7
closed trades
43%
win rate
-3.84
total pnl ($)
1.119
weight
7d window — n=0 wr=0% pnl=+0.00
· venues=(unknown)
· horizon=—
· SL=—
· TP=—
· class=? in ?
Backtest evidence
run: 2026-05-18 23:40:54 (42.0d ago) · src: canon
verdict: REJECT
· strict: STRICT-FAIL
· batch:
aco
n: 13
· wr: 30.8%
· total_bps: -125.7
· mean_bps: -9.67
· sharpe: -0.13
· max_dd_bps: -232.8
gate: min_trades=— min_wr=— min_total_bps=— min_sharpe=— effective_days=—
Cumulative P&L (last 7 closed)
Last 100 trades
| time | sym | side | entry→exit | pnl | close |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-12 06:43 | BTC | Buy | 81724.1→81715.9 | -0.69 | timeout |
| 05-11 19:03 | BTC | Buy | 80954→81731.9 | +6.09 | timeout |
| 05-11 03:12 | BTC | Buy | 82290.1→80763.6 | -13.65 | stop_loss |
| 05-10 19:02 | BTC | Buy | 80915→81111.9 | +1.05 | timeout |
| 05-10 07:01 | BTC | Buy | 80737→80721 | -0.77 | timeout |
| 05-09 19:01 | BTC | Buy | 80217→80871 | +5.08 | timeout |
| 05-09 07:00 | BTC | Buy | 80244→80206 | -0.95 | timeout |
Paper vs Live
Paper (trades.jsonl)
7
closed
43%
win rate
-3.84
total pnl ($)
-7.8 bps
avg bps net
Live (dry_run=0)
0
closed
—
win rate
—
total pnl ($)
—
avg bps net
Live: 0 trades, insufficient sample
Per-symbol breakdown (paper)
| symbol | n | wr | net bps | total pnl ($) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BTC | 7 | 43% | -7.8 | -3.84 |
Recent bounces (last 20 of 0)
| time | sym | side | reason |
|---|---|---|---|
| no bounces recorded | |||
Postmortem feed (last 10)
| time | sym | side | pnl | narrative |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-10 07:01 | BTC | Buy | -0.77 | BTC was trading in a narrow range with low volatility, showing slight intraday weakness despite positive weekly momentum. The thesis failed because the trade was closed due to a timeout, indicating the expected directional move did not materialize within th… |
| 05-09 19:01 | BTC | Buy | +5.08 | The market was in a mild downtrend with BTC declining 1.48% over 24 hours and negative across all timeframes. The thesis failed because the trade was closed by timeout before the expected move materialized, as the sideways chop prevented a profitable exit. |
| 05-09 07:00 | BTC | Buy | -0.95 | BTC was in a mild downtrend over the 24h and 7d periods with low volatility. The trade failed because the timeout closed the position before any favorable move materialized, as the thesis lacked a catalyst to overcome the prevailing bearish drift. |