77
closed trades
42%
win rate
-36.40
total pnl ($)
1.293
weight
7d window — n=17 wr=47% pnl=+11.47
· venues=(unknown)
· horizon=—
· SL=—
· TP=—
· class=? in ?
Backtest evidence
run: 2026-06-03 15:59:01 (23.9d ago) · src: canon
verdict: REJECT
· strict: STRICT-FAIL
· batch:
strategies_batch_deribit_basis_stability_siblings
n: 127
· wr: 52.0%
· total_bps: -583.0
· mean_bps: -4.59
· sharpe: -0.07
· max_dd_bps: -811.8
gate: min_trades=— min_wr=— min_total_bps=— min_sharpe=— effective_days=—
Cumulative P&L (last 77 closed)
Last 100 trades
| time | sym | side | entry→exit | pnl | close |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-26 21:41 | BTC | Sell | 60388→59914 | +2.79 | timeout |
| 06-26 13:19 | BTC | Sell | 60566→58592.9 | +12.68 | take_profit |
| 06-26 08:35 | BTC | Buy | 58976.9→60140 | +7.52 | timeout |
| 06-26 03:58 | BTC | Sell | 60152→59883 | +1.43 | timeout |
| 06-25 14:33 | BTC | Buy | 58147.9→60003 | +12.40 | take_profit |
| 06-24 23:06 | BTC | Buy | 59863→60871 | +6.37 | timeout |
| 06-24 13:41 | BTC | Buy | 62763.1→61585.1 | -7.86 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 12:04 | BTC | Buy | 62740.1→62935.9 | +0.90 | timeout |
| 06-23 15:28 | BTC | Buy | 62473.1→62216.9 | -2.00 | timeout |
| 06-23 06:20 | BTC | Buy | 63980.2→62785.5 | -7.81 | stop_loss |
| 06-23 02:42 | BTC | Buy | 64478.2→64178.8 | -2.22 | timeout |
| 06-22 18:45 | BTC | Sell | 65056.7→64502.2 | +3.05 | timeout |
| 06-22 12:40 | BTC | Sell | 63982.8→65178.8 | -7.81 | stop_loss |
| 06-22 03:27 | BTC | Sell | 63673.8→64263.2 | -4.06 | timeout |
| 06-21 13:26 | BTC | Sell | 64162.8→64120.2 | -0.10 | timeout |
| 06-21 03:26 | BTC | Sell | 63946.8→64400.2 | -3.20 | timeout |
| 06-20 20:47 | BTC | Sell | 63845.8→63884.2 | -0.60 | timeout |
| 06-20 08:08 | BTC | Buy | 63488.2→63527.8 | -0.13 | timeout |
| 06-19 13:45 | BTC | Buy | 62510.1→63069.8 | +3.24 | timeout |
| 06-19 08:15 | BTC | Sell | 63033.8→62622.1 | +2.23 | timeout |
| 06-16 20:35 | BTC | Sell | 65536.7→65755.3 | -1.67 | timeout |
| 06-16 14:06 | BTC | Sell | 66312.7→66197.3 | +0.35 | timeout |
| 06-16 12:58 | BTC | Buy | 66412.3→66412.7 | -0.37 | timeout |
| 06-16 06:44 | BTC | Sell | 66382.7→66375.3 | -0.33 | timeout |
| 06-16 00:03 | BTC | Sell | 66807.7→66248.3 | +2.98 | timeout |
| 06-15 19:35 | BTC | Buy | 66833.3→66641.7 | -1.52 | timeout |
| 06-15 11:50 | BTC | Buy | 65753.3→66154.7 | +2.08 | timeout |
| 06-15 03:19 | BTC | Sell | 64748.8→65685.3 | -6.14 | timeout |
| 06-14 21:16 | BTC | Sell | 64091.8→64431.2 | -2.47 | timeout |
| 06-12 13:45 | BTC | Buy | 63031.2→63156.8 | +0.42 | timeout |
| 06-12 11:18 | BTC | Sell | 63485.8→63739.2 | -1.94 | timeout |
| 06-12 03:00 | BTC | Sell | 63372.8→63598.2 | -1.76 | timeout |
| 06-11 19:59 | BTC | Buy | 63041.2→63566.8 | +2.95 | timeout |
| 06-11 13:05 | BTC | Buy | 62642.1→62896.9 | +1.24 | timeout |
| 06-10 21:13 | BTC | Buy | 62605.1→61440.2 | -7.81 | stop_loss |
| 06-10 14:14 | BTC | Buy | 61586.1→61976.9 | +2.17 | timeout |
| 06-09 17:12 | BTC | Sell | 62584.9→61502.1 | +6.57 | timeout |
| 06-09 13:44 | BTC | Buy | 63181.2→62338.9 | -5.69 | timeout |
| 06-08 20:59 | BTC | Buy | 63936.2→63427.8 | -3.55 | timeout |
| 06-08 05:03 | BTC | Buy | 62939.1→62748.9 | -1.57 | timeout |
| 06-07 09:29 | BTC | Buy | 61638.1→62666.9 | +6.32 | timeout |
| 06-06 08:13 | BTC | Sell | 60860→61136.1 | -2.16 | timeout |
| 06-05 20:50 | BTC | Sell | 60695→61825 | -7.81 | stop_loss |
| 06-05 14:06 | BTC | Buy | 61591.1→60437.7 | -7.85 | stop_loss |
| 06-05 06:00 | BTC | Buy | 63337.2→62158.8 | -7.80 | stop_loss |
| 06-04 09:45 | BTC | Sell | 64365.8→62921.1 | +8.61 | timeout |
| 06-04 00:39 | BTC | Buy | 64243.2→63048.3 | -7.80 | stop_loss |
| 06-03 13:36 | BTC | Buy | 67195.4→66989.7 | -1.59 | timeout |
| 06-03 00:48 | BTC | Buy | 67276.4→66990.7 | -2.06 | timeout |
| 06-02 14:21 | BTC | Buy | 69472.5→68180.5 | -7.80 | stop_loss |
| 06-02 09:42 | BTC | Sell | 70932.5→69498.5 | +7.76 | timeout |
| 06-02 03:16 | BTC | Buy | 71193.6→70912.5 | -1.97 | timeout |
| 05-31 20:23 | BTC | Sell | 73595.3→73712.7 | -1.00 | timeout |
| 05-29 23:15 | BTC | Buy | 74232.7→73402.3 | -4.84 | timeout |
| 05-29 13:51 | BTC | Sell | 73390.3→73175.7 | +0.81 | timeout |
| 05-28 01:17 | BTC | Sell | 74996.2→74304.7 | +3.33 | timeout |
| 05-27 18:16 | BTC | Sell | 75562.2→74705.7 | +4.19 | timeout |
| 05-26 21:49 | BTC | Sell | 76431.2→75989.8 | +1.96 | timeout |
| 05-26 15:23 | BTC | Buy | 77941.9→76491.9 | -7.80 | stop_loss |
| 05-26 07:48 | BTC | Sell | 76700.2→76607.8 | +0.12 | timeout |
| 05-26 00:08 | BTC | Sell | 77600.1→77236.9 | +1.51 | timeout |
| 05-25 08:12 | BTC | Sell | 77336.1→77264.9 | +0.04 | timeout |
| 05-25 00:26 | BTC | Sell | 76648.2→77164.9 | -3.05 | timeout |
| 05-24 18:15 | BTC | Sell | 77154.1→76702.8 | +1.99 | timeout |
| 05-23 21:53 | BTC | Buy | 75452.8→76678.2 | +6.13 | timeout |
| 05-23 13:37 | BTC | Buy | 75307.8→74883.3 | -2.61 | timeout |
| 05-23 06:13 | BTC | Buy | 75427.8→75440.2 | -0.29 | timeout |
| 05-23 00:52 | BTC | Sell | 76421.2→75360.8 | +5.21 | timeout |
| 05-22 17:41 | BTC | Sell | 77302.1→76999.8 | +1.23 | timeout |
| 05-22 07:35 | BTC | Sell | 77329.1→77434.9 | -0.90 | timeout |
| 05-21 20:48 | BTC | Sell | 76877.2→77763.9 | -4.95 | timeout |
| 05-19 15:36 | BTC | Buy | 76791.8→76507.2 | -1.86 | timeout |
| 05-18 19:36 | BTC | Buy | 76941.8→76731.2 | -1.47 | timeout |
| 05-16 05:02 | BTC | Buy | 79088→78911.1 | -1.25 | timeout |
| 05-15 22:02 | BTC | Buy | 79170→78974.1 | -1.34 | timeout |
| 05-15 13:46 | BTC | Buy | 80444→78952.6 | -7.77 | stop_loss |
| 05-12 04:43 | BTC | Sell | 81715.9→81724.1 | -0.38 | timeout |
Paper vs Live
Paper (trades.jsonl)
77
closed
42%
win rate
-36.40
total pnl ($)
-11.9 bps
avg bps net
Live (dry_run=0)
0
closed
—
win rate
—
total pnl ($)
—
avg bps net
Live: 0 trades, insufficient sample
Per-symbol breakdown (paper)
| symbol | n | wr | net bps | total pnl ($) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BTC | 77 | 42% | -11.9 | -36.40 |
Recent bounces (last 20 of 0)
| time | sym | side | reason |
|---|---|---|---|
| no bounces recorded | |||
Postmortem feed (last 10)
| time | sym | side | pnl | narrative |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| no postmortems | ||||