38
closed trades
47%
win rate
-1.27
total pnl ($)
1.224
weight
7d window — n=0 wr=0% pnl=+0.00
· venues=(unknown)
· horizon=—
· SL=—
· TP=—
· class=? in ?
Backtest evidence
run: 2026-05-17 01:16:22 (41.6d ago) · src: canon
verdict: REJECT
· strict: STRICT-FAIL
· batch:
restored_deribit_dvol_compression_vol_expansion
n: 25
· wr: 48.0%
· total_bps: -41.2
· mean_bps: -1.65
· sharpe: -0.02
· max_dd_bps: -473.2
gate: min_trades=— min_wr=— min_total_bps=— min_sharpe=— effective_days=—
Cumulative P&L (last 38 closed)
Last 100 trades
| time | sym | side | entry→exit | pnl | close |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-17 18:05 | BTC | Buy | 65915.3→64653.4 | -0.68 | stop_loss |
| 06-17 17:19 | BTC | Buy | 64603.2→65909.7 | +0.66 | timeout |
| 06-17 11:05 | BTC | Buy | 65772.3→64544.5 | -0.67 | stop_loss |
| 06-17 05:14 | BTC | Buy | 65737.3→65757.7 | -0.02 | timeout |
| 06-16 23:09 | BTC | Buy | 65757.3→65764.7 | -0.03 | timeout |
| 06-16 17:09 | BTC | Buy | 66450.3→65749.7 | -0.39 | timeout |
| 06-16 10:58 | BTC | Buy | 65808.3→66484.7 | +0.32 | timeout |
| 06-16 04:48 | BTC | Buy | 66197.3→65845.7 | -0.21 | timeout |
| 06-15 22:50 | BTC | Buy | 67097.4→66162.7 | -0.50 | timeout |
| 06-15 16:48 | BTC | Buy | 65737.3→67096.6 | +0.67 | timeout |
| 06-15 10:42 | BTC | Buy | 65634.3→65721.7 | +0.01 | timeout |
| 06-15 04:42 | BTC | Buy | 65372.3→65627.7 | +0.10 | timeout |
| 06-14 22:35 | BTC | Buy | 64157.2→65300.7 | +0.57 | timeout |
| 06-14 16:34 | BTC | Buy | 64623.2→64157.8 | -0.28 | timeout |
| 06-14 10:34 | BTC | Buy | 64443.2→64602.8 | +0.05 | timeout |
| 06-14 04:30 | BTC | Buy | 64510.2→64435.8 | -0.07 | timeout |
| 06-13 22:29 | BTC | Buy | 64004.2→64498.8 | +0.23 | timeout |
| 06-13 16:23 | BTC | Buy | 63748.2→63960.8 | +0.08 | timeout |
| 06-13 10:19 | BTC | Buy | 63508.2→63745.8 | +0.10 | timeout |
| 06-13 04:28 | BTC | Buy | 63594.2→63510.8 | -0.08 | timeout |
| 06-12 22:23 | BTC | Buy | 63805.2→63595.8 | -0.14 | timeout |
| 06-12 15:38 | BTC | Buy | 63843.2→63905.8 | +0.00 | timeout |
| 06-12 09:21 | BTC | Buy | 63416.2→63631.8 | +0.08 | timeout |
| 06-12 03:19 | BTC | Buy | 63498.2→63464.8 | -0.05 | timeout |
| 06-11 21:15 | BTC | Buy | 62654.1→63510.8 | +0.43 | timeout |
| 06-11 15:08 | BTC | Buy | 62845.1→62761.9 | -0.08 | timeout |
| 05-26 13:19 | BTC | Buy | 76634.8→76911.2 | +0.09 | timeout |
| 05-26 07:18 | BTC | Buy | 76831.8→76564.2 | -0.15 | timeout |
| 05-26 00:56 | BTC | Buy | 77529.9→76771.2 | -0.36 | timeout |
| 05-25 18:57 | BTC | Buy | 77383.9→77522.1 | +0.03 | timeout |
| 05-25 12:56 | BTC | Buy | 77408.9→77385.1 | -0.04 | timeout |
| 05-25 06:56 | BTC | Buy | 77128.9→77401.1 | +0.09 | timeout |
| 05-24 15:26 | BTC | Buy | 76877.8→76417.2 | -0.23 | timeout |
| 05-22 22:35 | BTC | Buy | 76876.8→75693.2 | -0.56 | timeout |
| 05-22 16:34 | BTC | Buy | 77334.9→76874.2 | -0.24 | timeout |
| 05-22 10:35 | BTC | Buy | 77727.9→77327.1 | -0.21 | timeout |
| 05-22 04:34 | BTC | Buy | 77599.9→77750.1 | +0.03 | timeout |
| 05-21 22:33 | BTC | Buy | 77237.9→77669.1 | +0.16 | timeout |
Paper vs Live
Paper (trades.jsonl)
38
closed
47%
win rate
-1.27
total pnl ($)
-9.5 bps
avg bps net
Live (dry_run=0)
0
closed
—
win rate
—
total pnl ($)
—
avg bps net
Live: 0 trades, insufficient sample
Per-symbol breakdown (paper)
| symbol | n | wr | net bps | total pnl ($) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BTC | 38 | 47% | -9.5 | -1.27 |
Recent bounces (last 20 of 0)
| time | sym | side | reason |
|---|---|---|---|
| no bounces recorded | |||
Postmortem feed (last 10)
| time | sym | side | pnl | narrative |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| no postmortems | ||||