fear_greed_extreme_fear_basis_gate_long_v2

86

closed trades

51%

win rate

-174.97

total pnl ($)

0.519

weight

7d window — n=22 wr=45% pnl=-113.54 · venues=(unknown) · horizon=— · SL=— · TP=— · class=? in ?

Backtest evidence run: 2026-06-01 06:02:08 (26.9d ago) · src: canon

verdict: INSUFFICIENT_HISTORY · strict: STRICT-FAIL · batch: x3485394_06330

n: 5 · wr: 40.0% · total_bps: -302.4 · mean_bps: -60.47 · sharpe: -0.47 · max_dd_bps: -336.5

gate: min_trades=— min_wr=— min_total_bps=— min_sharpe=— effective_days=—

time	sym	side	entry→exit	pnl	close
06-28 01:02	BTC	Buy	59990→60131	+0.87	timeout
06-27 18:57	BTC	Buy	59544→60529	+9.41	timeout
06-27 13:10	BTC	Buy	58942.9→60395	+14.21	timeout
06-27 06:58	BTC	Buy	60259→60331	+0.19	timeout
06-27 00:17	BTC	Buy	59818→60042	+1.68	timeout
06-26 18:09	BTC	Buy	59645→60078	+3.66	timeout
06-25 18:23	BTC	Buy	59743→59554	-2.42	timeout
06-25 13:57	BTC	Buy	60056→58219	-18.89	stop_loss
06-25 13:53	BTC	Buy	60766→58907.6	-18.82	stop_loss
06-25 13:45	BTC	Buy	61800.1→59910	-18.85	stop_loss
06-24 17:20	BTC	Buy	61372.1→59494.3	-18.86	stop_loss
06-24 15:56	BTC	Buy	62180.1→60274.8	-18.75	stop_loss
06-24 15:33	BTC	Buy	62583.1→60668.6	-18.83	stop_loss
06-24 14:19	BTC	Buy	62779.1→60846.5	-18.86	stop_loss
06-24 12:03	BTC	Buy	62521.1→62900.9	+3.15	timeout
06-24 07:15	BTC	Buy	62988.1→62756.9	-2.81	timeout
06-23 08:27	BTC	Buy	63955.2→61997.9	-18.82	stop_loss
06-22 12:36	BTC	Buy	63924.2→64938.8	+8.84	timeout
06-22 04:27	BTC	Buy	64501.2→63920.8	-5.97	timeout
06-21 21:58	BTC	Buy	63985.2→63747.8	-2.83	timeout
06-21 13:13	BTC	Buy	63558.2→64093.8	+4.34	timeout
06-21 07:04	BTC	Buy	63640.2→64223.8	+4.82	timeout
06-21 00:41	BTC	Buy	63543.2→64263.8	+6.26	timeout
06-20 17:33	BTC	Buy	62962.1→63985.8	+9.24	timeout
06-20 07:43	BTC	Buy	62486.1→63719.8	+11.17	timeout
06-20 01:33	BTC	Buy	62884.1→63557.8	+5.89	timeout
06-19 13:36	BTC	Buy	63990.2→62766.9	-11.89	timeout
06-18 15:57	BTC	Buy	64273.2→62299.7	-18.62	stop_loss
06-18 15:56	BTC	Buy	64348.2→62379.7	-18.67	stop_loss
06-18 13:45	BTC	Buy	65273.3→63947.8	-12.72	timeout
06-18 04:11	BTC	Buy	65808.3→63744.9	-19.38	stop_loss
06-18 00:10	BTC	Buy	65723.3→64568.8	-11.13	timeout
06-17 18:04	BTC	Buy	66166.3→65370.7	-7.86	timeout
06-17 11:01	BTC	Buy	66503.3→64766.8	-16.31	timeout
06-17 05:02	BTC	Buy	65932.3→65853.7	-1.31	timeout
06-16 22:58	BTC	Buy	66201.3→65743.7	-4.79	timeout
06-16 16:57	BTC	Buy	67160.4→65755.7	-13.22	timeout
06-16 08:51	BTC	Buy	65729.3→66747.7	+8.79	timeout
06-16 02:42	BTC	Buy	65597.3→65826.7	+1.54	timeout
06-15 15:52	BTC	Buy	64019.2→67218.6	+29.46	take_profit
06-15 14:30	BTC	Buy	64145.2→66465.7	+21.17	timeout
06-15 08:29	BTC	Buy	64459.2→65652.7	+10.56	timeout
06-15 02:26	BTC	Buy	64534.2→65647.7	+9.77	timeout
06-14 20:21	BTC	Buy	64242.2→63876.8	-4.01	timeout
06-14 13:38	BTC	Buy	64212.2→64265.8	-0.04	timeout
06-14 07:37	BTC	Buy	63799.2→64300.8	+4.17	timeout
06-14 01:32	BTC	Buy	63648.2→64581.8	+8.31	timeout
06-13 19:31	BTC	Buy	63641.2→64140.8	+4.17	timeout
06-13 13:15	BTC	Buy	63452.2→64138.8	+5.87	timeout
06-13 07:06	BTC	Buy	63080.2→63662.8	+4.99	timeout
06-13 01:00	BTC	Buy	63565.2→63598.8	-0.33	timeout
06-12 15:51	BTC	Buy	62617.1→63734.8	+10.05	timeout
06-12 08:45	BTC	Buy	62850.1→63342.8	+4.05	timeout
06-12 02:36	BTC	Buy	61980.1→63508.8	+14.14	timeout
06-11 20:28	BTC	Buy	61872.1→63320.8	+13.34	timeout
06-11 14:26	BTC	Buy	61993.1→62915.9	+8.27	timeout
06-11 08:19	BTC	Buy	61601.1→62803.9	+11.00	timeout
06-10 18:54	BTC	Buy	61694.1→61781.9	+0.25	timeout
06-10 13:19	BTC	Buy	62361.1→61430.9	-9.48	timeout
06-09 16:19	BTC	Buy	62743.1→60822.5	-19.02	stop_loss
06-09 14:35	BTC	Buy	63361.2→61423.2	-18.90	stop_loss
06-09 14:21	BTC	Buy	63536.2→61591.1	-18.92	stop_loss
06-09 11:34	BTC	Buy	63514.2→62599.9	-9.11	timeout
06-09 05:12	BTC	Buy	62551.1→63146.8	+5.15	timeout
06-08 23:02	BTC	Buy	63002.1→63455.8	+3.75	timeout
06-08 17:00	BTC	Buy	62040.1→63509.8	+13.56	timeout
06-08 10:48	BTC	Buy	62305.1→63111.8	+7.23	timeout
06-08 04:36	BTC	Buy	61653.1→62780.9	+10.42	timeout
06-07 22:14	BTC	Buy	60526→63546.8	+29.42	take_profit
06-07 16:27	BTC	Buy	60589→62156.9	+14.92	timeout
06-07 10:23	BTC	Buy	60572→62485.9	+18.44	timeout
06-07 04:20	BTC	Buy	60061→61576.9	+14.60	timeout
06-06 19:56	BTC	Buy	60222→60631	+3.62	timeout
06-05 13:57	BTC	Buy	62714.1→60795.5	-18.90	stop_loss
06-05 13:57	BTC	Buy	62775.1→60851.5	-18.93	stop_loss
06-05 06:21	BTC	Buy	63496.2→61551.1	-18.88	stop_loss
06-05 06:20	BTC	Buy	63528.2→61582.1	-18.84	stop_loss
06-05 06:03	BTC	Buy	63998.2→62039.9	-18.85	stop_loss
06-05 01:55	BTC	Buy	62133.1→63315.8	+10.89	timeout
06-03 23:08	BTC	Buy	66443.3→64409.6	-19.01	stop_loss
06-03 20:55	BTC	Buy	66791.3→64739.4	-18.99	stop_loss
06-03 20:55	BTC	Buy	66947.3→64898.3	-18.96	stop_loss
06-03 15:47	BTC	Buy	67316.4→66168.7	-10.87	timeout
06-02 13:15	BTC	Buy	70975.5→68803.1	-18.93	stop_loss
05-29 21:26	BTC	Buy	73735.7→73548.3	-2.11	timeout
05-29 09:32	BTC	Buy	73364.7→73814.3	+3.06	timeout

Paper (trades.jsonl)

86

closed

51%

win rate

-174.97

total pnl ($)

-33.6 bps

avg bps net

Live (dry_run=0)

0

closed

—

win rate

—

total pnl ($)

—

avg bps net

Live: 0 trades, insufficient sample

symbol	n	wr	net bps	total pnl ($)
BTC	86	51%	-33.6	-174.97

time	sym	side	reason
06-28 01:52	BTC	Buy	circuit_breaker
06-28 01:52	BTC	Buy	circuit_breaker

time	sym	side	pnl	narrative
no postmortems

More…

Cumulative P&L (last 86 closed)

Last 100 trades

Paper vs Live

Per-symbol breakdown (paper)

Recent bounces (last 20 of 2)

Postmortem feed (last 10)