fear_greed_extreme_long_basis_gate

51

closed trades

49%

win rate

-80.44

total pnl ($)

0.832

weight

7d window — n=23 wr=48% pnl=-45.55 · venues=(unknown) · horizon=— · SL=— · TP=— · class=? in ?

Backtest evidence run: 2026-06-01 11:14:02 (21.7d ago) · src: canon

verdict: REJECT · strict: STRICT-FAIL · batch: x3485389_08508

n: 16 · wr: 37.5% · total_bps: -1139.7 · mean_bps: -71.23 · sharpe: -0.47 · max_dd_bps: -1334.7

gate: min_trades=— min_wr=— min_total_bps=— min_sharpe=— effective_days=—

time	sym	side	entry→exit	pnl	close
06-23 04:27	BTC	Buy	63926.2→63941.8	-0.33	timeout
06-22 22:22	BTC	Buy	63719.2→64224.8	+3.51	timeout
06-22 16:19	BTC	Buy	64161.2→64716.8	+3.88	timeout
06-22 10:10	BTC	Buy	64234.2→64221.8	-0.64	timeout
06-22 04:09	BTC	Buy	64366.2→63918.8	-3.97	timeout
06-21 22:07	BTC	Buy	64018.2→63681.8	-3.07	timeout
06-21 16:05	BTC	Buy	64001.2→64181.8	+0.98	timeout
06-21 09:56	BTC	Buy	63728.2→64179.8	+2.98	timeout
06-21 03:53	BTC	Buy	63427.2→64388.8	+7.14	timeout
06-20 21:50	BTC	Buy	63112.2→64036.8	+6.89	timeout
06-20 15:48	BTC	Buy	63222.2→64166.8	+6.95	timeout
06-20 09:41	BTC	Buy	62437.1→63623.8	+8.95	timeout
06-20 03:43	BTC	Buy	62661.1→63446.8	+5.83	timeout
06-19 21:29	BTC	Buy	62948.1→63135.8	+0.99	timeout
06-19 15:52	BTC	Buy	62559.1→63201.8	+4.72	timeout
06-19 09:35	BTC	Buy	64245.2→62422.9	-14.48	timeout
06-19 03:21	BTC	Buy	64445.2→62616.9	-14.59	timeout
06-18 21:16	BTC	Buy	64305.2→62893.9	-11.31	timeout
06-18 14:33	BTC	Buy	65212.3→63833.8	-11.00	timeout
06-18 08:28	BTC	Buy	65319.3→64536.8	-6.47	timeout
06-18 02:22	BTC	Buy	65911.3→64611.8	-10.34	timeout
06-17 20:26	BTC	Buy	65743.3→64357.8	-10.97	timeout
06-17 14:18	BTC	Buy	65760.3→65252.7	-4.32	timeout
06-17 08:03	BTC	Buy	66340.3→65445.7	-7.21	timeout
06-15 21:23	BTC	Buy	64641.2→66508.7	+13.94	timeout
06-13 21:33	BTC	Buy	63535.2→64244.8	+5.11	timeout
06-13 13:29	BTC	Buy	63350.2→64198.8	+6.19	timeout
06-13 06:47	BTC	Buy	62972.1→63666.8	+5.06	timeout
06-13 00:43	BTC	Buy	63670.2→63566.8	-1.34	timeout
06-12 02:02	BTC	Buy	62239.1→63443.8	+9.12	timeout
06-11 14:50	BTC	Buy	61875.1→62848.9	+7.32	timeout
06-10 18:57	BTC	Buy	61764.1→61839.9	+0.10	timeout
06-10 13:18	BTC	Buy	62458.1→61455.9	-8.46	timeout
06-07 08:17	BTC	Buy	61082.1→62300.9	+9.59	timeout
06-07 02:15	BTC	Buy	60877→61388.9	+3.67	timeout
06-06 20:12	BTC	Buy	60735→60566	-1.77	timeout
06-05 06:21	BTC	Buy	63806.2→61535.1	-18.20	stop_loss
06-05 02:30	BTC	Buy	63052.2→62613.9	-3.91	timeout
06-03 23:54	BTC	Buy	66435.3→64070.7	-18.24	stop_loss
06-03 19:54	BTC	Buy	67768.4→65354	-18.32	stop_loss
06-02 14:27	BTC	Buy	70086.5→67587.8	-18.29	stop_loss
06-02 14:21	BTC	Buy	70688.5→68171.5	-18.28	stop_loss
05-31 23:49	BTC	Buy	73818.7→73647.3	-1.59	timeout
05-31 21:32	BTC	Buy	73963.7→73610.3	-2.84	timeout
05-31 09:47	BTC	Buy	73547.7→73949.3	+2.13	timeout
05-31 04:21	BTC	Buy	73383.7→74158.3	+4.76	timeout
05-30 17:28	BTC	Buy	74216.7→73932.3	-2.48	timeout
05-30 07:49	BTC	Buy	73378.7→73479.3	+0.19	timeout
05-29 21:18	BTC	Buy	73696.7→73691.3	-0.53	timeout
05-29 15:33	BTC	Buy	72838.6→73968.3	+7.26	timeout
05-29 06:34	BTC	Buy	72831.6→73677.3	+5.23	timeout

Paper (trades.jsonl)

51

closed

49%

win rate

-80.44

total pnl ($)

-31.1 bps

avg bps net

Live (dry_run=0)

0

closed

—

win rate

—

total pnl ($)

—

avg bps net

Live: 0 trades, insufficient sample

symbol	n	wr	net bps	total pnl ($)
BTC	51	49%	-31.1	-80.44

time	sym	side	reason
06-22 22:55	BTC	Buy	stale_intent
06-22 04:46	BTC	Buy	stale_intent
06-22 04:46	BTC	Buy	stale_intent
06-21 22:38	BTC	Buy	stale_intent
06-21 22:37	BTC	Buy	stale_intent

time	sym	side	pnl	narrative
no postmortems

More…

Cumulative P&L (last 51 closed)

Last 100 trades

Paper vs Live

Per-symbol breakdown (paper)

Recent bounces (last 20 of 5)

Postmortem feed (last 10)