145
closed trades
45%
win rate
-372.60
total pnl ($)
0.349
weight
7d window — n=38 wr=50% pnl=-103.82
· venues=(unknown)
· horizon=—
· SL=—
· TP=—
· class=? in ?
Backtest evidence
run: 2026-06-03 20:11:24 (19.2d ago) · src: canon
verdict: REJECT
· strict: STRICT-FAIL
· batch:
x2189877_26242
n: 86
· wr: 39.5%
· total_bps: -5656.5
· mean_bps: -65.77
· sharpe: -0.43
· max_dd_bps: -5656.5
gate: min_trades=— min_wr=— min_total_bps=— min_sharpe=— effective_days=—
Cumulative P&L (last 100 closed)
Last 100 trades
| time | sym | side | entry→exit | pnl | close |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-22 22:35 | BTC | Buy | 63574.2→64099.8 | +3.68 | timeout |
| 06-22 21:35 | BTC | Buy | 63746.2→64285.8 | +3.78 | timeout |
| 06-22 20:35 | BTC | Buy | 64009.2→64421.8 | +2.76 | timeout |
| 06-22 19:35 | BTC | Buy | 64158.2→64392.8 | +1.34 | timeout |
| 06-22 18:31 | BTC | Buy | 64012.2→64593.8 | +4.04 | timeout |
| 06-21 21:28 | BTC | Buy | 63910.2→63669.8 | -2.33 | timeout |
| 06-21 20:28 | BTC | Buy | 63892.2→64067.8 | +0.92 | timeout |
| 06-21 19:30 | BTC | Buy | 63833.2→64190.8 | +2.37 | timeout |
| 06-21 18:30 | BTC | Buy | 63826.2→63997.8 | +0.94 | timeout |
| 06-21 17:26 | BTC | Buy | 63877.2→64122.8 | +1.55 | timeout |
| 06-20 21:17 | BTC | Buy | 63238.2→63924.8 | +4.99 | timeout |
| 06-20 20:16 | BTC | Buy | 63055.2→63927.8 | +6.50 | timeout |
| 06-20 19:10 | BTC | Buy | 62996.1→63885.8 | +6.62 | timeout |
| 06-20 18:07 | BTC | Buy | 63132.2→63819.8 | +4.99 | timeout |
| 06-20 17:07 | BTC | Buy | 62977.1→63900.8 | +6.86 | timeout |
| 06-19 20:07 | BTC | Buy | 63129.2→63029.8 | -1.27 | timeout |
| 06-19 19:06 | BTC | Buy | 62671.1→63049.8 | +2.55 | timeout |
| 06-19 18:02 | BTC | Buy | 62615.1→63126.8 | +3.63 | timeout |
| 06-19 16:58 | BTC | Buy | 62690.1→62965.9 | +1.76 | timeout |
| 06-19 16:21 | BTC | Buy | 62646.1→63266.8 | +4.49 | timeout |
| 06-18 15:57 | BTC | Buy | 63889.2→62298.7 | -12.75 | stop_loss |
| 06-18 15:40 | BTC | Buy | 64210.2→62629.5 | -12.49 | stop_loss |
| 06-18 15:40 | BTC | Buy | 64232.2→62649.5 | -12.47 | stop_loss |
| 06-18 15:40 | BTC | Buy | 64318.2→62734.5 | -12.48 | stop_loss |
| 06-18 15:37 | BTC | Buy | 64475.2→62886.4 | -12.52 | stop_loss |
| 06-18 05:05 | BTC | Buy | 65252.3→63648 | -12.75 | stop_loss |
| 06-17 19:44 | BTC | Buy | 65693.3→64077.7 | -12.75 | stop_loss |
| 06-17 19:42 | BTC | Buy | 65723.3→64105.7 | -12.77 | stop_loss |
| 06-17 19:42 | BTC | Buy | 65731.3→64112.7 | -12.78 | stop_loss |
| 06-17 19:29 | BTC | Buy | 65920.3→64261.6 | -13.03 | stop_loss |
| 06-17 16:54 | BTC | Buy | 65698.3→65834.7 | +0.54 | timeout |
| 06-17 15:50 | BTC | Buy | 65790.3→65722.7 | -0.88 | timeout |
| 06-17 14:49 | BTC | Buy | 65635.3→65053.7 | -4.89 | timeout |
| 06-16 23:03 | BTC | Buy | 66161.3→65773.7 | -3.47 | timeout |
| 06-16 22:01 | BTC | Buy | 66368.3→65723.7 | -5.40 | timeout |
| 06-16 14:45 | BTC | Buy | 66541.3→65736.7 | -6.58 | timeout |
| 06-16 14:23 | BTC | Buy | 67195.4→65541.9 | -12.83 | stop_loss |
| 06-16 13:45 | BTC | Buy | 66503.3→66086.7 | -3.67 | timeout |
| 06-15 22:43 | BTC | Buy | 65373.3→66246.7 | +6.19 | timeout |
| 06-15 21:41 | BTC | Buy | 65239.3→66409.7 | +8.46 | timeout |
| 06-15 13:20 | BTC | Buy | 64016.2→66827.7 | +21.52 | take_profit |
| 06-15 12:55 | BTC | Buy | 63777.2→66579.7 | +21.54 | take_profit |
| 06-15 12:46 | BTC | Buy | 63697.2→66495.7 | +21.53 | take_profit |
| 06-14 22:21 | BTC | Buy | 64434.2→65203.7 | +5.47 | timeout |
| 06-14 21:17 | BTC | Buy | 64245.2→64387.8 | +0.64 | timeout |
| 06-14 20:14 | BTC | Buy | 64246.2→63796.8 | -3.99 | timeout |
| 06-14 19:11 | BTC | Buy | 64159.2→63763.8 | -3.61 | timeout |
| 06-14 18:10 | BTC | Buy | 64056.2→63681.8 | -3.47 | timeout |
| 06-13 21:06 | BTC | Buy | 63459.2→64280.8 | +6.00 | timeout |
| 06-13 20:05 | BTC | Buy | 63620.2→64234.8 | +4.38 | timeout |
| 06-13 19:08 | BTC | Buy | 63675.2→64136.8 | +3.17 | timeout |
| 06-13 18:09 | BTC | Buy | 63756.2→64047.8 | +1.81 | timeout |
| 06-13 17:06 | BTC | Buy | 64058.2→63974.8 | -1.11 | timeout |
| 06-12 20:53 | BTC | Buy | 63367.2→63406.8 | -0.16 | timeout |
| 06-12 19:48 | BTC | Buy | 63672.2→63586.8 | -1.12 | timeout |
| 06-12 18:41 | BTC | Buy | 63482.2→63858.8 | +2.50 | timeout |
| 06-12 17:35 | BTC | Buy | 63242.2→63805.8 | +3.99 | timeout |
| 06-12 16:33 | BTC | Buy | 62587.1→63884.8 | +9.86 | timeout |
| 06-11 19:51 | BTC | Buy | 61918.1→63622.8 | +13.19 | timeout |
| 06-11 18:45 | BTC | Buy | 61758.1→63491.8 | +13.45 | timeout |
| 06-11 17:42 | BTC | Buy | 61659.1→63330.8 | +13.01 | timeout |
| 06-11 16:45 | BTC | Buy | 62161.1→62629.9 | +3.26 | timeout |
| 06-11 15:41 | BTC | Buy | 62207.1→62780.9 | +4.02 | timeout |
| 06-10 19:16 | BTC | Buy | 61737.1→61786.9 | -0.12 | timeout |
| 06-10 18:16 | BTC | Buy | 61712.1→61952.9 | +1.46 | timeout |
| 06-10 17:15 | BTC | Buy | 61619.1→62080.9 | +3.25 | timeout |
| 06-10 16:13 | BTC | Buy | 61037.1→62336.9 | +10.15 | timeout |
| 06-10 15:12 | BTC | Buy | 61526.1→61898.9 | +2.53 | timeout |
| 06-09 14:29 | BTC | Buy | 63105.2→61553.1 | -12.75 | stop_loss |
| 06-09 14:19 | BTC | Buy | 63267.2→61711 | -12.75 | stop_loss |
| 06-09 14:16 | BTC | Buy | 63412.2→61853 | -12.74 | stop_loss |
| 06-09 14:16 | BTC | Buy | 63422.2→61859 | -12.77 | stop_loss |
| 06-09 14:11 | BTC | Buy | 63526.2→61941.9 | -12.92 | stop_loss |
| 06-09 07:52 | BTC | Buy | 63250.2→63159.8 | -1.25 | timeout |
| 06-09 06:50 | BTC | Buy | 62943.1→63271.8 | +2.11 | timeout |
| 06-09 05:46 | BTC | Buy | 62498.1→63375.8 | +6.54 | timeout |
| 06-08 18:03 | BTC | Buy | 62191.1→63588.8 | +10.69 | timeout |
| 06-08 17:04 | BTC | Buy | 62163.1→63369.8 | +9.16 | timeout |
| 06-08 07:34 | BTC | Buy | 62234.1→63183.8 | +7.15 | timeout |
| 06-08 06:32 | BTC | Buy | 62025.1→63039.8 | +7.72 | timeout |
| 06-08 05:31 | BTC | Buy | 61755.1→62654.9 | +6.84 | timeout |
| 06-07 17:00 | BTC | Buy | 60781→62029.9 | +9.80 | timeout |
| 06-07 15:53 | BTC | Buy | 60748→62172.9 | +11.22 | timeout |
| 06-07 06:32 | BTC | Buy | 61003.1→62035.9 | +8.06 | timeout |
| 06-07 05:31 | BTC | Buy | 60644→61721.9 | +8.47 | timeout |
| 06-07 04:30 | BTC | Buy | 59977→61531.9 | +12.51 | timeout |
| 06-06 16:05 | BTC | Buy | 60197→60829 | +4.82 | timeout |
| 06-06 15:17 | BTC | Buy | 60520→60647 | +0.60 | timeout |
| 06-06 04:34 | BTC | Buy | 60927→59428.3 | -12.75 | stop_loss |
| 06-06 04:27 | BTC | Buy | 61293.1→59773.1 | -12.85 | stop_loss |
| 06-06 04:11 | BTC | Buy | 61783.1→60262.8 | -12.76 | stop_loss |
| 06-05 21:04 | BTC | Buy | 59257→61858.9 | +21.50 | take_profit |
| 06-05 18:54 | BTC | Buy | 60654→59162.4 | -12.76 | stop_loss |
| 06-05 18:52 | BTC | Buy | 60832→59336.3 | -12.75 | stop_loss |
| 06-05 18:44 | BTC | Buy | 61268.1→59761.1 | -12.75 | stop_loss |
| 06-05 14:06 | BTC | Buy | 61976.1→60437.7 | -12.86 | stop_loss |
| 06-05 13:59 | BTC | Buy | 62196.1→60666.6 | -12.75 | stop_loss |
| 06-05 13:56 | BTC | Buy | 62493.1→60956.5 | -12.75 | stop_loss |
| 06-05 13:49 | BTC | Buy | 62848.1→61296.3 | -12.80 | stop_loss |
| 06-05 13:49 | BTC | Buy | 62927.1→61379.2 | -12.75 | stop_loss |
Paper vs Live
Paper (trades.jsonl)
145
closed
45%
win rate
-372.60
total pnl ($)
-51.1 bps
avg bps net
Live (dry_run=0)
0
closed
—
win rate
—
total pnl ($)
—
avg bps net
Live: 0 trades, insufficient sample
Per-symbol breakdown (paper)
| symbol | n | wr | net bps | total pnl ($) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BTC | 145 | 45% | -51.1 | -372.60 |
Recent bounces (last 20 of 10)
| time | sym | side | reason |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06-22 23:57 | BTC | Buy | stale_intent |
| 06-22 22:51 | BTC | Buy | stale_intent |
| 06-22 21:49 | BTC | Buy | stale_intent |
| 06-22 20:45 | BTC | Buy | stale_intent |
| 06-22 19:39 | BTC | Buy | stale_intent |
| 06-22 19:38 | BTC | Buy | stale_intent |
| 06-21 22:50 | BTC | Buy | stale_intent |
| 06-21 22:50 | BTC | Buy | stale_intent |
| 06-21 21:50 | BTC | Buy | stale_intent |
| 06-21 21:50 | BTC | Buy | stale_intent |
Postmortem feed (last 10)
| time | sym | side | pnl | narrative |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| no postmortems | ||||