10
closed trades
50%
win rate
-12.36
total pnl ($)
1.225
weight
7d window — n=0 wr=0% pnl=+0.00
· venues=(unknown)
· horizon=—
· SL=—
· TP=—
· class=? in ?
Backtest evidence
run: 2026-05-19 02:17:12 (39.7d ago) · src: canon
verdict: REJECT
· strict: STRICT-FAIL
· batch:
dp
n: 40
· wr: 50.0%
· total_bps: -649.0
· mean_bps: -16.22
· sharpe: -0.10
· max_dd_bps: -1412.4
gate: min_trades=— min_wr=— min_total_bps=— min_sharpe=— effective_days=—
Cumulative P&L (last 10 closed)
Last 100 trades
| time | sym | side | entry→exit | pnl | close |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-18 15:37 | BTC | Buy | 64504.2→62909.4 | -12.80 | stop_loss |
| 06-17 08:22 | BTC | Buy | 65818.3→65314.7 | -4.26 | timeout |
| 06-15 20:18 | BTC | Buy | 65692.3→66501.7 | +5.68 | timeout |
| 06-14 08:17 | BTC | Buy | 64269.2→64476.8 | +1.14 | timeout |
| 06-12 20:15 | BTC | Buy | 63278.2→63522.8 | +1.48 | timeout |
| 05-12 10:43 | BTC | Buy | 81724.1→81715.9 | -0.39 | timeout |
| 05-10 05:02 | BTC | Buy | 80604→80692 | +0.07 | timeout |
| 05-08 17:01 | BTC | Buy | 79632→79824 | +0.72 | timeout |
| 04-26 02:24 | BTC | Buy | 77659→77529 | -1.29 | timeout |
| 04-24 14:23 | BTC | Buy | 78230→77876 | -2.71 | timeout |
Paper vs Live
Paper (trades.jsonl)
10
closed
50%
win rate
-12.36
total pnl ($)
-24.8 bps
avg bps net
Live (dry_run=0)
0
closed
—
win rate
—
total pnl ($)
—
avg bps net
Live: 0 trades, insufficient sample
Per-symbol breakdown (paper)
| symbol | n | wr | net bps | total pnl ($) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BTC | 10 | 50% | -24.8 | -12.36 |
Recent bounces (last 20 of 0)
| time | sym | side | reason |
|---|---|---|---|
| no bounces recorded | |||
Postmortem feed (last 10)
| time | sym | side | pnl | narrative |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-10 05:02 | BTC | Buy | +0.07 | The market was in a mild uptrend with low volatility, as BTC showed slight gains over 24h and 7d with neutral funding. The thesis failed because the trade was closed by timeout, indicating the expected move did not materialize within the holding period. |
| 05-08 17:01 | BTC | Buy | +0.72 | The market was in a low-funding, sideways consolidation with stable open interest. The thesis failed because the trade expired without reaching target or stop, as the lack of directional momentum prevented any meaningful move. |
| 04-26 02:24 | BTC | Buy | -1.29 | Bitcoin was essentially flat to slightly positive across all timeframes at close, with the 1-hour showing minimal movement at +0.08% and 7-day momentum holding steady at +2.55%. The trade's thesis failed because the fear/greed divergence signal (F&G at 31 f… |