2
closed trades
50%
win rate
-7.08
total pnl ($)
1.223
weight
7d window — n=0 wr=0% pnl=+0.00
· venues=(unknown)
· horizon=—
· SL=—
· TP=—
· class=? in ?
Backtest evidence
run: 2026-05-20 04:42:06 (38.2d ago) · src: canon
verdict: REJECT
· strict: STRICT-FAIL
· batch:
sc
n: 2
· wr: 0.0%
· total_bps: -112.9
· mean_bps: -56.47
· sharpe: -1.05
· max_dd_bps: -112.9
gate: min_trades=— min_wr=— min_total_bps=— min_sharpe=— effective_days=—
Cumulative P&L (last 2 closed)
Last 100 trades
| time | sym | side | entry→exit | pnl | close |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-06 17:21 | BTC | Sell | 81999.9→81506.1 | +2.55 | timeout |
| 05-06 06:38 | BTC | Sell | 80005→81485.8 | -9.64 | stop_loss |
Paper vs Live
Paper (trades.jsonl)
2
closed
50%
win rate
-7.08
total pnl ($)
-71.4 bps
avg bps net
Live (dry_run=0)
0
closed
—
win rate
—
total pnl ($)
—
avg bps net
Live: 0 trades, insufficient sample
Per-symbol breakdown (paper)
| symbol | n | wr | net bps | total pnl ($) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BTC | 2 | 50% | -71.4 | -7.08 |
Recent bounces (last 20 of 0)
| time | sym | side | reason |
|---|---|---|---|
| no bounces recorded | |||
Postmortem feed (last 10)
| time | sym | side | pnl | narrative |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-06 17:21 | BTC | Sell | +2.55 | The market was in a mild downtrend with BTC declining 1.47% over 24 hours and negative funding. The thesis failed because the trade was closed by timeout before the expected move materialized, as the slow, grinding selloff did not trigger a sharp enough dec… |
| 05-06 06:38 | BTC | Sell | -9.64 | The market was in a mild downtrend across the board, with BTC declining 1.26% in 24 hours and negative funding. The short thesis failed because the stop_loss was triggered by a temporary intraday bounce against the prevailing bearish bias. |