10
closed trades
20%
win rate
-9.44
total pnl ($)
1.112
weight
7d window — n=0 wr=0% pnl=+0.00
· venues=(unknown)
· horizon=—
· SL=—
· TP=—
· class=? in ?
Backtest evidence
run: 2026-05-17 03:35:25 (44.0d ago) · src: canon
verdict: PASS
· strict: STRICT-PASS
· batch:
yf
n: 11
· wr: 63.6%
· total_bps: +353.8
· mean_bps: +32.17
· sharpe: +0.43
· max_dd_bps: -118.9
gate: min_trades=— min_wr=— min_total_bps=— min_sharpe=— effective_days=—
Cumulative P&L (last 10 closed)
Last 100 trades
| time | sym | side | entry→exit | pnl | close |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-12 02:43 | BTC | Sell | 81715.9→81724.1 | -0.49 | timeout |
| 05-10 14:02 | BTC | Sell | 80790→80925 | -1.28 | timeout |
| 05-08 06:03 | BTC | Sell | 79541→79475 | -0.03 | timeout |
| 05-07 18:03 | BTC | Sell | 80463→80138 | +1.58 | timeout |
| 05-07 05:20 | BTC | Sell | 81015.9→81067.1 | -0.76 | timeout |
| 05-06 17:21 | BTC | Sell | 81999.9→81506.1 | +2.55 | timeout |
| 05-04 02:02 | BTC | Sell | 78886.1→79550 | -4.65 | timeout |
| 05-03 14:00 | BTC | Sell | 78496.1→78633.9 | -1.31 | timeout |
| 04-28 01:14 | BTC | Sell | 76816→77302 | -3.61 | timeout |
| 04-27 12:36 | BTC | Sell | 77574→77731 | -1.46 | timeout |
Paper vs Live
Paper (trades.jsonl)
10
closed
20%
win rate
-9.44
total pnl ($)
-19.0 bps
avg bps net
Live (dry_run=0)
0
closed
—
win rate
—
total pnl ($)
—
avg bps net
Live: 0 trades, insufficient sample
Per-symbol breakdown (paper)
| symbol | n | wr | net bps | total pnl ($) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BTC | 10 | 20% | -19.0 | -9.44 |
Recent bounces (last 20 of 0)
| time | sym | side | reason |
|---|---|---|---|
| no bounces recorded | |||
Postmortem feed (last 10)
| time | sym | side | pnl | narrative |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-08 06:03 | BTC | Sell | -0.03 | The market was in a low-funding, sideways consolidation with no clear directional momentum. The thesis failed because the trade expired without reaching a target or stop, as the lack of volatility prevented any meaningful price movement. |
| 05-07 18:03 | BTC | Sell | +1.58 | BTC was in a mild downtrend across timeframes with low volatility and neutral funding. The short thesis failed to capture meaningful downside, closing at timeout with a small profit as the market remained range-bound. |
| 05-07 05:20 | BTC | Sell | -0.76 | The market was in a mild downtrend with BTC declining across all timeframes and low funding rates. The short thesis failed because the trade was closed by timeout before the expected move materialized, as the market remained range-bound without triggering t… |
| 05-06 17:21 | BTC | Sell | +2.55 | The market was in a mild downtrend with BTC down across all timeframes and low funding rates. The thesis failed because the trade was closed by timeout before the expected move materialized, as the slow, grinding decline did not trigger an exit condition. |
| 04-27 12:36 | BTC | Sell | -1.46 | BTC was consolidating sideways near $77,700 with minimal 1-hour decay (-0.12%) and positive weekly momentum (+3.35%), while funding rates had turned sharply negative (-0.33%), signaling over-leveraged longs unwinding. The fade thesis failed because the basi… |