177
closed trades
45%
win rate
-515.98
total pnl ($)
0.407
weight
7d window — n=44 wr=52% pnl=-135.42
· venues=(unknown)
· horizon=—
· SL=—
· TP=—
· class=? in ?
Backtest evidence
run: 2026-06-03 23:38:34 (23.9d ago) · src: canon
verdict: REJECT
· strict: STRICT-FAIL
· batch:
x2189877_31548
n: 91
· wr: 33.0%
· total_bps: -7628.1
· mean_bps: -83.83
· sharpe: -0.55
· max_dd_bps: -7628.1
gate: min_trades=— min_wr=— min_total_bps=— min_sharpe=— effective_days=—
Cumulative P&L (last 100 closed)
Last 100 trades
| time | sym | side | entry→exit | pnl | close |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-27 18:49 | BTC | Buy | 59611→60490 | +6.94 | timeout |
| 06-27 17:49 | BTC | Buy | 60003→60559 | +4.19 | timeout |
| 06-27 16:48 | BTC | Buy | 60084→60762 | +5.18 | timeout |
| 06-27 15:47 | BTC | Buy | 60296→60726 | +3.13 | timeout |
| 06-26 18:49 | BTC | Buy | 59447→59653 | +1.17 | timeout |
| 06-26 17:47 | BTC | Buy | 59487→60041 | +4.12 | timeout |
| 06-26 16:45 | BTC | Buy | 59196→60073 | +6.87 | timeout |
| 06-26 15:42 | BTC | Buy | 59154→60409 | +10.01 | timeout |
| 06-26 14:40 | BTC | Buy | 59651→59577 | -1.12 | timeout |
| 06-25 17:44 | BTC | Buy | 59348→59552 | +1.33 | timeout |
| 06-25 13:58 | BTC | Buy | 59566→58101 | -12.68 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 13:57 | BTC | Buy | 59787→58311.9 | -12.73 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 13:54 | BTC | Buy | 60156→58674.7 | -12.70 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 13:46 | BTC | Buy | 61151.1→59647.2 | -12.71 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 17:47 | BTC | Buy | 60621→59129.5 | -12.74 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 16:51 | BTC | Buy | 61132.1→59626.2 | -12.75 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 14:19 | BTC | Buy | 62457.1→60885.5 | -13.03 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 14:17 | BTC | Buy | 62548.1→61000.4 | -12.82 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 14:13 | BTC | Buy | 62651.1→61106.4 | -12.77 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 14:13 | BTC | Buy | 62652.1→61111.4 | -12.74 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 14:13 | BTC | Buy | 62668.1→61127.4 | -12.74 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 10:35 | BTC | Buy | 62277.1→62553.9 | +1.72 | timeout |
| 06-24 09:34 | BTC | Buy | 62444.1→62671.9 | +1.30 | timeout |
| 06-24 08:32 | BTC | Buy | 62187.1→62657.9 | +3.25 | timeout |
| 06-24 07:30 | BTC | Buy | 62997.1→62647.9 | -3.27 | timeout |
| 06-24 06:38 | BTC | Buy | 62858.1→62827.9 | -0.74 | timeout |
| 06-23 08:17 | BTC | Buy | 63986.2→62404.7 | -12.82 | stop_loss |
| 06-23 06:21 | BTC | Buy | 64209.2→62629.5 | -12.76 | stop_loss |
| 06-23 06:21 | BTC | Buy | 64325.2→62743.5 | -12.76 | stop_loss |
| 06-23 06:21 | BTC | Buy | 64362.2→62776.5 | -12.78 | stop_loss |
| 06-23 06:20 | BTC | Buy | 64498.2→62905.4 | -12.81 | stop_loss |
| 06-22 22:45 | BTC | Buy | 63669.2→63845.8 | +0.93 | timeout |
| 06-22 21:44 | BTC | Buy | 63875.2→64170.8 | +1.86 | timeout |
| 06-22 20:43 | BTC | Buy | 63968.2→64471.8 | +3.46 | timeout |
| 06-22 19:41 | BTC | Buy | 64179.2→64387.8 | +1.13 | timeout |
| 06-22 18:39 | BTC | Buy | 64211.2→64532.8 | +1.99 | timeout |
| 06-21 22:37 | BTC | Buy | 64244.2→63586.8 | -5.55 | timeout |
| 06-21 21:34 | BTC | Buy | 63910.2→63732.8 | -1.84 | timeout |
| 06-21 20:34 | BTC | Buy | 63832.2→64018.8 | +1.01 | timeout |
| 06-21 19:29 | BTC | Buy | 63833.2→64183.8 | +2.32 | timeout |
| 06-21 18:26 | BTC | Buy | 63837.2→63990.8 | +0.82 | timeout |
| 06-20 21:28 | BTC | Buy | 63143.2→63927.8 | +5.78 | timeout |
| 06-20 20:27 | BTC | Buy | 63052.2→63896.8 | +6.28 | timeout |
| 06-20 19:26 | BTC | Buy | 62989.1→63884.8 | +6.68 | timeout |
| 06-20 18:25 | BTC | Buy | 63108.2→63837.8 | +5.33 | timeout |
| 06-20 17:25 | BTC | Buy | 62925.1→63869.8 | +7.04 | timeout |
| 06-19 20:38 | BTC | Buy | 63128.2→63041.8 | -1.17 | timeout |
| 06-19 19:36 | BTC | Buy | 62816.1→62949.9 | +0.58 | timeout |
| 06-19 18:37 | BTC | Buy | 62808.1→63075.8 | +1.67 | timeout |
| 06-19 17:31 | BTC | Buy | 62677.1→62911.9 | +1.42 | timeout |
| 06-19 16:28 | BTC | Buy | 62636.1→63331.8 | +5.11 | timeout |
| 06-18 15:51 | BTC | Buy | 64100.2→62521.6 | -12.79 | stop_loss |
| 06-18 15:51 | BTC | Buy | 64100.2→62521.6 | -12.89 | stop_loss |
| 06-18 15:40 | BTC | Buy | 64223.2→62639.5 | -12.75 | stop_loss |
| 06-18 15:40 | BTC | Buy | 64284.2→62703.5 | -12.72 | stop_loss |
| 06-18 15:40 | BTC | Buy | 64362.2→62779.5 | -12.72 | stop_loss |
| 06-18 11:25 | BTC | Buy | 64684.2→63886.8 | -6.69 | timeout |
| 06-17 22:03 | BTC | Buy | 65452.3→63840.9 | -12.75 | stop_loss |
| 06-17 19:39 | BTC | Buy | 65843.3→64223.7 | -12.75 | stop_loss |
| 06-17 19:38 | BTC | Buy | 65854.3→64234.7 | -12.75 | stop_loss |
| 06-17 19:29 | BTC | Buy | 65909.3→64259.6 | -12.97 | stop_loss |
| 06-17 17:45 | BTC | Buy | 65751.3→65844.7 | +0.17 | timeout |
| 06-17 16:41 | BTC | Buy | 65815.3→65925.7 | +0.38 | timeout |
| 06-17 15:38 | BTC | Buy | 65900.3→65416.7 | -4.13 | timeout |
| 06-17 14:38 | BTC | Buy | 65635.3→65112.7 | -4.44 | timeout |
| 06-17 11:05 | BTC | Buy | 66109.3→64483.5 | -12.82 | stop_loss |
| 06-16 17:33 | BTC | Buy | 66693.3→65726.7 | -7.79 | timeout |
| 06-16 15:32 | BTC | Buy | 66691.3→65801.7 | -7.20 | timeout |
| 06-16 14:25 | BTC | Buy | 66381.3→65625.7 | -6.22 | timeout |
| 06-16 14:23 | BTC | Buy | 67211.4→65552.9 | -12.86 | stop_loss |
| 06-16 13:28 | BTC | Buy | 66825.3→66027.7 | -6.50 | timeout |
| 06-15 13:19 | BTC | Buy | 64000.2→66810.7 | +21.52 | take_profit |
| 06-15 13:19 | BTC | Buy | 64002.2→66812.7 | +21.52 | take_profit |
| 06-15 13:16 | BTC | Buy | 63908.2→66713.7 | +21.52 | take_profit |
| 06-15 13:06 | BTC | Buy | 63804.2→66610.7 | +21.56 | take_profit |
| 06-15 12:50 | BTC | Buy | 63756.2→66555.7 | +21.52 | take_profit |
| 06-14 21:00 | BTC | Buy | 64267.2→63986.8 | -2.66 | timeout |
| 06-14 19:55 | BTC | Buy | 64303.2→63751.8 | -4.78 | timeout |
| 06-14 17:51 | BTC | Buy | 63988.2→63733.8 | -2.52 | timeout |
| 06-14 16:44 | BTC | Buy | 64040.2→64129.8 | +0.21 | timeout |
| 06-14 15:40 | BTC | Buy | 64316.2→64012.8 | -2.83 | timeout |
| 06-13 20:36 | BTC | Buy | 63520.2→64212.8 | +4.99 | timeout |
| 06-13 19:29 | BTC | Buy | 63723.2→64147.8 | +2.88 | timeout |
| 06-13 17:33 | BTC | Buy | 63794.2→64095.8 | +1.90 | timeout |
| 06-13 16:31 | BTC | Buy | 63882.2→63986.8 | +0.39 | timeout |
| 06-13 15:27 | BTC | Buy | 64279.2→64273.8 | -0.52 | timeout |
| 06-12 19:30 | BTC | Buy | 63586.2→63695.8 | +0.40 | timeout |
| 06-12 18:24 | BTC | Buy | 63392.2→63681.8 | +1.82 | timeout |
| 06-12 17:20 | BTC | Buy | 62373.1→63824.8 | +11.15 | timeout |
| 06-12 16:18 | BTC | Buy | 62778.1→63810.8 | +7.73 | timeout |
| 06-12 15:09 | BTC | Buy | 62757.1→64108.8 | +10.24 | timeout |
| 06-11 18:44 | BTC | Buy | 61735.1→63504.8 | +13.75 | timeout |
| 06-11 17:39 | BTC | Buy | 61715.1→63207.8 | +11.55 | timeout |
| 06-11 16:39 | BTC | Buy | 62268.1→62676.9 | +2.74 | timeout |
| 06-11 15:37 | BTC | Buy | 62315.1→62823.9 | +3.54 | timeout |
| 06-11 14:31 | BTC | Buy | 61969.1→62865.9 | +6.68 | timeout |
| 06-10 18:16 | BTC | Buy | 61727.1→61958.9 | +1.39 | timeout |
| 06-10 17:12 | BTC | Buy | 61497.1→62023.9 | +3.78 | timeout |
| 06-10 16:09 | BTC | Buy | 60909→62438.9 | +12.08 | timeout |
| 06-10 15:10 | BTC | Buy | 61678.1→61935.9 | +1.60 | timeout |
Paper vs Live
Paper (trades.jsonl)
177
closed
45%
win rate
-515.98
total pnl ($)
-57.8 bps
avg bps net
Live (dry_run=0)
0
closed
—
win rate
—
total pnl ($)
—
avg bps net
Live: 0 trades, insufficient sample
Per-symbol breakdown (paper)
| symbol | n | wr | net bps | total pnl ($) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BTC | 177 | 45% | -57.8 | -515.98 |
Recent bounces (last 20 of 4)
| time | sym | side | reason |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06-27 19:11 | BTC | Buy | circuit_breaker |
| 06-27 18:14 | BTC | Buy | circuit_breaker |
| 06-27 18:04 | BTC | Buy | circuit_breaker |
| 06-27 17:01 | BTC | Buy | circuit_breaker |
Postmortem feed (last 10)
| time | sym | side | pnl | narrative |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| no postmortems | ||||