ema_top_trader_contrarian_24h · strategy

230

closed trades

41%

win rate

-198.42

total pnl ($)

0.489

weight

7d window — n=55 wr=44% pnl=-114.91 · venues=(unknown) · horizon=— · SL=— · TP=— · class=? in ?

Backtest evidence run: 2026-06-03 18:44:02 (24.1d ago) · src: canon

verdict: REJECT · strict: STRICT-FAIL · batch: strategies_batch_akg

n: 169 · wr: 50.9% · total_bps: +2759.4 · mean_bps: +16.33 · sharpe: +0.05 · max_dd_bps: -3215.1

gate: min_trades=— min_wr=— min_total_bps=— min_sharpe=— effective_days=—

Cumulative P&L (last 100 closed)

Last 100 trades

time	sym	side	entry→exit	pnl	close
06-27 21:16	NEAR	Sell	1.86273→1.90973	-13.07	stop_loss
06-27 20:03	BLUR	Sell	0.0148053→0.0146217	+5.75	timeout
06-27 16:06	DOT	Buy	0.858054→0.845319	-7.87	timeout
06-27 16:06	LINK	Buy	7.36584→7.45024	+5.40	timeout
06-27 01:03	XLM	Buy	0.179595→0.175089	-13.00	stop_loss
06-26 21:07	AAVE	Buy	95.1888→92.8084	-12.95	stop_loss
06-26 16:04	TRX	Buy	0.322761→0.31966	-5.25	timeout
06-26 13:57	HYPE	Sell	62.1515→63.7088	-12.98	stop_loss
06-26 12:43	BNB	Buy	568.112→553.764	-13.11	stop_loss
06-26 12:43	NEAR	Buy	1.82046→1.77367	-13.34	stop_loss
06-26 10:40	ATOM	Buy	1.63841→1.5967	-13.22	stop_loss
06-26 09:52	SOL	Buy	70.5456→68.7923	-12.89	stop_loss
06-26 07:12	UNI	Sell	2.85769→2.9297	-13.05	stop_loss
06-26 03:01	HBAR	Buy	0.0731723→0.0712915	-13.30	stop_loss
06-26 02:13	INJ	Buy	4.31278→4.20444	-12.98	stop_loss
06-26 01:30	APT	Buy	0.596649→0.581364	-13.17	stop_loss
06-25 23:27	SOL	Sell	66.337→67.9842	-12.86	stop_loss
06-25 17:59	HYPE	Sell	61.6706→63.2144	-12.97	stop_loss
06-25 13:59	KAS	Sell	0.0277851→0.0265566	+21.66	take_profit
06-25 13:51	ICP	Sell	2.22954→2.13203	+21.42	take_profit
06-25 13:42	APT	Buy	0.630158→0.614239	-13.08	stop_loss
06-25 10:47	HBAR	Buy	0.0754018→0.0734839	-13.17	stop_loss
06-25 05:24	BTC	Sell	60271→61762	-12.83	stop_loss
06-25 05:02	SOL	Sell	67.2009→68.8757	-12.95	stop_loss
06-25 04:57	ETH	Sell	1594.24→1633.78	-12.84	stop_loss
06-24 22:01	SUI	Sell	0.673881→0.690758	-13.02	stop_loss
06-24 17:48	INJ	Sell	4.30872→4.12103	+21.32	take_profit
06-24 16:51	BCH	Sell	193.792→185.286	+21.49	take_profit
06-24 16:48	OP	Sell	0.101984→0.0974844	+21.56	take_profit
06-24 13:43	AAVE	Buy	76.05→74.1154	-13.17	stop_loss
06-24 12:07	ETH	Sell	1658.13→1677.47	-6.27	timeout
06-24 08:05	DOGE	Sell	0.079785→0.0789247	+4.82	timeout
06-24 08:04	LINK	Sell	7.63999→7.6099	+1.43	timeout
06-24 08:04	BTC	Sell	62800.9→62661.1	+0.73	timeout
06-24 04:02	BNB	Sell	591.212→577.794	+11.04	timeout
06-23 08:17	ETH	Sell	1723.53→1646.86	+21.72	take_profit
06-23 06:21	ETC	Buy	7.15819→6.97297	-13.39	stop_loss
06-23 06:08	BTC	Buy	64685.2→63076.3	-12.91	stop_loss
06-23 04:06	ADA	Buy	0.15829→0.15973	+4.23	timeout
06-23 00:51	XMR	Sell	319.39→327.435	-13.04	stop_loss
06-23 00:12	AAVE	Buy	74.3196→75.1192	+4.93	timeout
06-22 22:28	ETH	Buy	1763.78→1720.17	-12.80	stop_loss
06-22 20:06	FIL	Sell	0.8001→0.795149	+2.64	timeout
06-22 12:00	SUI	Buy	0.709697→0.740655	+21.34	take_profit
06-22 08:06	UNI	Buy	3.00775→3.01115	+0.11	timeout
06-22 04:05	LINK	Sell	7.96151→7.86797	+5.52	timeout
06-22 01:26	ETH	Sell	1709.43→1752.05	-12.91	stop_loss
06-22 00:07	HBAR	Sell	0.0804819→0.0782446	+13.45	timeout
06-21 20:08	INJ	Buy	4.99605→4.95696	-4.25	timeout
06-21 16:58	SAGA	Buy	0.0173143→0.0168773	-13.07	stop_loss
06-21 16:09	BTC	Buy	63998.2→64160.8	+0.85	timeout
06-21 04:45	ACE	Buy	0.0905226→0.0944764	+21.39	take_profit
06-21 04:05	XLM	Buy	0.212323→0.214426	+4.50	timeout
06-21 04:05	RENDER	Sell	1.74466→1.70273	+11.57	timeout
06-21 00:05	ETC	Sell	7.63359→7.44486	+11.91	timeout
06-20 20:05	HBAR	Sell	0.080146→0.080205	-0.82	timeout
06-20 15:25	SAGA	Sell	0.0132167→0.0135502	-13.07	stop_loss
06-19 20:06	BNB	Sell	579.365→579.675	-0.94	timeout
06-19 16:06	SOL	Sell	68.7767→69.3654	-4.80	timeout
06-19 16:06	ETH	Sell	1688.83→1706.57	-5.70	timeout
06-19 16:06	XRP	Sell	1.14361→1.13598	+2.90	timeout
06-19 16:06	BTC	Sell	62597.9→63168.2	-5.02	timeout
06-18 20:01	ARB	Sell	0.0820395→0.084103	-13.02	stop_loss
06-18 15:53	LINK	Buy	7.9998→7.79825	-12.98	stop_loss
06-18 15:53	SOL	Sell	71.8042→68.6633	+21.41	take_profit
06-18 15:45	ETH	Sell	1773.72→1695.97	+21.45	take_profit
06-18 15:37	ADA	Buy	0.165741→0.161509	-13.20	stop_loss
06-18 15:18	AVAX	Sell	6.73911→6.43781	+21.84	take_profit
06-18 04:11	BNB	Buy	606.882→591.496	-13.13	stop_loss
06-18 03:57	DOT	Sell	1.02624→0.981545	+21.33	take_profit
06-17 19:38	SUI	Buy	0.794499→0.774419	-13.23	stop_loss
06-17 16:28	BTC	Sell	64824.8→66425.5	-12.80	stop_loss
06-17 12:43	UNI	Sell	3.26288→3.34831	-13.54	stop_loss
06-17 09:57	XMR	Buy	352.568→343.762	-12.94	stop_loss
06-17 08:01	LINK	Sell	8.28473→8.29427	-0.90	timeout
06-17 01:46	DOT	Sell	1.00115→1.02637	-13.05	stop_loss
06-16 21:16	BCH	Sell	217.706→223.227	-13.13	stop_loss
06-16 17:49	SAGA	Buy	0.0129932→0.0135666	+21.61	take_profit
06-16 14:33	HYPE	Buy	75.0788→73.1961	-12.99	stop_loss
06-16 14:31	OP	Buy	0.108247→0.105451	-13.33	stop_loss
06-16 09:26	NEAR	Sell	2.45339→2.51559	-13.14	stop_loss
06-16 08:45	AVAX	Sell	6.82509→6.99684	-13.04	stop_loss
06-16 08:24	XLM	Sell	0.214046→0.219465	-13.11	stop_loss
06-16 02:18	SOL	Buy	75.1163→73.2524	-12.84	stop_loss
06-16 01:55	XRP	Buy	1.25961→1.22808	-12.99	stop_loss
06-16 00:09	LTC	Sell	45.3607→45.8014	-5.20	timeout
06-15 22:25	ETH	Buy	1840.48→1795.02	-12.82	stop_loss
06-15 22:22	LINK	Buy	8.54083→8.32275	-13.25	stop_loss
06-15 13:18	UNI	Buy	2.59825→2.71242	+21.52	take_profit
06-15 13:16	ETH	Buy	1726.57→1803.42	+21.77	take_profit
06-15 13:08	ETC	Buy	7.28342→7.605	+21.63	take_profit
06-15 12:24	XRP	Buy	1.1851→1.23679	+21.34	take_profit
06-14 21:50	BCH	Sell	203.349→208.516	-13.16	stop_loss
06-14 21:40	ADA	Sell	0.169578→0.1739	-13.14	stop_loss
06-14 21:36	ONDO	Buy	0.345826→0.36087	+21.30	take_profit
06-14 20:10	DOT	Sell	0.978425→0.950838	+13.65	timeout
06-14 18:22	AVAX	Sell	6.70382→6.4102	+21.29	take_profit
06-14 16:07	SOL	Buy	68.2212→67.4819	-5.71	timeout
06-14 12:06	AAVE	Sell	66.7793→65.9905	+5.46	timeout
06-14 08:10	ADA	Buy	0.173443→0.171087	-7.10	timeout

Paper vs Live

Paper (trades.jsonl)

230

closed

41%

win rate

-198.42

total pnl ($)

-17.5 bps

avg bps net

Live (dry_run=0)

closed

—

win rate

—

total pnl ($)

—

avg bps net

Live: 0 trades, insufficient sample

Per-symbol breakdown (paper)

symbol	n	wr	net bps	total pnl ($)
ETH	15	47%	+38.7	+29.35
SOL	13	38%	-69.2	-44.16
LINK	12	50%	-5.9	-3.06
BTC	11	36%	-100.3	-55.00
XRP	10	40%	-18.6	-8.58
SUI	9	44%	+17.9	+8.06
ADA	9	33%	-34.4	-15.24
BNB	8	38%	-31.5	-12.64
DOT	8	38%	-30.3	-12.13
INJ	7	29%	-40.3	-14.30
APT	7	14%	-203.2	-70.94
LTC	7	57%	+25.3	+8.83
HYPE	6	33%	-30.4	-9.13
HBAR	6	33%	-76.9	-23.07
UNI	6	33%	-94.7	-28.42
BCH	6	33%	-31.0	-9.29
AAVE	6	50%	-95.5	-28.65
NEAR	5	40%	+13.9	+3.39
ONDO	5	60%	+156.5	+39.13
SAGA	5	40%	+15.0	+3.74
ARB	5	20%	-91.3	-22.59
ETC	5	40%	+5.6	+1.40
KAS	5	60%	+157.1	+39.27
AVAX	5	40%	+15.7	+3.73
XLM	5	20%	-193.3	-48.32
ICP	4	25%	-90.2	-18.05
XMR	4	25%	-89.4	-17.87
TRX	4	50%	+7.9	+1.58
BLUR	4	100%	+202.0	+40.40
ACE	4	50%	+66.4	+13.27
RENDER	4	50%	+33.9	+6.78
OP	4	75%	+261.8	+52.26
FIL	4	75%	+71.2	+14.24
DOGE	4	50%	-65.6	-13.07
ATOM	3	33%	-39.0	-5.83
GOAT	2	0%	-14.0	-1.40
ZEREBRO	2	0%	-14.0	-1.40
CHILLGUY	1	0%	-14.0	-0.70

Recent bounces (last 20 of 0)

time	sym	side	reason
no bounces recorded

Postmortem feed (last 10)

time	sym	side	pnl	narrative
no postmortems

More…