39
closed trades
51%
win rate
-15.95
total pnl ($)
1.261
weight
7d window — n=8 wr=75% pnl=+6.09
· venues=(unknown)
· horizon=—
· SL=—
· TP=—
· class=? in ?
Backtest evidence
run: 2026-06-03 15:59:01 (19.3d ago) · src: canon
verdict: REJECT
· strict: STRICT-FAIL
· batch:
strategies_batch_deribit_basis_stability_siblings
n: 71
· wr: 46.5%
· total_bps: +152.4
· mean_bps: +2.15
· sharpe: +0.02
· max_dd_bps: -709.4
gate: min_trades=— min_wr=— min_total_bps=— min_sharpe=— effective_days=—
Cumulative P&L (last 39 closed)
Last 100 trades
| time | sym | side | entry→exit | pnl | close |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-22 18:52 | BTC | Sell | 65161.7→64384.2 | +4.43 | timeout |
| 06-22 01:26 | BTC | Sell | 63555.8→64744.6 | -7.83 | stop_loss |
| 06-21 13:46 | BTC | Sell | 64207.8→64030.2 | +0.73 | timeout |
| 06-19 14:46 | BTC | Buy | 62625.1→63261.8 | +3.73 | timeout |
| 06-19 08:49 | BTC | Sell | 62907.9→62627.1 | +1.40 | timeout |
| 06-16 14:04 | BTC | Sell | 66316.7→66197.3 | +0.38 | timeout |
| 06-16 13:27 | BTC | Buy | 66321.3→66093.7 | -1.75 | timeout |
| 06-16 03:21 | BTC | Sell | 66503.7→65610.3 | +5.01 | timeout |
| 06-15 12:12 | BTC | Buy | 65864.3→66248.7 | +1.98 | timeout |
| 06-15 00:14 | BTC | Sell | 64657.8→65864.2 | -7.83 | stop_loss |
| 06-12 13:45 | BTC | Buy | 63031.2→63156.8 | +0.42 | timeout |
| 06-12 12:16 | BTC | Sell | 63166.8→63594.2 | -3.05 | timeout |
| 06-12 03:15 | BTC | Sell | 63516.8→63496.2 | -0.21 | timeout |
| 06-11 23:44 | BTC | Buy | 63263.2→63606.8 | +1.79 | timeout |
| 06-10 15:44 | BTC | Buy | 61266.1→62371.9 | +6.85 | timeout |
| 06-09 18:21 | BTC | Sell | 62737.9→61848.1 | +5.33 | timeout |
| 06-08 21:01 | BTC | Buy | 64016.2→63490.8 | -3.65 | timeout |
| 06-06 02:45 | BTC | Sell | 61296.9→60940 | +1.97 | timeout |
| 06-05 13:56 | BTC | Buy | 62041.1→60887.5 | -7.80 | stop_loss |
| 06-05 12:22 | BTC | Buy | 61453.1→62199.9 | +4.49 | timeout |
| 06-04 01:23 | BTC | Buy | 63721.2→62536.6 | -7.80 | stop_loss |
| 06-03 13:57 | BTC | Buy | 67233.4→66832.7 | -2.75 | timeout |
| 06-02 19:35 | BTC | Buy | 68004.4→66555.4 | -8.88 | stop_loss |
| 06-02 09:42 | BTC | Sell | 70932.5→69498.5 | +7.76 | timeout |
| 06-02 07:42 | BTC | Buy | 70908.5→70202.5 | -4.37 | timeout |
| 05-31 20:23 | BTC | Sell | 73595.3→73712.7 | -1.00 | timeout |
| 05-29 13:50 | BTC | Sell | 73366.3→73177.7 | +0.67 | timeout |
| 05-27 18:32 | BTC | Sell | 75904.2→74880.7 | +5.05 | timeout |
| 05-27 00:45 | BTC | Sell | 75886.2→75948.8 | -0.69 | timeout |
| 05-26 15:23 | BTC | Buy | 77949.9→76502.9 | -7.79 | stop_loss |
| 05-26 07:49 | BTC | Sell | 76711.2→76624.8 | +0.09 | timeout |
| 05-25 03:51 | BTC | Sell | 76133.2→77001.8 | -4.91 | timeout |
| 05-23 22:58 | BTC | Buy | 75438.8→76540.2 | +5.47 | timeout |
| 05-23 14:13 | BTC | Buy | 74543.7→75186.2 | +3.09 | timeout |
| 05-23 01:12 | BTC | Sell | 76241.2→75418.8 | +3.97 | timeout |
| 05-19 15:37 | BTC | Buy | 76746.8→76518.2 | -1.57 | timeout |
| 05-15 21:02 | BTC | Buy | 79114→79089 | -0.47 | timeout |
| 05-15 13:39 | BTC | Buy | 80677→79180.4 | -7.77 | stop_loss |
| 05-12 04:43 | BTC | Buy | 81724.1→81715.9 | -0.41 | timeout |
Paper vs Live
Paper (trades.jsonl)
39
closed
51%
win rate
-15.95
total pnl ($)
-10.2 bps
avg bps net
Live (dry_run=0)
0
closed
—
win rate
—
total pnl ($)
—
avg bps net
Live: 0 trades, insufficient sample
Per-symbol breakdown (paper)
| symbol | n | wr | net bps | total pnl ($) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BTC | 39 | 51% | -10.2 | -15.95 |
Recent bounces (last 20 of 2)
| time | sym | side | reason |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06-22 13:21 | BTC | Sell | stale_intent |
| 06-21 22:46 | BTC | Sell | stale_intent |
Postmortem feed (last 10)
| time | sym | side | pnl | narrative |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| no postmortems | ||||