39
closed trades
54%
win rate
+8.59
total pnl ($)
1.329
weight
7d window — n=7 wr=86% pnl=+14.31
· venues=(unknown)
· horizon=—
· SL=—
· TP=—
· class=? in ?
Backtest evidence
run: 2026-06-03 15:59:01 (19.3d ago) · src: canon
verdict: REJECT
· strict: STRICT-FAIL
· batch:
strategies_batch_deribit_basis_stability_siblings
n: 71
· wr: 49.3%
· total_bps: -1153.9
· mean_bps: -16.25
· sharpe: -0.20
· max_dd_bps: -1154.1
gate: min_trades=— min_wr=— min_total_bps=— min_sharpe=— effective_days=—
Cumulative P&L (last 39 closed)
Last 100 trades
| time | sym | side | entry→exit | pnl | close |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-22 18:52 | BTC | Sell | 65135.7→64399.2 | +4.18 | timeout |
| 06-22 04:29 | BTC | Sell | 63703.8→63940.2 | -1.84 | timeout |
| 06-21 13:46 | BTC | Sell | 64207.8→64030.2 | +0.73 | timeout |
| 06-19 14:46 | BTC | Buy | 62625.1→63261.8 | +3.73 | timeout |
| 06-19 08:49 | BTC | Sell | 62898.9→62627.1 | +1.34 | timeout |
| 06-16 14:02 | BTC | Sell | 66375.7→66122.3 | +1.18 | timeout |
| 06-16 03:21 | BTC | Sell | 66503.7→65615.3 | +4.98 | timeout |
| 06-15 14:10 | BTC | Buy | 65710.3→66304.7 | +3.26 | timeout |
| 06-15 03:22 | BTC | Sell | 64670.8→65669.3 | -6.53 | timeout |
| 06-12 13:45 | BTC | Buy | 63031.2→63156.8 | +0.42 | timeout |
| 06-12 12:14 | BTC | Sell | 63250.8→63588.2 | -2.48 | timeout |
| 06-12 03:14 | BTC | Sell | 63526.8→63505.2 | -0.20 | timeout |
| 06-11 23:38 | BTC | Buy | 63191.2→63473.8 | +1.40 | timeout |
| 06-11 13:09 | BTC | Buy | 62625.1→62861.9 | +1.13 | timeout |
| 06-10 15:44 | BTC | Buy | 61265.1→62372.9 | +6.86 | timeout |
| 06-09 18:21 | BTC | Sell | 62711.9→61763.1 | +5.71 | timeout |
| 06-08 20:59 | BTC | Buy | 63938.2→63427.8 | -3.56 | timeout |
| 06-06 02:45 | BTC | Sell | 61300.9→60917 | +2.15 | timeout |
| 06-05 13:57 | BTC | Buy | 62043.1→60760.6 | -8.63 | stop_loss |
| 06-05 12:23 | BTC | Buy | 61399.1→62256.9 | +5.22 | timeout |
| 06-04 09:52 | BTC | Sell | 64351.8→62983.1 | +8.13 | timeout |
| 06-04 01:50 | BTC | Buy | 63734.2→62421.7 | -8.60 | stop_loss |
| 06-03 14:09 | BTC | Buy | 67099.4→66829.7 | -1.98 | timeout |
| 06-02 21:08 | BTC | Buy | 68076.4→67600.6 | -3.16 | timeout |
| 06-02 09:39 | BTC | Sell | 70946.5→69460.5 | +8.05 | timeout |
| 06-02 07:39 | BTC | Buy | 70824.5→70166.5 | -4.11 | timeout |
| 05-31 20:26 | BTC | Sell | 73538.3→73673.7 | -1.10 | timeout |
| 05-27 18:31 | BTC | Sell | 75899.2→74855.7 | +5.15 | timeout |
| 05-27 00:46 | BTC | Sell | 75889.2→75952.8 | -0.70 | timeout |
| 05-26 15:31 | BTC | Buy | 77919.9→76314 | -8.60 | stop_loss |
| 05-26 07:48 | BTC | Sell | 76700.2→76607.8 | +0.12 | timeout |
| 05-25 03:51 | BTC | Sell | 76134.2→76987.8 | -4.84 | timeout |
| 05-23 22:58 | BTC | Buy | 75438.8→76554.2 | +5.54 | timeout |
| 05-23 14:13 | BTC | Buy | 74543.7→75187.2 | +3.09 | timeout |
| 05-23 01:12 | BTC | Sell | 76240.2→75419.8 | +3.96 | timeout |
| 05-19 15:36 | BTC | Buy | 76790.8→76514.2 | -1.82 | timeout |
| 05-15 21:02 | BTC | Buy | 79146→79088 | -0.64 | timeout |
| 05-15 13:42 | BTC | Buy | 80677→79019.5 | -8.57 | stop_loss |
| 05-12 04:43 | BTC | Buy | 81724.1→81715.9 | -0.41 | timeout |
Paper vs Live
Paper (trades.jsonl)
39
closed
54%
win rate
+8.59
total pnl ($)
+5.5 bps
avg bps net
Live (dry_run=0)
0
closed
—
win rate
—
total pnl ($)
—
avg bps net
Live: 0 trades, insufficient sample
Per-symbol breakdown (paper)
| symbol | n | wr | net bps | total pnl ($) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BTC | 39 | 54% | +5.5 | +8.59 |
Recent bounces (last 20 of 2)
| time | sym | side | reason |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06-22 13:21 | BTC | Sell | stale_intent |
| 06-21 22:45 | BTC | Sell | stale_intent |
Postmortem feed (last 10)
| time | sym | side | pnl | narrative |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| no postmortems | ||||