extreme_fear_contrarian_long_v2 · strategy

142

closed trades

48%

win rate

-305.13

total pnl ($)

0.379

weight

7d window — n=38 wr=53% pnl=-99.69 · venues=(unknown) · horizon=— · SL=— · TP=— · class=? in ?

Cumulative P&L (last 100 closed)

Last 100 trades

time	sym	side	entry→exit	pnl	close
06-22 20:40	BTC	Buy	63973.2→64462.8	+3.35	timeout
06-22 19:38	BTC	Buy	64173.2→64428.8	+1.49	timeout
06-22 18:34	BTC	Buy	64119.2→64566.8	+2.97	timeout
06-22 17:32	BTC	Buy	64048.2→64425.8	+2.49	timeout
06-22 16:27	BTC	Buy	64180.2→64639.8	+3.14	timeout
06-21 20:31	BTC	Buy	63884.2→64089.8	+1.16	timeout
06-21 19:26	BTC	Buy	63884.2→64191.8	+1.99	timeout
06-21 18:22	BTC	Buy	63818.2→63989.8	+0.98	timeout
06-21 17:18	BTC	Buy	63922.2→64128.8	+1.23	timeout
06-21 16:13	BTC	Buy	63950.2→64125.8	+0.92	timeout
06-20 20:17	BTC	Buy	63026.2→63932.8	+6.78	timeout
06-20 19:17	BTC	Buy	63030.2→63880.8	+6.31	timeout
06-20 18:15	BTC	Buy	63133.2→63808.8	+4.89	timeout
06-20 17:13	BTC	Buy	62952.1→63899.8	+7.05	timeout
06-20 16:12	BTC	Buy	63147.2→63966.8	+5.91	timeout
06-19 19:24	BTC	Buy	62716.1→62977.9	+1.61	timeout
06-19 18:22	BTC	Buy	62936.1→63138.8	+1.15	timeout
06-19 17:19	BTC	Buy	62571.1→63045.8	+3.34	timeout
06-19 16:18	BTC	Buy	62600.1→63312.8	+5.24	timeout
06-19 15:15	BTC	Buy	63530.2→63166.8	-3.21	timeout
06-18 15:57	BTC	Buy	63940.2→62365.7	-12.76	stop_loss
06-18 15:40	BTC	Buy	64321.2→62738.5	-12.73	stop_loss
06-18 15:40	BTC	Buy	64355.2→62769.5	-12.75	stop_loss
06-18 15:39	BTC	Buy	64383.2→62798.4	-12.74	stop_loss
06-18 14:52	BTC	Buy	65181.3→63532	-13.09	stop_loss
06-18 12:01	BTC	Buy	64793.2→63964.8	-6.91	timeout
06-17 19:44	BTC	Buy	65695.3→64078.7	-12.79	stop_loss
06-17 19:29	BTC	Buy	65897.3→64264.6	-12.84	stop_loss
06-17 19:29	BTC	Buy	65895.3→64264.6	-12.83	stop_loss
06-17 17:14	BTC	Buy	65793.3→65860.7	+0.01	timeout
06-17 16:12	BTC	Buy	65836.3→65745.7	-1.08	timeout
06-17 15:11	BTC	Buy	65827.3→65076.7	-6.16	timeout
06-17 11:05	BTC	Buy	66144.3→64494.5	-13.00	stop_loss
06-16 22:23	BTC	Buy	66318.3→65757.7	-4.77	timeout
06-16 15:09	BTC	Buy	66624.3→65799.7	-6.72	timeout
06-16 14:23	BTC	Buy	67203.4→65549.9	-12.83	stop_loss
06-16 14:07	BTC	Buy	66353.3→66105.7	-2.40	timeout
06-16 13:05	BTC	Buy	66532.3→66322.7	-2.10	timeout
06-15 22:02	BTC	Buy	65441.3→66371.7	+6.60	timeout
06-15 13:19	BTC	Buy	64000.2→66809.7	+21.51	take_profit
06-15 13:06	BTC	Buy	63813.2→66614.7	+21.52	take_profit
06-15 12:54	BTC	Buy	63766.2→66565.7	+21.52	take_profit
06-15 12:50	BTC	Buy	63758.2→66560.7	+21.54	take_profit
06-14 21:37	BTC	Buy	64294.2→64872.8	+4.02	timeout
06-14 20:35	BTC	Buy	64231.2→64047.8	-1.92	timeout
06-14 19:32	BTC	Buy	64149.2→63772.8	-3.44	timeout
06-14 18:31	BTC	Buy	64188.2→63718.8	-4.21	timeout
06-14 17:29	BTC	Buy	64066.2→63876.8	-2.00	timeout
06-13 21:15	BTC	Buy	63619.2→64204.8	+4.13	timeout
06-13 20:10	BTC	Buy	63548.2→64256.8	+5.13	timeout
06-13 19:03	BTC	Buy	63746.2→64165.8	+2.84	timeout
06-13 18:03	BTC	Buy	63848.2→63988.8	+0.63	timeout
06-13 17:03	BTC	Buy	63921.2→63963.8	-0.12	timeout
06-12 20:10	BTC	Buy	63514.2→63542.8	-0.23	timeout
06-12 19:06	BTC	Buy	63470.2→63673.8	+1.14	timeout
06-12 18:01	BTC	Buy	63703.2→63859.8	+0.77	timeout
06-12 17:00	BTC	Buy	62532.1→63932.8	+10.71	timeout
06-12 15:56	BTC	Buy	62619.1→63656.8	+7.75	timeout
06-11 19:30	BTC	Buy	61817.1→63772.8	+15.24	timeout
06-11 18:26	BTC	Buy	61853.1→63415.8	+12.06	timeout
06-11 17:22	BTC	Buy	62052.1→62366.9	+2.00	timeout
06-11 16:23	BTC	Buy	62264.1→62618.9	+2.28	timeout
06-11 15:19	BTC	Buy	61976.1→62600.9	+4.50	timeout
06-10 17:56	BTC	Buy	61712.1→61894.9	+0.99	timeout
06-10 16:54	BTC	Buy	61216.1→62158.9	+7.19	timeout
06-10 15:58	BTC	Buy	61088.1→62616.9	+12.06	timeout
06-10 15:02	BTC	Buy	61367.1→62306.9	+7.17	timeout
06-10 14:13	BTC	Buy	62009.1→62085.9	+0.14	timeout
06-09 14:21	BTC	Buy	63167.2→61613.1	-12.76	stop_loss
06-09 14:20	BTC	Buy	63239.2→61684.1	-12.75	stop_loss
06-09 14:11	BTC	Buy	63518.2→61948.9	-12.81	stop_loss
06-09 14:04	BTC	Buy	63663.2→62097.8	-12.75	stop_loss
06-09 13:23	BTC	Buy	63831.2→62261.7	-12.73	stop_loss
06-09 06:42	BTC	Buy	62922.1→63316.8	+2.63	timeout
06-09 05:41	BTC	Buy	62442.1→63380.8	+7.03	timeout
06-08 21:06	BTC	Buy	61752.1→63562.8	+14.17	timeout
06-08 17:51	BTC	Buy	62209.1→63473.8	+9.61	timeout
06-08 15:50	BTC	Buy	62063.1→63823.8	+13.60	timeout
06-08 06:28	BTC	Buy	61929.1→63014.8	+8.30	timeout
06-08 05:26	BTC	Buy	61856.1→62581.9	+5.42	timeout
06-07 21:03	BTC	Buy	60708→61765.9	+8.29	timeout
06-07 16:55	BTC	Buy	60794→62158.9	+10.74	timeout
06-07 15:50	BTC	Buy	60794→62052.9	+9.89	timeout
06-07 05:30	BTC	Buy	60709→61726.9	+7.96	timeout
06-07 04:28	BTC	Buy	59977→61491.9	+12.18	timeout
06-06 20:09	BTC	Buy	60894→60537	-3.31	timeout
06-06 16:04	BTC	Buy	60224→60889	+5.13	timeout
06-06 15:16	BTC	Buy	60496→60538	-0.10	timeout
06-06 04:27	BTC	Buy	61316.1→59801.1	-12.81	stop_loss
06-06 04:11	BTC	Buy	61805.1→60278.8	-12.80	stop_loss
06-05 21:04	BTC	Buy	59320→61923.9	+21.50	take_profit
06-05 18:52	BTC	Buy	60742→59247.4	-12.76	stop_loss
06-05 18:52	BTC	Buy	60763→59268.4	-12.76	stop_loss
06-05 18:43	BTC	Buy	61294.1→59787.1	-12.75	stop_loss
06-05 14:06	BTC	Buy	61976.1→60446.7	-12.79	stop_loss
06-05 14:04	BTC	Buy	62102.1→60574.7	-12.75	stop_loss
06-05 13:56	BTC	Buy	62500.1→60962.5	-12.75	stop_loss
06-05 13:49	BTC	Buy	62858.1→61311.3	-12.76	stop_loss
06-05 13:49	BTC	Buy	62924.1→61373.2	-12.78	stop_loss
06-05 11:42	BTC	Buy	62210.1→62186.9	-0.67	timeout

Paper vs Live

Paper (trades.jsonl)

142

closed

48%

win rate

-305.13

total pnl ($)

-42.5 bps

avg bps net

Live (dry_run=0)

closed

—

win rate

—

total pnl ($)

—

avg bps net

Live: 0 trades, insufficient sample

Per-symbol breakdown (paper)

symbol	n	wr	net bps	total pnl ($)
BTC	142	48%	-42.5	-305.13

Recent bounces (last 20 of 7)

time	sym	side	reason
06-22 21:19	BTC	Buy	stale_intent
06-22 21:17	BTC	Buy	stale_intent
06-22 20:14	BTC	Buy	stale_intent
06-22 19:07	BTC	Buy	stale_intent
06-22 19:06	BTC	Buy	stale_intent
06-22 18:06	BTC	Buy	stale_intent
06-22 18:05	BTC	Buy	stale_intent

Postmortem feed (last 10)

time	sym	side	pnl	narrative
no postmortems

More…