2
closed trades
0%
win rate
-9.77
total pnl ($)
1.098
weight
7d window — n=0 wr=0% pnl=+0.00
· venues=(unknown)
· horizon=—
· SL=—
· TP=—
· class=? in ?
Backtest evidence
run: 2026-05-20 03:59:33 (33.2d ago) · src: canon
verdict: REJECT
· strict: STRICT-FAIL
· batch:
mu
n: 3
· wr: 66.7%
· total_bps: +41.1
· mean_bps: +13.69
· sharpe: +0.10
· max_dd_bps: -164.4
gate: min_trades=— min_wr=— min_total_bps=— min_sharpe=— effective_days=—
Cumulative P&L (last 2 closed)
Last 100 trades
| time | sym | side | entry→exit | pnl | close |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-07 17:01 | BTC | Buy | 80969→79777 | -7.85 | timeout |
| 04-25 20:47 | BTC | Buy | 77606→77378 | -1.92 | timeout |
Paper vs Live
Paper (trades.jsonl)
2
closed
0%
win rate
-9.77
total pnl ($)
-97.3 bps
avg bps net
Live (dry_run=0)
0
closed
—
win rate
—
total pnl ($)
—
avg bps net
Live: 0 trades, insufficient sample
Per-symbol breakdown (paper)
| symbol | n | wr | net bps | total pnl ($) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BTC | 2 | 0% | -97.3 | -9.77 |
Recent bounces (last 20 of 0)
| time | sym | side | reason |
|---|---|---|---|
| no bounces recorded | |||
Postmortem feed (last 10)
| time | sym | side | pnl | narrative |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-07 17:01 | BTC | Buy | -7.85 | The market was in a mild downtrend across major assets, with BTC declining 1.73% in 24 hours and 2.82% over the week. The thesis failed because the trade was not executed (entry=None) and was closed by timeout, resulting in a small negative PnL from an unfi… |
| 04-25 20:47 | BTC | Buy | -1.92 | Bitcoin was consolidating with minimal directional momentum, up 2.33% over 7 days but essentially flat on the day (-0.31%) at $77,420 as the trade timed out after 12 hours. The thesis failed because while institutional ETF flows ($1.47B cumulative) did show… |