75
closed trades
35%
win rate
-63.62
total pnl ($)
1.063
weight
7d window — n=12 wr=42% pnl=-9.44
· venues=(unknown)
· horizon=—
· SL=—
· TP=—
· class=? in ?
Backtest evidence
run: 2026-06-04 05:10:05 (25.9d ago) · src: canon
verdict: REJECT
· strict: STRICT-FAIL
· batch:
ahg
n: 82
· wr: 36.6%
· total_bps: -2460.9
· mean_bps: -30.01
· sharpe: -0.40
· max_dd_bps: -2671.8
gate: min_trades=— min_wr=— min_total_bps=— min_sharpe=— effective_days=—
Cumulative P&L (last 75 closed)
Last 100 trades
| time | sym | side | entry→exit | pnl | close |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-29 17:46 | BTC | Buy | 59978→60596 | +2.33 | timeout |
| 06-29 05:10 | BTC | Buy | 59668→59533 | -0.79 | timeout |
| 06-28 16:22 | BTC | Buy | 60183→59799 | -1.81 | timeout |
| 06-28 03:51 | BTC | Buy | 60167→60175 | -0.19 | timeout |
| 06-27 15:27 | BTC | Buy | 60383→60700 | +1.09 | timeout |
| 06-27 03:30 | BTC | Buy | 59901→60290 | +1.40 | timeout |
| 06-26 10:39 | BTC | Buy | 60535→59407.3 | -4.88 | stop_loss |
| 06-26 03:23 | BTC | Buy | 59170→58779.1 | -1.87 | timeout |
| 06-25 13:39 | BTC | Buy | 61798.1→60637.6 | -4.92 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 03:19 | BTC | Buy | 59651→60783 | +4.52 | timeout |
| 06-24 13:41 | BTC | Buy | 62728.1→61561.1 | -4.88 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 03:16 | BTC | Buy | 62332.1→62532.9 | +0.57 | timeout |
| 06-21 18:34 | BTC | Buy | 64298.2→64112.8 | -0.94 | timeout |
| 06-18 13:26 | BTC | Buy | 63913.2→64377.8 | +1.59 | timeout |
| 06-17 18:05 | BTC | Buy | 65909.3→64664.4 | -4.95 | stop_loss |
| 06-17 11:05 | BTC | Buy | 65760.3→64537.5 | -4.88 | stop_loss |
| 06-17 01:12 | BTC | Buy | 65797.3→65733.7 | -0.47 | timeout |
| 06-16 13:04 | BTC | Buy | 65938.3→66404.7 | +1.53 | timeout |
| 06-16 01:00 | BTC | Buy | 67071.4→66210.7 | -3.42 | timeout |
| 06-15 12:56 | BTC | Buy | 65633.3→66554.7 | +3.29 | timeout |
| 06-15 00:52 | BTC | Buy | 63990.2→65518.7 | +5.75 | timeout |
| 06-14 12:49 | BTC | Buy | 64354.2→64298.8 | -0.44 | timeout |
| 06-14 00:47 | BTC | Buy | 64092.2→64548.8 | +1.56 | timeout |
| 06-12 22:37 | BTC | Buy | 63678.2→63506.8 | -0.91 | timeout |
| 06-11 04:00 | BTC | Buy | 61870.1→62634.9 | +2.84 | timeout |
| 06-10 15:50 | BTC | Buy | 61663.1→62272.9 | +2.24 | timeout |
| 06-09 14:20 | BTC | Buy | 62823.1→61654.1 | -4.88 | stop_loss |
| 06-09 00:46 | BTC | Buy | 63660.2→62471.6 | -4.89 | stop_loss |
| 06-08 17:05 | BTC | Buy | 63278.2→63543.8 | +0.81 | timeout |
| 06-07 22:15 | BTC | Buy | 61888.1→63862.8 | +7.75 | take_profit |
| 06-07 12:42 | BTC | Buy | 62783.1→61613.1 | -4.89 | stop_loss |
| 06-07 04:56 | BTC | Buy | 60668→61858.9 | +4.69 | timeout |
| 06-06 10:30 | BTC | Buy | 61361.1→60218.9 | -4.88 | stop_loss |
| 06-06 04:11 | BTC | Buy | 61430.1→60286.8 | -4.88 | stop_loss |
| 06-05 13:49 | BTC | Buy | 62395.1→61231.3 | -4.89 | stop_loss |
| 06-05 03:06 | BTC | Buy | 63528.2→62344.7 | -4.87 | stop_loss |
| 06-04 17:12 | BTC | Buy | 63279.2→63679.8 | +1.34 | timeout |
| 06-03 23:54 | BTC | Buy | 65297.3→64082.7 | -4.87 | stop_loss |
| 06-03 16:18 | BTC | Buy | 67010.4→65984.7 | -4.06 | timeout |
| 06-03 07:42 | BTC | Buy | 66569.3→67106.6 | +1.77 | timeout |
| 06-02 14:01 | BTC | Buy | 69954.5→68638.2 | -4.94 | stop_loss |
| 06-02 05:00 | BTC | Buy | 71404.6→70791.5 | -2.40 | timeout |
| 05-31 21:38 | BTC | Buy | 73857.7→73650.3 | -0.93 | timeout |
| 05-31 07:43 | BTC | Buy | 73778.7→73827.3 | -0.09 | timeout |
| 05-30 17:40 | BTC | Buy | 73534.7→73887.3 | +0.95 | timeout |
| 05-30 11:41 | BTC | Buy | 73547.7→73594.3 | -0.08 | timeout |
| 05-29 16:50 | BTC | Buy | 73707.7→73962.3 | +0.62 | timeout |
| 05-28 15:52 | BTC | Buy | 73358.7→72920.4 | -1.74 | timeout |
| 05-28 03:18 | BTC | Buy | 75004.8→73604.5 | -4.89 | stop_loss |
| 05-27 15:47 | BTC | Buy | 75877.8→75255.2 | -2.27 | timeout |
| 05-27 03:46 | BTC | Buy | 75985.8→75703.2 | -1.14 | timeout |
| 05-26 15:47 | BTC | Buy | 76607.8→76458.2 | -0.72 | timeout |
| 05-26 03:46 | BTC | Buy | 77377.9→76608.2 | -2.71 | timeout |
| 05-25 15:46 | BTC | Buy | 77316.9→77601.1 | +0.68 | timeout |
| 05-25 03:45 | BTC | Buy | 76673.8→76970.2 | +0.73 | timeout |
| 05-24 15:46 | BTC | Buy | 76812.8→76396.2 | -1.58 | timeout |
| 05-24 03:45 | BTC | Buy | 75889.8→76725.2 | +2.51 | timeout |
| 05-23 15:45 | BTC | Buy | 75174.8→75450.2 | +0.69 | timeout |
| 05-23 03:45 | BTC | Buy | 75750.8→75620.2 | -0.66 | timeout |
| 05-22 15:44 | BTC | Buy | 77445.9→76665.2 | -2.76 | timeout |
| 05-22 03:45 | BTC | Buy | 77593.9→77754.1 | +0.29 | timeout |
| 05-21 15:43 | BTC | Buy | 77681.9→77180.1 | -1.85 | timeout |
| 05-21 03:43 | BTC | Buy | 77601.9→77988.1 | +1.01 | timeout |
| 05-20 15:43 | BTC | Buy | 77353.9→77423.1 | -0.02 | timeout |
| 05-20 03:42 | BTC | Buy | 76857.8→76722.2 | -0.69 | timeout |
| 05-19 15:43 | BTC | Buy | 77264.9→76484.2 | -2.77 | timeout |
| 05-19 03:43 | BTC | Buy | 76748.8→76796.2 | -0.09 | timeout |
| 05-18 15:43 | BTC | Buy | 76921.8→76312.2 | -2.22 | timeout |
| 05-16 14:49 | BTC | Buy | 78684.9→78681 | -0.25 | timeout |
| 05-16 02:49 | BTC | Buy | 79227→79045 | -0.79 | timeout |
| 05-12 06:43 | BTC | Buy | 81724.1→81715.9 | -0.25 | timeout |
| 05-12 02:47 | BTC | Buy | 81972.1→81715.9 | -1.00 | timeout |
| 05-11 02:48 | BTC | Buy | 81211.1→81178.9 | -0.34 | timeout |
| 05-10 14:47 | BTC | Buy | 80675→80805 | +0.17 | timeout |
| 05-10 02:47 | BTC | Buy | 80849→80708 | -0.67 | timeout |
Paper vs Live
Paper (trades.jsonl)
75
closed
35%
win rate
-63.62
total pnl ($)
-33.7 bps
avg bps net
Live (dry_run=0)
0
closed
—
win rate
—
total pnl ($)
—
avg bps net
Live: 0 trades, insufficient sample
Per-symbol breakdown (paper)
| symbol | n | wr | net bps | total pnl ($) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BTC | 75 | 35% | -33.7 | -63.62 |
Recent bounces (last 20 of 0)
| time | sym | side | reason |
|---|---|---|---|
| no bounces recorded | |||
Postmortem feed (last 10)
| time | sym | side | pnl | narrative |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-10 02:47 | BTC | Buy | -0.67 | BTC was in a mild uptrend across all timeframes with low funding and stable open interest. The thesis failed because the trade was not executed before the timeout, resulting in a negligible loss from an unfilled order. |