fear_greed_extrema_contrarian

67

closed trades

39%

win rate

-28.41

total pnl ($)

1.237

weight

7d window — n=14 wr=36% pnl=-3.65 · venues=(unknown) · horizon=— · SL=— · TP=— · class=? in ?

Backtest evidence run: 2026-05-20 05:48:10 (39.8d ago) · src: canon

verdict: REJECT · strict: STRICT-FAIL · batch: ant

n: 379 · wr: 42.0% · total_bps: -1847.1 · mean_bps: -4.87 · sharpe: -0.08 · max_dd_bps: -2346.1

gate: min_trades=— min_wr=— min_total_bps=— min_sharpe=— effective_days=—

time	sym	side	entry→exit	pnl	close
06-28 23:57	BTC	Buy	59035→59637	+4.65	timeout
06-28 11:20	BTC	Buy	60169→60178	-0.38	timeout
06-27 22:49	BTC	Buy	60250→60146	-1.31	timeout
06-27 10:39	BTC	Buy	60385→60402	-0.31	timeout
06-26 22:35	BTC	Buy	59872→59868	-0.49	timeout
06-26 10:57	BTC	Buy	59726→59311	-3.93	timeout
06-25 22:25	BTC	Buy	59590→59813	+1.42	timeout
06-25 10:21	BTC	Buy	61680.1→61567.9	-1.36	timeout
06-24 22:21	BTC	Buy	60870→60914	-0.08	timeout
06-24 10:22	BTC	Buy	62688.1→62504.9	-1.91	timeout
06-23 22:16	BTC	Buy	62506.1→62713.9	+1.21	timeout
06-23 10:10	BTC	Buy	62339.1→62415.9	+0.17	timeout
06-22 22:18	BTC	Buy	64368.2→64244.8	-1.41	timeout
06-22 10:11	BTC	Buy	64154.2→64221.8	+0.07	timeout
06-21 22:02	BTC	Buy	63790.2→63750.8	-0.76	timeout
06-21 09:59	BTC	Buy	63976.2→64171.8	+1.07	timeout
06-20 21:54	BTC	Buy	63895.2→63997.8	+0.35	timeout
06-20 09:53	BTC	Buy	63379.2→63666.8	+1.82	timeout
06-19 21:51	BTC	Buy	63166.2→63092.8	-1.03	timeout
06-19 09:46	BTC	Buy	62627.1→62376.9	-2.44	timeout
06-18 21:43	BTC	Buy	63126.2→62893.9	-2.29	timeout
06-18 10:04	BTC	Buy	64325.2→64150.8	-1.81	timeout
06-17 21:46	BTC	Buy	64243.2→64200.8	-0.78	timeout
06-17 09:38	BTC	Buy	65049.3→64945.8	-1.25	timeout
06-16 21:38	BTC	Buy	65781.3→65647.7	-1.47	timeout
06-16 09:32	BTC	Buy	66577.3→66643.7	+0.05	timeout
06-15 21:26	BTC	Buy	66534.3→66434.7	-1.20	timeout
06-15 09:18	BTC	Buy	65692.3→65736.7	-0.11	timeout
06-14 21:16	BTC	Buy	63810.2→64346.8	+3.75	timeout
06-14 09:12	BTC	Buy	64419.2→64430.8	-0.36	timeout
06-13 21:10	BTC	Buy	64262.2→64247.8	-0.56	timeout
06-13 09:09	BTC	Buy	63810.2→63784.8	-0.65	timeout
06-12 21:09	BTC	Buy	63559.2→63555.8	-0.48	timeout
06-12 09:08	BTC	Buy	63256.2→63483.8	+1.35	timeout
06-11 21:13	BTC	Buy	63495.2→63564.8	+0.09	timeout
06-11 08:59	BTC	Buy	62693.1→62901.9	+1.21	timeout
06-10 20:59	BTC	Buy	61980.1→61761.9	-2.21	timeout
06-10 08:50	BTC	Buy	61679.1→61213.9	-4.21	timeout
06-09 10:08	BTC	Buy	62712.1→62674.9	-0.75	timeout
06-08 22:06	BTC	Buy	63569.2→63472.8	-1.21	timeout
06-08 10:02	BTC	Buy	63175.2→63445.8	+1.69	timeout
06-07 22:14	BTC	Buy	61850.1→62771.9	+7.00	take_profit
06-07 10:05	BTC	Buy	62806.1→62401.9	-3.67	timeout
06-06 21:56	BTC	Buy	60668→60760	+0.31	timeout
06-06 09:50	BTC	Buy	61361.1→60928	-3.98	timeout
06-05 21:49	BTC	Buy	61430.1→61804.9	+2.60	timeout
06-05 09:53	BTC	Buy	62395.1→62824.9	+2.99	timeout
06-04 21:51	BTC	Buy	63528.2→63332.8	-1.99	timeout
06-04 09:30	BTC	Buy	63279.2→62665.5	-5.30	stop_loss
06-03 20:55	BTC	Buy	65311.3→64652.4	-5.49	stop_loss
06-03 09:10	BTC	Buy	67098.4→66939.7	-1.64	timeout
06-03 00:42	BTC	Buy	66569.3→67026.6	+2.98	timeout
06-02 08:08	BTC	Buy	69947.5→70035.5	+0.17	timeout
06-01 22:35	BTC	Buy	71093.4→71206.6	+0.34	timeout
05-31 14:55	BTC	Buy	73830.3→73672.7	-1.52	timeout
05-31 00:43	BTC	Buy	73771.3→73929.7	+0.62	timeout
05-30 14:18	BTC	Buy	73726.3→73957.7	+1.11	timeout
05-30 09:26	BTC	Buy	73519.3→73511.7	-0.50	timeout
05-29 12:55	BTC	Buy	73404.3→73312.7	-1.08	timeout
05-29 00:52	BTC	Buy	73529.3→73754.7	+1.08	timeout
05-28 12:34	BTC	Buy	73336.3→73443.7	+0.28	timeout
05-28 00:16	BTC	Buy	74471.3→74456.7	-0.55	timeout
05-27 12:16	BTC	Buy	75903.2→75558.8	-2.71	timeout
05-27 00:14	BTC	Buy	75871.2→75949.8	+0.07	timeout
05-26 12:15	BTC	Buy	77224.1→77015.9	-1.80	timeout
05-26 00:14	BTC	Buy	77242.1→77184.9	-0.82	timeout
05-25 12:15	BTC	Buy	77411.9→77313.1	-1.09	timeout

Paper (trades.jsonl)

67

closed

39%

win rate

-28.41

total pnl ($)

-8.5 bps

avg bps net

Live (dry_run=0)

0

closed

—

win rate

—

total pnl ($)

—

avg bps net

Live: 0 trades, insufficient sample

symbol	n	wr	net bps	total pnl ($)
BTC	67	39%	-8.5	-28.41

time	sym	side	reason
no bounces recorded

time	sym	side	pnl	narrative
no postmortems

More…

Cumulative P&L (last 67 closed)

Last 100 trades

Paper vs Live

Per-symbol breakdown (paper)

Recent bounces (last 20 of 0)

Postmortem feed (last 10)