4
closed trades
50%
win rate
+2.19
total pnl ($)
1.255
weight
7d window — n=0 wr=0% pnl=+0.00
· venues=(unknown)
· horizon=—
· SL=—
· TP=—
· class=? in ?
Backtest evidence
run: 2026-05-18 13:52:41 (40.9d ago) · src: canon
verdict: REJECT
· strict: STRICT-FAIL
· batch:
ado
n: 4
· wr: 25.0%
· total_bps: -23.2
· mean_bps: -5.79
· sharpe: -0.04
· max_dd_bps: -131.2
gate: min_trades=— min_wr=— min_total_bps=— min_sharpe=— effective_days=—
Cumulative P&L (last 4 closed)
Last 100 trades
| time | sym | side | entry→exit | pnl | close |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-10 11:25 | ETH | Buy | 2290.93→2320.87 | +5.86 | timeout |
| 05-10 11:25 | BTC | Buy | 80165→80763 | +3.23 | timeout |
| 05-07 01:21 | BTC | Buy | 81256.1→80974 | -2.17 | timeout |
| 05-06 19:21 | BTC | Buy | 82008.1→81303.9 | -4.73 | timeout |
Paper vs Live
Paper (trades.jsonl)
4
closed
50%
win rate
+2.19
total pnl ($)
+12.2 bps
avg bps net
Live (dry_run=0)
0
closed
—
win rate
—
total pnl ($)
—
avg bps net
Live: 0 trades, insufficient sample
Per-symbol breakdown (paper)
| symbol | n | wr | net bps | total pnl ($) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BTC | 3 | 33% | -24.3 | -3.67 |
| ETH | 1 | 100% | +121.7 | +5.86 |
Recent bounces (last 20 of 0)
| time | sym | side | reason |
|---|---|---|---|
| no bounces recorded | |||
Postmortem feed (last 10)
| time | sym | side | pnl | narrative |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-10 11:25 | ETH | Buy | +5.86 | ETH traded in a narrow range with low volatility, showing slight positive momentum on the hourly timeframe. The thesis failed because the trade was closed due to timeout, indicating the expected directional move did not materialize within the holding period. |
| 05-10 11:25 | BTC | Buy | +3.24 | BTC was trading in a narrow, low-volatility range with neutral funding and flat OI. The thesis failed because the trade was closed by timeout, indicating no directional move materialized within the expected timeframe. |
| 05-10 11:25 | ETH | Buy | +5.86 | ETH traded in a narrow range with low volatility, showing minimal directional bias across timeframes. The thesis failed because the trade was closed by timeout, indicating the expected move did not materialize within the holding period. |
| 05-10 11:25 | BTC | Buy | +3.24 | BTC was in a low-volatility, sideways grind with neutral funding and flat OI. The thesis failed because the trade was closed by timeout, indicating the expected directional move never materialized within the holding period. |
| 05-10 11:25 | ETH | Buy | +5.86 | The market was in a tight, low-volatility range with ETH flat across all timeframes and neutral funding. The thesis failed because the trade was closed by timeout, indicating the expected directional move did not materialize within the holding period. |
| 05-10 11:25 | BTC | Buy | +3.24 | BTC was trading in a narrow range with low volatility and neutral funding. The thesis failed because the trade was closed by timeout, not by reaching a target or stop, indicating the expected directional move did not materialize within the holding period. |
| 05-10 11:25 | ETH | Buy | +5.86 | The market was in a low-funding, neutral regime with stable open interest, offering no strong directional bias. The thesis failed because the trade was closed by timeout without reaching a target or stop, as the lack of volatility prevented the expected mov… |
| 05-10 11:25 | BTC | Buy | +3.24 | The market exhibited low volatility with neutral funding and stable open interest, offering no clear directional bias. The thesis failed because the trade was closed by timeout, as no entry was executed before the expiration window lapsed. |
| 05-10 11:25 | ETH | Buy | +5.86 | ETH traded in a narrow range with low volatility, showing minimal directional movement across timeframes. The thesis failed because the trade was closed by timeout, as the market lacked the momentum to trigger an exit within the allotted time. |
| 05-10 11:25 | BTC | Buy | +3.24 | BTC was trading in a narrow range with low volatility, showing slight positive momentum over the past 24 hours and week. The thesis failed because the trade was closed due to timeout, indicating the expected directional move did not materialize within the a… |