fear_greed_capitulation_long_v1 · strategy

120

closed trades

43%

win rate

-289.15

total pnl ($)

1.024

weight

7d window — n=38 wr=53% pnl=-8.68 · venues=(unknown) · horizon=— · SL=— · TP=— · class=? in ?

Cumulative P&L (last 100 closed)

Last 100 trades

time	sym	side	entry→exit	pnl	close
06-21 21:23	BTC	Buy	63918.2→63741.8	-1.83	timeout
06-21 20:22	BTC	Buy	63924.2→64068.8	+0.68	timeout
06-21 19:23	BTC	Buy	63900.2→64176.8	+1.75	timeout
06-21 18:23	BTC	Buy	63818.2→63981.8	+0.89	timeout
06-21 17:19	BTC	Buy	63890.2→64136.8	+1.55	timeout
06-20 21:16	BTC	Buy	63246.2→63935.8	+5.01	timeout
06-20 20:13	BTC	Buy	63044.2→63950.8	+6.78	timeout
06-20 19:07	BTC	Buy	63005.2→63804.8	+5.91	timeout
06-20 18:03	BTC	Buy	63121.2→63884.8	+5.59	timeout
06-20 17:03	BTC	Buy	62912.1→63953.8	+7.79	timeout
06-19 19:52	BTC	Buy	62936.1→63068.8	+0.57	timeout
06-19 18:53	BTC	Buy	62750.1→62993.9	+1.47	timeout
06-19 17:51	BTC	Buy	62684.1→63159.8	+3.34	timeout
06-19 17:01	BTC	Buy	62581.1→62926.9	+2.32	timeout
06-19 16:24	BTC	Buy	62723.1→63266.8	+3.85	timeout
06-18 15:57	BTC	Buy	63924.2→62343.7	-12.68	stop_loss
06-18 15:40	BTC	Buy	64283.2→62702.5	-12.49	stop_loss
06-18 15:40	BTC	Buy	64351.2→62767.5	-12.48	stop_loss
06-18 15:39	BTC	Buy	64381.2→62795.4	-12.48	stop_loss
06-18 15:18	BTC	Buy	64755.2→63160.2	-12.43	stop_loss
06-18 04:11	BTC	Buy	65415.3→63803.9	-12.78	stop_loss
06-17 19:29	BTC	Buy	65927.3→64265.6	-13.05	stop_loss
06-17 19:29	BTC	Buy	66030.3→64394.6	-12.84	stop_loss
06-17 19:17	BTC	Buy	65556.3→65033.7	-4.46	timeout
06-17 18:08	BTC	Buy	66085.3→65239.7	-6.94	timeout
06-17 17:03	BTC	Buy	65756.3→65859.7	+0.24	timeout
06-17 15:58	BTC	Buy	65907.3→65705.7	-1.97	timeout
06-17 14:56	BTC	Buy	65642.3→65204.7	-3.79	timeout
06-16 17:53	BTC	Buy	66839.3→65974.7	-6.99	timeout
06-16 14:45	BTC	Buy	66527.3→65683.7	-6.88	timeout
06-16 14:23	BTC	Buy	67098.4→65438	-12.90	stop_loss
06-16 14:23	BTC	Buy	67176.4→65514.9	-12.89	stop_loss
06-16 13:52	BTC	Buy	66584.3→66081.7	-4.31	timeout
06-15 13:20	BTC	Buy	64024.2→66840.7	+21.56	take_profit
06-15 13:16	BTC	Buy	63931.2→66754.7	+21.65	take_profit
06-15 13:00	BTC	Buy	63795.2→66596.7	+21.52	take_profit
06-15 12:54	BTC	Buy	63772.2→66571.7	+21.52	take_profit
06-15 12:50	BTC	Buy	63750.2→66549.7	+21.52	take_profit
06-14 19:56	BTC	Buy	64302.2→63770.8	-4.63	timeout
06-14 18:56	BTC	Buy	64092.2→63777.8	-2.98	timeout
06-14 17:50	BTC	Buy	63984.2→63745.8	-2.39	timeout
06-14 16:45	BTC	Buy	64041.2→64110.8	+0.05	timeout
06-14 15:41	BTC	Buy	64308.2→64012.8	-2.76	timeout
06-13 19:26	BTC	Buy	63769.2→64147.8	+2.52	timeout
06-13 18:27	BTC	Buy	63729.2→64143.8	+2.79	timeout
06-13 17:27	BTC	Buy	63780.2→64012.8	+1.37	timeout
06-13 16:25	BTC	Buy	63839.2→63984.8	+0.72	timeout
06-13 15:24	BTC	Buy	64227.2→64278.8	-0.08	timeout
06-12 19:24	BTC	Buy	63655.2→63686.8	-0.22	timeout
06-12 18:19	BTC	Buy	63490.2→63709.8	+1.27	timeout
06-12 17:13	BTC	Buy	62418.1→63849.8	+10.97	timeout
06-12 16:08	BTC	Buy	62772.1→63733.8	+7.12	timeout
06-12 15:01	BTC	Buy	62520.1→64125.8	+12.31	timeout
06-11 18:42	BTC	Buy	61765.1→63475.8	+13.27	timeout
06-11 17:37	BTC	Buy	61795.1→63107.8	+10.08	timeout
06-11 16:37	BTC	Buy	62367.1→62760.9	+2.60	timeout
06-11 15:34	BTC	Buy	62299.1→62713.9	+2.78	timeout
06-11 14:27	BTC	Buy	62089.1→62872.9	+5.76	timeout
06-10 17:56	BTC	Buy	61712.1→61894.9	+0.99	timeout
06-10 16:55	BTC	Buy	61178.1→62104.9	+7.06	timeout
06-10 15:58	BTC	Buy	61088.1→62616.9	+12.06	timeout
06-10 15:02	BTC	Buy	61367.1→62306.9	+7.17	timeout
06-10 14:14	BTC	Buy	61981.1→61978.9	-0.49	timeout
06-09 14:21	BTC	Buy	63165.2→61612.1	-12.75	stop_loss
06-09 14:19	BTC	Buy	63273.2→61717	-12.75	stop_loss
06-09 14:11	BTC	Buy	63534.2→61966.9	-12.80	stop_loss
06-09 13:36	BTC	Buy	63695.2→62106.8	-12.91	stop_loss
06-09 13:25	BTC	Buy	63796.2→62226.8	-12.74	stop_loss
06-09 06:43	BTC	Buy	63003.2→63309.8	+1.93	timeout
06-09 05:42	BTC	Buy	62391.1→63413.8	+7.71	timeout
06-08 21:07	BTC	Buy	61734.1→63558.8	+14.29	timeout
06-08 17:52	BTC	Buy	62179.1→63461.8	+9.77	timeout
06-08 15:52	BTC	Buy	62128.1→63910.8	+13.75	timeout
06-08 06:29	BTC	Buy	61989.1→63055.8	+8.14	timeout
06-08 05:30	BTC	Buy	61723.1→62664.9	+7.18	timeout
06-07 21:03	BTC	Buy	60709→61745.9	+8.11	timeout
06-07 16:56	BTC	Buy	60715→62071.9	+10.69	timeout
06-07 15:50	BTC	Buy	60820→62040.9	+9.57	timeout
06-07 05:30	BTC	Buy	60748→61711.9	+7.51	timeout
06-07 04:28	BTC	Buy	59968→61535.9	+12.62	timeout
06-06 20:08	BTC	Buy	60648→60532	-1.34	timeout
06-06 16:05	BTC	Buy	60197→60822	+4.77	timeout
06-06 15:14	BTC	Buy	60526→60580	-0.00	timeout
06-06 04:27	BTC	Buy	61319.1→59809.1	-12.77	stop_loss
06-06 04:11	BTC	Buy	61768.1→60248.8	-12.75	stop_loss
06-05 21:04	BTC	Buy	59281→61883.9	+21.50	take_profit
06-05 18:52	BTC	Buy	60748→59254.4	-12.75	stop_loss
06-05 18:52	BTC	Buy	60841→59344.3	-12.76	stop_loss
06-05 18:43	BTC	Buy	61295.1→59787.1	-12.76	stop_loss
06-05 14:06	BTC	Buy	61976.1→60450.7	-12.76	stop_loss
06-05 14:04	BTC	Buy	62088.1→60560.7	-12.75	stop_loss
06-05 13:57	BTC	Buy	62400.1→60865.5	-12.75	stop_loss
06-05 13:49	BTC	Buy	62854.1→61308.3	-12.75	stop_loss
06-05 13:49	BTC	Buy	62876.1→61330.3	-12.75	stop_loss
06-05 11:47	BTC	Buy	62323.1→62153.9	-1.84	timeout
06-05 06:23	BTC	Buy	62781.1→61213.3	-12.93	stop_loss
06-05 06:23	BTC	Buy	62764.1→61213.3	-12.75	stop_loss
06-05 06:03	BTC	Buy	63561.2→61997.9	-12.70	stop_loss
06-05 06:03	BTC	Buy	63634.2→62065.8	-12.71	stop_loss
06-05 02:32	BTC	Buy	63141.2→62738.9	-3.61	timeout

Paper vs Live

Paper (trades.jsonl)

120

closed

43%

win rate

-289.15

total pnl ($)

-48.1 bps

avg bps net

Live (dry_run=0)

closed

—

win rate

—

total pnl ($)

—

avg bps net

Live: 0 trades, insufficient sample

Per-symbol breakdown (paper)

symbol	n	wr	net bps	total pnl ($)
BTC	120	43%	-48.1	-289.15

Recent bounces (last 20 of 2)

time	sym	side	reason
06-21 22:46	BTC	Buy	stale_intent
06-21 21:43	BTC	Buy	stale_intent

Postmortem feed (last 10)

time	sym	side	pnl	narrative
no postmortems

More…