min_wr=— min_total_bps=— min_sharpe=— effective_days=—

time	sym	side	entry→exit	pnl	close
06-22 20:55	BTC	Buy	63900.2→64412.8	+3.52	timeout
06-21 20:52	BTC	Buy	63174.2→63737.8	+4.00	timeout
06-21 08:46	BTC	Buy	62625.1→63917.8	+9.59	timeout
06-20 20:46	BTC	Buy	63116.2→63872.8	+5.59	timeout
06-18 15:40	BTC	Buy	64249.2→62666.5	-12.73	stop_loss
06-18 15:37	BTC	Buy	64484.2→62891.4	-12.79	stop_loss
06-18 15:17	BTC	Buy	64899.2→63303.2	-12.72	stop_loss
06-17 08:44	BTC	Buy	66521.3→64885.3	-12.77	stop_loss
06-17 08:39	BTC	Buy	66553.3→64914.3	-12.78	stop_loss
06-17 08:20	BTC	Buy	65645.3→65237.7	-3.51	timeout
06-16 08:12	BTC	Buy	64427.2→66415.7	+15.07	timeout
06-15 15:47	BTC	Buy	63809.2→66996.6	+24.54	take_profit
06-15 08:11	BTC	Buy	63804.2→65693.7	+14.37	timeout
06-14 20:11	BTC	Buy	63549.2→63795.8	+1.40	timeout
06-14 08:08	BTC	Buy	63259.2→64403.8	+8.45	timeout
06-13 07:58	BTC	Buy	62701.1→63791.8	+7.95	timeout
06-12 19:56	BTC	Buy	61990.1→63581.8	+12.39	timeout
06-12 07:51	BTC	Buy	61657.1→62989.9	+10.28	timeout
06-09 21:02	BTC	Buy	61858.1→62016.9	+0.97	timeout
06-09 14:21	BTC	Buy	63155.2→61602.1	-12.75	stop_loss
06-09 14:10	BTC	Buy	63604.2→62036.9	-12.77	stop_loss
06-08 08:51	BTC	Buy	61395.1→63015.8	+12.62	timeout
06-07 22:14	BTC	Buy	60700→63728.8	+24.51	take_profit
06-07 19:18	BTC	Buy	62829.1→61278.3	-12.77	stop_loss
06-06 04:20	BTC	Buy	61444.1→59933	-12.75	stop_loss
06-05 13:56	BTC	Buy	62497.1→60960.5	-12.75	stop_loss
06-05 06:19	BTC	Buy	63279.2→61723	-12.68	stop_loss
06-05 06:03	BTC	Buy	63528.2→61965.9	-12.72	stop_loss
06-04 00:26	BTC	Buy	65284.3→63679	-12.74	stop_loss
06-03 20:50	BTC	Buy	66652.3→65009.2	-12.83	stop_loss
06-03 19:53	BTC	Buy	67086.4→65436	-12.79	stop_loss
06-02 14:10	BTC	Buy	69964.5→68309.6	-12.29	stop_loss
06-01 15:31	BTC	Buy	73391.3→71314.2	-14.66	stop_loss
06-01 15:31	BTC	Buy	73860.3→71314.2	-17.85	stop_loss
06-01 15:31	BTC	Buy	73770.3→71314.2	-17.35	stop_loss
05-31 12:07	BTC	Buy	73334.3→73870.7	+2.93	timeout
05-31 00:09	BTC	Buy	73643.3→73862.7	+0.83	timeout
05-30 11:41	BTC	Buy	73362.3→73601.7	+1.07	timeout
05-29 23:37	BTC	Buy	74244.3→73313.7	-6.75	timeout
05-28 03:17	BTC	Buy	75821.2→74045.7	-12.16	stop_loss
05-28 03:17	BTC	Buy	75849.2→74070.7	-12.18	stop_loss
05-27 04:30	BTC	Buy	77217.1→75404.5	-12.14	stop_loss
05-27 04:30	BTC	Buy	77267.1→75445.5	-12.16	stop_loss
05-27 04:14	BTC	Buy	77442.9→75542.4	-12.61	stop_loss
05-26 23:34	BTC	Buy	76856.2→75872.8	-6.90	timeout
05-26 11:34	BTC	Buy	77269.1→77206.9	-0.90	timeout
05-25 23:34	BTC	Buy	76664.2→77280.9	+3.43	timeout
05-25 11:33	BTC	Buy	74803.3→77438.9	+16.94	timeout
05-24 23:32	BTC	Buy	75654.2→76921.8	+7.88	timeout
05-22 23:48	BTC	Buy	77260.1→75444.5	-12.23	stop_loss
05-22 23:48	BTC	Buy	77318.1→75503.5	-12.28	stop_loss
05-22 22:44	BTC	Buy	77379.1→75561.5	-12.32	stop_loss
05-22 19:30	BTC	Buy	77628.1→75780.7	-12.40	stop_loss
05-22 11:32	BTC	Buy	77427.1→77281.9	-1.59	timeout
05-21 23:31	BTC	Buy	76871.2→77610.9	+4.17	timeout
05-21 11:31	BTC	Buy	76856.2→77341.9	+2.49	timeout
05-20 23:30	BTC	Buy	77002.1→77417.9	+2.18	timeout
05-20 11:31	BTC	Buy	76740.2→77457.9	+4.01	timeout

Paper (trades.jsonl)

58

closed

43%

win rate

-182.42

total pnl ($)

-61.8 bps

avg bps net

Live (dry_run=0)

0

closed

—

win rate

—

total pnl ($)

—

avg bps net

Live: 0 trades, insufficient sample

symbol	n	wr	net bps	total pnl ($)
BTC	58	43%	-61.8	-182.42

time	sym	side	reason
06-22 21:24	BTC	Buy	stale_intent
06-21 21:18	BTC	Buy	stale_intent

time	sym	side	pnl	narrative
no postmortems

More…

Cumulative P&L (last 58 closed)

Last 100 trades

Paper vs Live

Per-symbol breakdown (paper)

Recent bounces (last 20 of 2)

Postmortem feed (last 10)