2
closed trades
50%
win rate
-0.73
total pnl ($)
1.223
weight
7d window — n=0 wr=0% pnl=+0.00
· venues=(unknown)
· horizon=—
· SL=—
· TP=—
· class=? in ?
Backtest evidence
run: 2026-05-19 01:21:19 (39.3d ago) · src: canon
verdict: PASS
· strict: STRICT-PASS
· batch:
nr
n: 6
· wr: 83.3%
· total_bps: +865.7
· mean_bps: +144.29
· sharpe: +0.89
· max_dd_bps: -106.8
gate: min_trades=— min_wr=— min_total_bps=— min_sharpe=— effective_days=—
Cumulative P&L (last 2 closed)
Last 100 trades
| time | sym | side | entry→exit | pnl | close |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-27 15:18 | BTC | Buy | 78022→76851 | -8.75 | stop_loss |
| 04-27 00:04 | BTC | Buy | 77602→78803 | +8.02 | timeout |
Paper vs Live
Paper (trades.jsonl)
2
closed
50%
win rate
-0.73
total pnl ($)
-6.7 bps
avg bps net
Live (dry_run=0)
0
closed
—
win rate
—
total pnl ($)
—
avg bps net
Live: 0 trades, insufficient sample
Per-symbol breakdown (paper)
| symbol | n | wr | net bps | total pnl ($) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BTC | 2 | 50% | -6.7 | -0.73 |
Recent bounces (last 20 of 0)
| time | sym | side | reason |
|---|---|---|---|
| no bounces recorded | |||
Postmortem feed (last 10)
| time | sym | side | pnl | narrative |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-27 15:18 | BTC | Buy | -8.75 | BTC dropped 1.37% in the hour preceding exit while maintaining a modest weekly gain of 2.38%, with funding rates turning slightly negative and open interest remaining elevated at $3.8B. The trade's thesis failed because the $1.48B cumulative ETF inflow sign… |
| 04-27 00:04 | BTC | Buy | +8.02 | Bitcoin was trading near $78,800 with modest positive momentum (+1.58% over 24 hours) and healthy open interest above $3.8B, reflecting stable market conditions without panic selling. The thesis partially worked as the $226M institutional ETF inflow (partic… |