fear_greed_extreme_contrarian_long_v11

54

closed trades

43%

win rate

-202.37

total pnl ($)

0.658

weight

7d window — n=14 wr=36% pnl=-93.72 · venues=(unknown) · horizon=— · SL=— · TP=— · class=? in ?

Backtest evidence run: 2026-05-27 01:41:31 (32.2d ago) · src: canon

verdict: REJECT · strict: STRICT-FAIL · batch: x2189875_29133

n: 51 · wr: 43.1% · total_bps: -1929.2 · mean_bps: -37.83 · sharpe: -0.12 · max_dd_bps: -5723.1

gate: min_trades=— min_wr=— min_total_bps=— min_sharpe=— effective_days=—

time	sym	side	entry→exit	pnl	close
06-27 21:31	BTC	Buy	59689→60431	+5.90	timeout
06-25 13:48	BTC	Buy	60814→59256.4	-13.22	stop_loss
06-25 13:44	BTC	Buy	61671.1→60091.9	-13.25	stop_loss
06-24 14:20	BTC	Buy	62436.1→60838.5	-13.22	stop_loss
06-24 14:19	BTC	Buy	62538.1→60937.5	-13.24	stop_loss
06-24 14:13	BTC	Buy	62677.1→61073.4	-13.24	stop_loss
06-23 08:27	BTC	Buy	63641.2→62012.9	-13.16	stop_loss
06-23 08:20	BTC	Buy	63940.2→62301.7	-13.26	stop_loss
06-23 06:22	BTC	Buy	64162.2→62509.6	-13.36	stop_loss
06-23 06:21	BTC	Buy	64368.2→62715.5	-13.30	stop_loss
06-22 21:13	BTC	Buy	64008.2→64351.8	+2.21	timeout
06-22 09:12	BTC	Buy	63472.2→64164.8	+4.84	timeout
06-21 21:11	BTC	Buy	63231.2→63520.8	+1.83	timeout
06-21 09:06	BTC	Buy	62514.1→63950.8	+10.74	timeout
06-20 21:03	BTC	Buy	63073.2→63928.8	+6.36	timeout
06-18 15:40	BTC	Buy	64305.2→62658.5	-13.15	stop_loss
06-18 15:40	BTC	Buy	64304.2→62658.5	-12.94	stop_loss
06-18 15:17	BTC	Buy	64938.2→63273.2	-13.22	stop_loss
06-17 19:39	BTC	Buy	65902.3→64214.7	-13.28	stop_loss
06-17 08:52	BTC	Buy	66489.3→64787.3	-13.28	stop_loss
06-17 08:51	BTC	Buy	65729.3→64926.8	-6.59	timeout
06-17 08:31	BTC	Buy	66814.3→65104.2	-13.23	stop_loss
06-16 08:40	BTC	Buy	64454.2→66505.7	+15.54	timeout
06-15 15:47	BTC	Buy	64238.2→67160.6	+22.33	take_profit
06-15 13:25	BTC	Buy	64030.2→66907.7	+22.03	take_profit
06-15 08:32	BTC	Buy	63789.2→65666.7	+14.24	timeout
06-14 20:28	BTC	Buy	63504.2→63914.8	+2.70	timeout
06-14 08:26	BTC	Buy	63465.2→64445.8	+7.23	timeout
06-13 20:33	BTC	Buy	63339.2→64222.8	+6.51	timeout
06-13 08:24	BTC	Buy	62879.1→63736.8	+6.16	timeout
06-12 20:21	BTC	Buy	61746.1→63518.8	+13.88	timeout
06-12 08:16	BTC	Buy	61651.1→63357.8	+13.17	timeout
06-09 21:02	BTC	Buy	61892.1→62016.9	+0.81	timeout
06-09 14:47	BTC	Buy	62761.1→61155.3	-13.25	stop_loss
06-09 14:21	BTC	Buy	63267.2→61642.1	-13.30	stop_loss
06-09 14:04	BTC	Buy	63718.2→62085.8	-13.26	stop_loss
06-07 22:15	BTC	Buy	61405.1→64162.8	+22.02	take_profit
06-07 22:14	BTC	Buy	60682→63406.8	+22.01	take_profit
06-07 19:19	BTC	Buy	62854.1→61245.3	-13.23	stop_loss
06-06 04:20	BTC	Buy	61503.1→59924	-13.29	stop_loss
06-05 13:57	BTC	Buy	62436.1→60837.5	-13.25	stop_loss
06-05 06:22	BTC	Buy	63056.2→61435.2	-13.24	stop_loss
06-05 06:03	BTC	Buy	63618.2→61980.9	-13.29	stop_loss
06-04 00:29	BTC	Buy	65155.3→63488.1	-13.24	stop_loss
06-03 20:55	BTC	Buy	66650.3→64944.3	-13.30	stop_loss
06-03 19:54	BTC	Buy	67044.4→65326.1	-13.30	stop_loss
06-02 14:21	BTC	Buy	69987.5→68192.5	-13.29	stop_loss
06-02 12:34	BTC	Buy	70910.5→69094	-13.33	stop_loss
06-01 22:26	BTC	Buy	73833.7→71240.8	-18.21	stop_loss
06-01 22:26	BTC	Buy	73791.7→71240.8	-18.03	stop_loss
05-31 23:47	BTC	Buy	73394.7→73594.3	+0.96	timeout
05-31 06:43	BTC	Buy	73656.7→74040.3	+2.05	timeout
05-30 19:22	BTC	Buy	73491.7→74001.3	+2.79	timeout
05-30 06:33	BTC	Buy	72819.6→73631.3	+5.04	timeout

Paper (trades.jsonl)

54

closed

43%

win rate

-202.37

total pnl ($)

-74.6 bps

avg bps net

Live (dry_run=0)

0

closed

—

win rate

—

total pnl ($)

—

avg bps net

Live: 0 trades, insufficient sample

symbol	n	wr	net bps	total pnl ($)
BTC	54	43%	-74.6	-202.37

time	sym	side	reason
06-27 21:46	BTC	Buy	circuit_breaker

time	sym	side	pnl	narrative
no postmortems

More…

Cumulative P&L (last 54 closed)

Last 100 trades

Paper vs Live

Per-symbol breakdown (paper)

Recent bounces (last 20 of 1)

Postmortem feed (last 10)