extreme_top_trader_contrarian_loose · strategy

208

closed trades

38%

win rate

-140.83

total pnl ($)

0.250

weight

7d window — n=41 wr=27% pnl=-160.08 · venues=(unknown) · horizon=— · SL=— · TP=— · class=? in ?

Backtest evidence run: 2026-06-03 20:49:31 (24.3d ago) · src: canon

verdict: REJECT · strict: STRICT-FAIL · batch: strategies_batch_akg

n: 185 · wr: 43.2% · total_bps: -904.5 · mean_bps: -4.89 · sharpe: -0.02 · max_dd_bps: -5692.0

gate: min_trades=— min_wr=— min_total_bps=— min_sharpe=— effective_days=—

Cumulative P&L (last 100 closed)

Last 100 trades

time	sym	side	entry→exit	pnl	close
06-28 04:06	LINK	Buy	7.36364→7.30007	-4.72	timeout
06-28 04:05	ETH	Buy	1583.06→1572.44	-3.66	timeout
06-28 00:08	TRX	Buy	0.3216→0.3218	-0.14	timeout
06-27 16:09	BNB	Buy	561.71→565.229	+2.57	timeout
06-27 15:34	UNI	Sell	2.94146→3.01516	-12.98	stop_loss
06-27 04:04	TRX	Buy	0.322761→0.32038	-4.14	timeout
06-26 12:43	NEAR	Buy	1.81925→1.77317	-13.15	stop_loss
06-26 11:53	ATOM	Buy	1.63521→1.58931	-14.50	stop_loss
06-26 08:02	TRX	Buy	0.325661→0.322289	-5.63	timeout
06-26 02:12	XRP	Buy	1.04496→1.01864	-13.04	stop_loss
06-26 01:30	APT	Buy	0.597749→0.582463	-13.16	stop_loss
06-25 23:27	SOL	Sell	66.348→67.9952	-12.85	stop_loss
06-25 22:03	OP	Sell	0.103364→0.105959	-12.97	stop_loss
06-25 17:59	HYPE	Sell	61.7606→63.3075	-12.97	stop_loss
06-25 13:58	NEAR	Sell	1.90542→1.82226	+21.38	take_profit
06-25 13:48	BLUR	Sell	0.0145784→0.0139305	+21.77	take_profit
06-25 13:43	SUI	Buy	0.699955→0.682428	-12.96	stop_loss
06-25 11:11	INJ	Buy	4.26577→4.15768	-13.11	stop_loss
06-25 05:24	BTC	Sell	60277→61761	-12.78	stop_loss
06-25 05:07	SUI	Sell	0.674511→0.691418	-12.99	stop_loss
06-25 04:57	ETH	Sell	1594.34→1633.78	-12.79	stop_loss
06-24 16:51	ETH	Sell	1658.93→1586.16	+21.10	take_profit
06-24 16:51	SOL	Sell	69.8285→66.734	+21.51	take_profit
06-24 15:39	LINK	Buy	7.6046→7.41204	-13.05	stop_loss
06-24 13:22	ARB	Buy	0.0788697→0.0768923	-12.88	stop_loss
06-24 10:15	ADA	Sell	0.153052→0.146367	+21.31	take_profit
06-24 03:15	INJ	Buy	4.61005→4.49303	-13.05	stop_loss
06-23 08:15	DOGE	Sell	0.0828533→0.0792058	+21.41	take_profit
06-23 06:21	ADA	Buy	0.15824→0.154284	-12.42	stop_loss
06-23 06:14	SUI	Sell	0.727738→0.695994	+21.35	take_profit
06-23 06:08	NEAR	Buy	2.06172→2.01019	-12.96	stop_loss
06-23 04:07	DOT	Sell	0.967458→0.937174	+15.20	timeout
06-23 00:29	DOT	Buy	0.950368→0.926475	-13.02	stop_loss
06-22 22:27	ETH	Buy	1767.58→1723.57	-12.85	stop_loss
06-22 16:01	XRP	Sell	1.14851→1.13858	+3.79	timeout
06-22 04:06	BTC	Buy	63997.2→63904.8	-1.20	timeout
06-22 01:26	ETH	Sell	1711.53→1753.85	-12.81	stop_loss
06-22 00:06	BNB	Sell	586.353→585.046	+0.89	timeout
06-21 21:09	XLM	Buy	0.215844→0.210402	-13.06	stop_loss
06-21 10:24	FIL	Sell	0.783404→0.803412	-13.22	stop_loss
06-21 10:17	LTC	Sell	44.113→45.2499	-13.30	stop_loss
06-20 22:34	AAVE	Buy	73.3513→76.5479	+21.34	take_profit
06-20 14:07	ARB	Buy	0.084061→0.0819585	-12.99	stop_loss
06-20 04:06	XRP	Sell	1.14421→1.13968	+1.38	timeout
06-20 04:06	ETH	Sell	1687.53→1708.37	-6.51	timeout
06-20 04:06	BTC	Sell	62626.9→63421.2	-6.80	timeout
06-20 04:06	SOL	Sell	68.7767→69.9695	-8.98	timeout
06-19 20:04	BNB	Sell	588.743→579.925	+6.78	timeout
06-18 15:53	LINK	Buy	8.0042→7.80214	-13.01	stop_loss
06-18 15:45	ETH	Sell	1774.02→1696.07	+21.51	take_profit
06-18 15:37	DOT	Sell	0.99891→0.954699	+21.68	take_profit
06-18 15:18	AVAX	Sell	6.73971→6.44561	+21.31	take_profit
06-18 05:01	SUI	Sell	0.776116→0.742256	+21.38	take_profit
06-18 04:01	DOT	Sell	1.02444→0.979545	+21.46	take_profit
06-17 19:42	NEAR	Buy	2.29387→2.23632	-13.04	stop_loss
06-17 19:39	ICP	Buy	2.4122→2.35024	-13.29	stop_loss
06-17 18:05	APT	Buy	0.688272→0.670996	-13.01	stop_loss
06-17 16:08	BNB	Sell	614.506→606.121	+6.60	timeout
06-17 15:48	FIL	Sell	0.804269→0.824708	-13.16	stop_loss
06-17 08:49	DOGE	Buy	0.087942→0.0857337	-13.12	stop_loss
06-17 08:08	BTC	Buy	66548.3→65398.7	-9.03	timeout
06-17 01:49	SUI	Sell	0.794341→0.81422	-12.80	stop_loss
06-17 01:46	UNI	Buy	3.32203→3.46893	+21.66	take_profit
06-16 21:16	BCH	Sell	217.706→223.227	-13.13	stop_loss
06-16 08:45	AVAX	Sell	6.82509→6.99684	-13.04	stop_loss
06-16 08:14	ONDO	Sell	0.370267→0.379565	-13.00	stop_loss
06-16 02:29	SAGA	Buy	0.0130233→0.0126805	-13.61	stop_loss
06-16 02:18	SOL	Buy	75.1213→73.2524	-12.88	stop_loss
06-15 22:24	ETH	Buy	1840.78→1795.12	-12.87	stop_loss
06-15 20:50	ADA	Buy	0.184976→0.180335	-12.97	stop_loss
06-15 19:19	DOT	Buy	1.04296→1.01664	-13.07	stop_loss
06-15 18:31	APT	Buy	0.712578→0.694579	-13.09	stop_loss
06-15 15:41	SOL	Buy	71.4187→74.5498	+21.45	take_profit
06-15 13:16	ETH	Buy	1728.27→1804.42	+21.55	take_profit
06-15 12:42	DOGE	Buy	0.0863286→0.0900825	+21.16	take_profit
06-15 12:24	XRP	Buy	1.1849→1.23679	+21.43	take_profit
06-15 11:20	AVAX	Sell	6.75471→6.92419	-12.95	stop_loss
06-15 04:08	BTC	Buy	64032.2→65734.7	+12.80	timeout
06-14 21:50	BCH	Sell	203.349→208.516	-13.16	stop_loss
06-14 21:41	ONDO	Buy	0.348777→0.364139	+21.57	take_profit
06-14 20:10	SUI	Buy	0.762931→0.748643	-9.80	timeout
06-14 13:20	APT	Buy	0.671868→0.655008	-12.90	stop_loss
06-14 12:32	ADA	Buy	0.173203→0.168873	-12.71	stop_loss
06-14 08:10	DOGE	Sell	0.0874771→0.0871828	+1.46	timeout
06-13 15:37	XRP	Sell	1.13012→1.15847	-12.85	stop_loss
06-13 08:01	TRX	Buy	0.312288→0.315211	+4.23	timeout
06-13 06:48	DOT	Sell	0.950962→0.974891	-13.03	stop_loss
06-13 06:47	AAVE	Sell	64.17→65.8063	-13.20	stop_loss
06-12 22:25	SAGA	Sell	0.0126168→0.0129397	-13.24	stop_loss
06-12 20:03	XRP	Buy	1.11688→1.13042	+5.80	timeout
06-12 16:03	BTC	Buy	62604.1→63580.8	+7.23	timeout
06-12 15:13	ADA	Buy	0.166532→0.173797	+21.26	take_profit
06-12 11:12	BLUR	Buy	0.0177214→0.0184954	+21.39	take_profit
06-11 18:00	SAGA	Sell	0.0122569→0.0125994	-14.42	stop_loss
06-11 11:30	ETH	Sell	1625.94→1666.2	-12.77	stop_loss
06-11 10:55	BTC	Sell	61674.9→63194.7	-12.61	stop_loss
06-11 05:21	NEAR	Buy	1.9834→2.06978	+21.29	take_profit
06-11 03:55	LINK	Sell	7.57221→7.77543	-13.88	stop_loss
06-11 01:41	SOL	Sell	63.2675→64.8391	-12.84	stop_loss
06-10 21:54	DOT	Sell	0.946463→0.905116	+21.39	take_profit

Paper vs Live

Paper (trades.jsonl)

208

closed

38%

win rate

-140.83

total pnl ($)

-13.8 bps

avg bps net

Live (dry_run=0)

closed

—

win rate

—

total pnl ($)

—

avg bps net

Live: 0 trades, insufficient sample

Per-symbol breakdown (paper)

symbol	n	wr	net bps	total pnl ($)
ETH	13	38%	+5.7	+3.73
BTC	13	38%	-6.5	-3.77
SOL	12	42%	-9.8	-5.63
ADA	11	36%	+3.4	+2.03
XRP	11	55%	+18.3	+10.51
SUI	11	36%	-3.6	-1.85
LINK	10	20%	-108.5	-54.10
DOT	10	40%	+27.5	+13.73
DOGE	8	62%	+136.0	+54.78
NEAR	7	57%	+133.2	+46.49
AVAX	7	29%	-101.0	-35.57
LTC	7	0%	-239.4	-83.86
TRX	7	43%	-8.2	-2.85
BNB	6	67%	-31.4	-9.27
APT	5	20%	-123.4	-30.76
ATOM	5	40%	+6.5	+1.49
ARB	5	0%	-261.3	-65.01
FIL	5	20%	-198.6	-49.64
ONDO	5	80%	+295.9	+73.98
UNI	4	25%	-49.8	-9.95
INJ	4	25%	-89.3	-17.74
BLUR	4	75%	+227.2	+45.44
ICP	4	75%	+254.9	+50.98
SAGA	4	25%	-98.0	-19.59
ACE	3	67%	+204.8	+30.72
BCH	3	33%	-32.2	-4.83
OP	3	0%	-260.2	-38.96
HYPE	3	33%	-30.9	-4.63
AAVE	3	33%	-32.1	-4.81
ETC	2	0%	-280.4	-28.04
RENDER	2	50%	+83.5	+8.35
ZEREBRO	2	0%	-14.0	-1.40
CHILLGUY	2	0%	-14.0	-1.40
KAS	2	50%	+88.7	+8.87
XLM	2	50%	+85.8	+8.58
XMR	1	0%	-260.3	-13.01
GOAT	1	0%	-14.0	-0.70
HBAR	1	0%	-262.3	-13.11

Recent bounces (last 20 of 1)

time	sym	side	reason
06-28 04:16	LTC	Sell	circuit_breaker

Postmortem feed (last 10)

time	sym	side	pnl	narrative
no postmortems

More…