48
closed trades
48%
win rate
+20.36
total pnl ($)
1.105
weight
7d window — n=10 wr=20% pnl=-22.21
· venues=(unknown)
· horizon=—
· SL=—
· TP=—
· class=? in ?
Backtest evidence
run: 2026-06-03 15:35:12 (24.4d ago) · src: canon
verdict: REJECT
· strict: STRICT-FAIL
· batch:
strategies_batch_deribit_basis_stability_siblings
n: 71
· wr: 42.3%
· total_bps: -289.6
· mean_bps: -4.08
· sharpe: -0.04
· max_dd_bps: -1011.8
gate: min_trades=— min_wr=— min_total_bps=— min_sharpe=— effective_days=—
Cumulative P&L (last 48 closed)
Last 100 trades
| time | sym | side | entry→exit | pnl | close |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-27 19:41 | BTC | Sell | 59897→60145 | -2.05 | timeout |
| 06-27 07:48 | BTC | Sell | 60494→60475 | -0.23 | timeout |
| 06-26 14:18 | BTC | Buy | 58935.9→59880 | +6.01 | timeout |
| 06-26 12:43 | BTC | Buy | 60495→59007.5 | -10.21 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 17:47 | BTC | Buy | 60594→59103.5 | -10.19 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 07:34 | BTC | Buy | 62922.1→62690.9 | -1.87 | timeout |
| 06-23 08:24 | BTC | Sell | 65115.7→62256.1 | +17.19 | take_profit |
| 06-23 08:17 | BTC | Buy | 63981.2→62403.7 | -10.23 | stop_loss |
| 06-22 12:40 | BTC | Sell | 63574.8→65142.8 | -10.15 | stop_loss |
| 06-22 07:45 | BTC | Sell | 64215.8→64237.2 | -0.47 | timeout |
| 06-20 08:46 | BTC | Buy | 62627.1→63413.8 | +4.57 | timeout |
| 06-20 02:48 | BTC | Sell | 62892.9→63402.2 | -3.60 | timeout |
| 06-17 08:02 | BTC | Sell | 66389.7→65497.3 | +4.98 | timeout |
| 06-16 21:20 | BTC | Sell | 66496.7→65747.3 | +4.22 | timeout |
| 06-16 08:11 | BTC | Buy | 65706.3→66421.7 | +4.03 | timeout |
| 06-15 11:19 | BTC | Sell | 64670.8→66267.4 | -10.23 | stop_loss |
| 06-13 07:45 | BTC | Buy | 63034.2→63811.8 | +4.56 | timeout |
| 06-13 06:26 | BTC | Sell | 63147.8→63583.2 | -3.11 | timeout |
| 06-12 22:01 | BTC | Sell | 63531.8→63512.2 | -0.20 | timeout |
| 06-12 15:01 | BTC | Buy | 62591.1→64135.8 | +9.45 | timeout |
| 06-12 07:08 | BTC | Buy | 62619.1→63048.8 | +2.35 | timeout |
| 06-11 09:44 | BTC | Buy | 61233.1→62876.9 | +10.27 | timeout |
| 06-10 12:21 | BTC | Sell | 62710.9→61104.1 | +9.85 | timeout |
| 06-09 00:49 | BTC | Buy | 63938.2→62365.7 | -10.20 | stop_loss |
| 06-06 20:45 | BTC | Sell | 61295.9→60717 | +3.36 | timeout |
| 06-05 16:11 | BTC | Buy | 61377.1→59867.1 | -10.19 | stop_loss |
| 06-05 14:00 | BTC | Buy | 62177.1→60647.6 | -10.20 | stop_loss |
| 06-05 03:53 | BTC | Sell | 64338.8→62693.1 | +9.82 | timeout |
| 06-04 02:01 | BTC | Buy | 63571.2→62007.9 | -10.20 | stop_loss |
| 06-03 19:53 | BTC | Buy | 67098.4→65442 | -10.26 | stop_loss |
| 06-02 22:58 | BTC | Buy | 67942.4→66271.5 | -10.20 | stop_loss |
| 06-02 14:27 | BTC | Sell | 70950.5→67832.4 | +17.24 | take_profit |
| 06-02 13:31 | BTC | Sell | 71717.4→69039.5 | +14.59 | timeout |
| 06-02 12:31 | BTC | Buy | 70886.5→69142 | -10.26 | stop_loss |
| 06-02 02:07 | BTC | Sell | 73460.3→70226.5 | +17.37 | take_profit |
| 05-30 07:49 | BTC | Sell | 73370.3→73510.7 | -1.09 | timeout |
| 05-28 12:31 | BTC | Sell | 75899.2→73467.7 | +12.52 | timeout |
| 05-27 18:46 | BTC | Sell | 75873.2→74936.7 | +4.64 | timeout |
| 05-27 01:48 | BTC | Sell | 76711.2→75935.8 | +3.64 | timeout |
| 05-26 17:26 | BTC | Buy | 77930.9→76009.2 | -10.23 | stop_loss |
| 05-25 21:51 | BTC | Sell | 76133.2→77282.9 | -6.32 | timeout |
| 05-24 16:58 | BTC | Buy | 75437.8→76631.2 | +5.99 | timeout |
| 05-24 08:13 | BTC | Buy | 74555.7→76702.2 | +11.04 | timeout |
| 05-23 19:12 | BTC | Sell | 76241.2→75758.8 | +2.22 | timeout |
| 05-20 09:37 | BTC | Buy | 76767.8→77484.1 | +3.25 | timeout |
| 05-16 15:02 | BTC | Buy | 79148→79144 | -0.46 | timeout |
| 05-15 13:51 | BTC | Buy | 80677→78696.7 | -10.17 | stop_loss |
| 05-12 22:43 | BTC | Buy | 81724.1→81715.9 | -0.44 | timeout |
Paper vs Live
Paper (trades.jsonl)
48
closed
48%
win rate
+20.36
total pnl ($)
+10.8 bps
avg bps net
Live (dry_run=0)
0
closed
—
win rate
—
total pnl ($)
—
avg bps net
Live: 0 trades, insufficient sample
Per-symbol breakdown (paper)
| symbol | n | wr | net bps | total pnl ($) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BTC | 48 | 48% | +10.8 | +20.36 |
Recent bounces (last 20 of 0)
| time | sym | side | reason |
|---|---|---|---|
| no bounces recorded | |||
Postmortem feed (last 10)
| time | sym | side | pnl | narrative |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| no postmortems | ||||