39
closed trades
54%
win rate
-14.54
total pnl ($)
1.211
weight
7d window — n=7 wr=71% pnl=+0.67
· venues=(unknown)
· horizon=—
· SL=—
· TP=—
· class=? in ?
Backtest evidence
run: 2026-06-03 15:59:01 (19.1d ago) · src: canon
verdict: REJECT
· strict: STRICT-FAIL
· batch:
strategies_batch_deribit_basis_stability_siblings
n: 73
· wr: 49.3%
· total_bps: -794.2
· mean_bps: -10.88
· sharpe: -0.17
· max_dd_bps: -818.0
gate: min_trades=— min_wr=— min_total_bps=— min_sharpe=— effective_days=—
Cumulative P&L (last 39 closed)
Last 100 trades
| time | sym | side | entry→exit | pnl | close |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-22 01:26 | BTC | Sell | 63565.8→64749.6 | -7.80 | stop_loss |
| 06-21 13:43 | BTC | Sell | 64178.8→64014.2 | +0.65 | timeout |
| 06-19 14:46 | BTC | Buy | 62620.1→63260.8 | +3.75 | timeout |
| 06-19 08:49 | BTC | Sell | 62892.9→62627.1 | +1.31 | timeout |
| 06-16 14:07 | BTC | Sell | 66312.7→66165.3 | +0.55 | timeout |
| 06-16 13:27 | BTC | Buy | 66323.3→66089.7 | -1.79 | timeout |
| 06-16 03:25 | BTC | Sell | 66519.7→65793.3 | +4.00 | timeout |
| 06-15 14:07 | BTC | Buy | 65708.3→66367.7 | +3.66 | timeout |
| 06-15 00:14 | BTC | Sell | 64698.8→65908.2 | -7.84 | stop_loss |
| 06-12 13:45 | BTC | Buy | 63029.2→63147.8 | +0.38 | timeout |
| 06-12 12:14 | BTC | Sell | 63253.8→63599.2 | -2.53 | timeout |
| 06-12 04:04 | BTC | Sell | 63559.8→63483.2 | +0.14 | timeout |
| 06-11 21:01 | BTC | Buy | 62566.1→63405.8 | +4.98 | timeout |
| 06-11 13:04 | BTC | Buy | 62633.1→62927.9 | +1.50 | timeout |
| 06-10 15:44 | BTC | Buy | 61283.1→62371.9 | +6.74 | timeout |
| 06-09 18:21 | BTC | Sell | 62736.9→61845.1 | +5.34 | timeout |
| 06-08 20:59 | BTC | Buy | 63936.2→63427.8 | -3.55 | timeout |
| 06-06 02:46 | BTC | Sell | 61287.9→60946 | +1.87 | timeout |
| 06-05 13:56 | BTC | Buy | 62075.1→60920.5 | -7.80 | stop_loss |
| 06-05 12:22 | BTC | Buy | 61453.1→62199.9 | +4.49 | timeout |
| 06-04 01:23 | BTC | Buy | 63721.2→62536.6 | -7.80 | stop_loss |
| 06-03 13:57 | BTC | Buy | 67233.4→66832.7 | -2.75 | timeout |
| 06-02 19:35 | BTC | Buy | 68004.4→66555.4 | -8.88 | stop_loss |
| 06-02 09:42 | BTC | Sell | 70932.5→69498.5 | +7.76 | timeout |
| 06-02 07:42 | BTC | Buy | 70908.5→70202.5 | -4.37 | timeout |
| 05-31 20:23 | BTC | Sell | 73595.3→73712.7 | -1.00 | timeout |
| 05-29 13:51 | BTC | Sell | 73390.3→73167.7 | +0.86 | timeout |
| 05-27 18:32 | BTC | Sell | 75879.2→74864.7 | +5.00 | timeout |
| 05-27 00:46 | BTC | Sell | 75888.2→75965.8 | -0.77 | timeout |
| 05-26 15:30 | BTC | Buy | 77932.9→76487.9 | -7.78 | stop_loss |
| 05-26 07:48 | BTC | Sell | 76700.2→76607.8 | +0.12 | timeout |
| 05-25 03:51 | BTC | Sell | 76119.2→76987.8 | -4.92 | timeout |
| 05-23 22:58 | BTC | Buy | 75438.8→76554.2 | +5.54 | timeout |
| 05-23 14:12 | BTC | Buy | 74602.7→75188.2 | +2.78 | timeout |
| 05-23 01:12 | BTC | Sell | 76240.2→75407.8 | +4.02 | timeout |
| 05-19 15:37 | BTC | Buy | 76747.8→76514.2 | -1.60 | timeout |
| 05-15 21:02 | BTC | Buy | 79141→79087 | -0.62 | timeout |
| 05-15 13:41 | BTC | Buy | 80650→79154.4 | -7.77 | stop_loss |
| 05-12 04:43 | BTC | Buy | 81724.1→81715.9 | -0.41 | timeout |
Paper vs Live
Paper (trades.jsonl)
39
closed
54%
win rate
-14.54
total pnl ($)
-9.3 bps
avg bps net
Live (dry_run=0)
0
closed
—
win rate
—
total pnl ($)
—
avg bps net
Live: 0 trades, insufficient sample
Per-symbol breakdown (paper)
| symbol | n | wr | net bps | total pnl ($) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BTC | 39 | 54% | -9.3 | -14.54 |
Recent bounces (last 20 of 0)
| time | sym | side | reason |
|---|---|---|---|
| no bounces recorded | |||
Postmortem feed (last 10)
| time | sym | side | pnl | narrative |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| no postmortems | ||||