10
closed trades
50%
win rate
-34.58
total pnl ($)
1.114
weight
7d window — n=0 wr=0% pnl=+0.00
· venues=(unknown)
· horizon=—
· SL=—
· TP=—
· class=? in ?
Backtest evidence
run: 2026-05-17 03:37:41 (43.9d ago) · src: canon
verdict: REJECT
· strict: STRICT-FAIL
· batch:
yh
n: 0
· wr: 0.0%
· total_bps: +0.0
· mean_bps: +0.00
· sharpe: +0.00
· max_dd_bps: +0.0
gate: min_trades=— min_wr=— min_total_bps=— min_sharpe=— effective_days=—
Cumulative P&L (last 10 closed)
Last 100 trades
| time | sym | side | entry→exit | pnl | close |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-09 15:29 | BTC | Buy | 79784→80360 | +3.10 | timeout |
| 05-09 14:40 | BTC | Buy | 80143→80227 | +0.03 | timeout |
| 05-08 02:17 | BTC | Buy | 81288.1→79293.4 | -12.80 | stop_loss |
| 05-08 02:17 | BTC | Buy | 81346.1→79349.3 | -12.81 | stop_loss |
| 05-08 02:17 | BTC | Buy | 81452.1→79453.3 | -12.80 | stop_loss |
| 05-07 15:26 | BTC | Buy | 81692.1→79687.1 | -12.79 | stop_loss |
| 05-07 14:38 | BTC | Buy | 82008.1→79995 | -12.81 | stop_loss |
| 05-07 00:01 | BTC | Buy | 79758→81420.9 | +9.88 | timeout |
| 05-06 23:32 | BTC | Buy | 79872→81337.9 | +8.82 | timeout |
| 05-06 23:00 | BTC | Buy | 80013→81279.9 | +7.59 | timeout |
Paper vs Live
Paper (trades.jsonl)
10
closed
50%
win rate
-34.58
total pnl ($)
-68.4 bps
avg bps net
Live (dry_run=0)
0
closed
—
win rate
—
total pnl ($)
—
avg bps net
Live: 0 trades, insufficient sample
Per-symbol breakdown (paper)
| symbol | n | wr | net bps | total pnl ($) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BTC | 10 | 50% | -68.4 | -34.58 |
Recent bounces (last 20 of 0)
| time | sym | side | reason |
|---|---|---|---|
| no bounces recorded | |||
Postmortem feed (last 10)
| time | sym | side | pnl | narrative |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-09 15:29 | BTC | Buy | +3.10 | BTC was trading in a narrow, low-volatility range with slight bearish bias across timeframes. The thesis failed because the trade was closed by timeout, indicating the expected directional move did not materialize within the holding period. |
| 05-09 14:40 | BTC | Buy | +0.03 | The market was in a low-funding, sideways consolidation with moderate open interest. The thesis failed because the trade was closed due to a timeout, indicating the expected directional move did not materialize within the allotted time. |
| 05-08 02:17 | BTC | Buy | -12.81 | The market was in a short-term uptrend on the hourly chart but remained in a broader downtrend over the past week. The thesis failed because the stop-loss was triggered as the broader bearish momentum overwhelmed the minor hourly bounce. |
| 05-08 02:17 | BTC | Buy | -12.80 | BTC was in a mild intraday uptick but remained in a broader downtrend over 24h and 7d. The long thesis failed because the stop_loss was triggered as the persistent bearish momentum outweighed the short-term bounce. |
| 05-08 02:17 | BTC | Buy | -12.81 | BTC was in a mild intraday uptick but remained in a broader downtrend over 24h and 7d. The thesis failed because the stop_loss was triggered as the short-term bounce reversed into the prevailing bearish momentum. |
| 05-08 02:17 | BTC | Buy | -12.80 | The market was in a mild intraday uptick but remained in a broader downtrend over the past week. The thesis failed because the stop-loss was triggered as the short-term bounce reversed, confirming the prevailing bearish momentum. |
| 05-07 15:26 | BTC | Buy | -12.79 | The market was trending downward with elevated funding, indicating persistent selling pressure despite high open interest. The thesis failed because the stop_loss was triggered as the price continued to decline against the long position. |
| 05-07 14:38 | BTC | Buy | -12.81 | BTC was in a persistent downtrend across all timeframes with negative momentum and declining open interest. The long thesis failed as the stop-loss was triggered by continued selling pressure in a bearish regime. |
| 05-07 00:01 | BTC | Buy | +9.88 | The market was in a short-term uptrend with BTC gaining 0.50% in the hour, but the broader 24-hour and 7-day trends remained negative. The thesis failed because the trade was closed by timeout before the price moved sufficiently to generate a larger profit. |
| 05-06 23:32 | BTC | Buy | +8.82 | The market was in a neutral-to-slightly bullish regime with low funding and moderate open interest. The thesis failed because the trade was closed due to a timeout, indicating the expected price movement did not materialize within the allotted time. |