exchange_top_trader_breakout_long · strategy

130

closed trades

36%

win rate

-54.86

total pnl ($)

1.063

weight

7d window — n=27 wr=33% pnl=-2.79 · venues=(unknown) · horizon=— · SL=— · TP=— · class=? in ?

Backtest evidence run: 2026-05-19 00:37:16 (34.2d ago) · src: canon

verdict: INSUFFICIENT_HISTORY · strict: STRICT-FAIL · batch: im__restored_5ccede80

n: 4 · wr: 50.0% · total_bps: -38.2 · mean_bps: -9.55 · sharpe: -0.19 · max_dd_bps: -58.2

gate: min_trades=— min_wr=— min_total_bps=— min_sharpe=— effective_days=—

Cumulative P&L (last 100 closed)

Last 100 trades

time	sym	side	entry→exit	pnl	close
06-21 23:08	BTC	Buy	63718.2→63682.8	-0.73	timeout
06-21 17:04	BTC	Buy	64199.2→64133.8	-0.96	timeout
06-21 11:03	BTC	Buy	64197.2→64430.8	+1.37	timeout
06-21 05:02	BTC	Buy	64391.2→64252.8	-1.52	timeout
06-20 22:59	BTC	Buy	63996.2→64269.8	+1.69	timeout
06-20 16:55	BTC	Buy	64079.2→63972.8	-1.28	timeout
06-20 10:53	BTC	Buy	63673.2→63618.8	-0.88	timeout
06-20 04:50	BTC	Buy	63458.2→63553.8	+0.30	timeout
06-19 22:47	BTC	Buy	63089.2→63272.8	+1.00	timeout
06-19 16:44	BTC	Buy	63244.2→63232.8	-0.54	timeout
06-19 10:38	BTC	Buy	62417.1→62410.9	-0.50	timeout
06-19 04:47	BTC	Buy	62656.1→62569.9	-1.14	timeout
06-18 22:39	BTC	Buy	62888.1→62783.9	-1.28	timeout
06-18 16:47	BTC	Buy	62693.1→62725.9	-0.18	timeout
06-18 10:29	BTC	Buy	64219.2→63930.8	-2.70	timeout
06-18 04:28	BTC	Buy	64304.2→63908.8	-3.53	timeout
06-17 22:33	BTC	Buy	64267.2→64344.8	+0.15	timeout
06-17 16:28	BTC	Buy	65384.3→66366.7	+7.06	take_profit
06-17 10:29	BTC	Buy	65026.3→64910.8	-1.34	timeout
06-17 04:29	BTC	Buy	65762.3→65870.7	+0.37	timeout
06-16 22:20	BTC	Buy	65747.3→65804.7	-0.02	timeout
06-16 16:06	BTC	Buy	65781.3→65811.7	-0.22	timeout
06-16 10:06	BTC	Buy	66818.3→66522.7	-2.66	timeout
06-16 04:07	BTC	Buy	65771.3→66139.7	+2.35	timeout
06-15 22:09	BTC	Buy	66404.3→66416.7	-0.36	timeout
06-15 15:53	BTC	Buy	66591.3→67214.6	+4.22	timeout
06-15 09:55	BTC	Buy	65694.3→65555.7	-1.50	timeout
06-15 03:54	BTC	Buy	65417.3→65906.7	+3.29	timeout
06-14 21:39	BTC	Buy	64021.2→64975.8	+7.00	take_profit
06-14 15:44	BTC	Buy	63910.2→64028.8	+0.48	timeout
06-14 09:43	BTC	Buy	64454.2→64500.8	-0.09	timeout
06-14 03:40	BTC	Buy	64505.2→64465.8	-0.75	timeout
06-13 21:35	BTC	Buy	64231.2→64257.8	-0.24	timeout
06-13 15:34	BTC	Buy	64147.2→64270.8	+0.51	timeout
06-13 09:30	BTC	Buy	63778.2→63791.8	-0.35	timeout
06-13 03:30	BTC	Buy	63708.2→63488.8	-2.17	timeout
06-12 21:25	BTC	Buy	63515.2→63522.8	-0.39	timeout
06-12 15:30	BTC	Buy	63635.2→64084.8	+3.08	timeout
06-12 09:23	BTC	Buy	63515.2→63633.8	+0.48	timeout
06-12 03:33	BTC	Buy	63571.2→63430.8	-1.56	timeout
06-11 21:37	BTC	Buy	63293.2→63451.8	+0.80	timeout
06-11 15:34	BTC	Buy	62878.1→62706.9	-1.82	timeout
06-11 09:25	BTC	Buy	62873.1→62765.9	-1.31	timeout
06-11 03:20	BTC	Buy	62204.1→62001.9	-2.08	timeout
06-10 21:14	BTC	Buy	61793.1→61510.9	-2.73	timeout
06-10 15:00	BTC	Buy	62105.1→62153.9	-0.06	timeout
06-10 08:51	BTC	Buy	61657.1→61240.9	-3.82	timeout
06-09 16:40	BTC	Buy	61335.1→60741.6	-5.29	stop_loss
06-09 10:44	BTC	Buy	62644.1→62681.9	-0.15	timeout
06-09 04:40	BTC	Buy	62728.1→63280.8	+3.96	timeout
06-08 22:18	BTC	Buy	63780.2→63166.2	-5.26	stop_loss
06-08 16:37	BTC	Buy	63853.2→63641.8	-2.11	timeout
06-08 10:33	BTC	Buy	63292.2→63114.8	-1.85	timeout
06-08 04:29	BTC	Buy	63126.2→62904.9	-2.20	timeout
06-07 22:14	BTC	Buy	61796.1→62716.9	+7.00	take_profit
06-07 16:23	BTC	Buy	61785.1→62232.9	+3.17	timeout
06-07 10:22	BTC	Buy	62720.1→62454.9	-2.56	timeout
06-07 04:16	BTC	Buy	61509.1→61532.9	-0.26	timeout
06-06 22:11	BTC	Buy	60858→60605	-2.53	timeout
06-06 16:05	BTC	Buy	60580→60916	+2.32	timeout
06-06 10:04	BTC	Buy	61138.1→60760	-3.54	timeout
06-06 04:03	BTC	Buy	60870→60736	-1.55	timeout
06-05 22:00	BTC	Buy	61591.1→61626.9	-0.16	timeout
06-05 15:39	BTC	Buy	60760→60176.9	-5.25	stop_loss
06-05 09:59	BTC	Buy	62436.1→62838.9	+2.78	timeout
06-05 04:49	BTC	Buy	62782.1→62943.9	+0.84	timeout
06-04 21:57	BTC	Buy	63530.2→63287.8	-2.36	timeout
06-04 16:18	BTC	Buy	64142.2→63684.8	-4.02	timeout
06-04 09:29	BTC	Buy	63345.2→62727.5	-5.33	stop_loss
06-04 05:11	BTC	Buy	64344.2→63725.9	-5.26	stop_loss
06-03 20:55	BTC	Buy	65291.3→64656.4	-5.31	stop_loss
06-03 14:17	BTC	Buy	67212.4→66838.7	-3.23	timeout
06-03 05:32	BTC	Buy	66305.3→66729.7	+2.75	timeout
06-03 00:24	BTC	Buy	66396.3→66814.7	+2.70	timeout
06-02 16:55	BTC	Buy	67151.4→67552.6	+2.54	timeout
06-02 08:08	BTC	Buy	69964.5→69997.5	-0.22	timeout
06-02 05:57	BTC	Buy	70806.5→70316.5	-3.92	timeout
06-01 22:47	BTC	Buy	71010.4→71244.6	+1.19	timeout
06-01 00:30	BTC	Buy	73749.3→73951.7	+0.92	timeout
05-31 14:55	BTC	Buy	73830.3→73670.7	-1.53	timeout
05-31 06:44	BTC	Buy	74061.3→74047.7	-0.54	timeout
05-31 00:44	BTC	Buy	73770.3→73928.7	+0.62	timeout
05-30 22:28	BTC	Buy	73956.3→73856.7	-1.13	timeout
05-30 10:41	BTC	Buy	73522.3→73608.7	+0.13	timeout
05-30 05:00	BTC	Buy	73515.3→73365.7	-1.47	timeout
05-29 18:01	BTC	Buy	74115.3→73954.7	-1.54	timeout
05-29 09:51	BTC	Buy	73666.3→73711.7	-0.15	timeout
05-28 21:46	BTC	Buy	73620.3→73818.7	+0.89	timeout
05-28 15:05	BTC	Buy	72847.4→73056.7	+0.98	timeout
05-28 09:00	BTC	Buy	73456.3→73295.7	-1.54	timeout
05-28 02:54	BTC	Buy	74261.3→74317.7	-0.07	timeout
05-27 20:53	BTC	Buy	75005.2→75229.8	+1.04	timeout
05-27 14:52	BTC	Buy	75046.2→75065.8	-0.32	timeout
05-27 08:53	BTC	Buy	75886.2→75859.8	-0.62	timeout
05-27 02:52	BTC	Buy	75918.2→75750.8	-1.55	timeout
05-26 20:52	BTC	Buy	76030.2→76029.8	-0.46	timeout
05-26 14:51	BTC	Buy	77289.1→77055.9	-1.96	timeout
05-26 08:50	BTC	Buy	76629.2→76722.8	+0.16	timeout
05-26 02:49	BTC	Buy	76744.2→76573.8	-1.56	timeout
05-25 20:49	BTC	Buy	77364.9→77267.1	-1.09	timeout

Paper vs Live

Paper (trades.jsonl)

130

closed

36%

win rate

-54.86

total pnl ($)

-8.4 bps

avg bps net

Live (dry_run=0)

closed

—

win rate

—

total pnl ($)

—

avg bps net

Live: 0 trades, insufficient sample

Per-symbol breakdown (paper)

symbol	n	wr	net bps	total pnl ($)
BTC	130	36%	-8.4	-54.86

Recent bounces (last 20 of 1)

time	sym	side	reason
06-21 22:36	BTC	Buy	stale_intent

Postmortem feed (last 10)

time	sym	side	pnl	narrative
no postmortems

More…