40
closed trades
48%
win rate
-89.44
total pnl ($)
1.050
weight
7d window — n=7 wr=43% pnl=-31.34
· venues=(unknown)
· horizon=—
· SL=—
· TP=—
· class=? in ?
Backtest evidence
run: 2026-05-26 16:55:38 (32.5d ago) · src: canon
verdict: REJECT
· strict: STRICT-FAIL
· batch:
x1442802_14015
n: 12
· wr: 8.3%
· total_bps: -1033.1
· mean_bps: -86.09
· sharpe: -0.91
· max_dd_bps: -1033.1
gate: min_trades=— min_wr=— min_total_bps=— min_sharpe=— effective_days=—
Cumulative P&L (last 40 closed)
Last 100 trades
| time | sym | side | entry→exit | pnl | close |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-27 19:10 | BTC | Buy | 59982→60548 | +4.29 | timeout |
| 06-26 12:43 | BTC | Buy | 60500→59010.5 | -12.77 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 13:57 | BTC | Buy | 62772.1→61223.3 | -12.79 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 07:11 | BTC | Buy | 62995.1→62738.9 | -2.54 | timeout |
| 06-23 06:20 | BTC | Buy | 64400.2→62816.4 | -12.77 | stop_loss |
| 06-22 17:16 | BTC | Buy | 64153.2→64644.8 | +3.38 | timeout |
| 06-21 17:12 | BTC | Buy | 63895.2→64181.8 | +1.85 | timeout |
| 06-20 17:01 | BTC | Buy | 62938.1→63959.8 | +7.63 | timeout |
| 06-19 16:43 | BTC | Buy | 62715.1→63249.8 | +3.84 | timeout |
| 06-18 15:40 | BTC | Buy | 64216.2→62636.5 | -12.66 | stop_loss |
| 06-18 08:31 | BTC | Buy | 65178.3→64541.8 | -5.36 | timeout |
| 06-17 08:02 | BTC | Buy | 66396.3→65490.7 | -7.23 | timeout |
| 06-15 21:23 | BTC | Buy | 64651.2→66507.7 | +13.85 | timeout |
| 06-13 21:38 | BTC | Buy | 63550.2→64291.8 | +5.36 | timeout |
| 06-12 21:00 | BTC | Buy | 63379.2→63437.8 | -0.02 | timeout |
| 06-11 17:37 | BTC | Buy | 61796.1→63107.8 | +10.08 | timeout |
| 06-10 15:27 | BTC | Buy | 61358.1→62239.9 | +6.68 | timeout |
| 06-09 14:47 | BTC | Buy | 62718.1→61172.3 | -12.78 | stop_loss |
| 06-06 20:11 | BTC | Buy | 60703→60545 | -1.68 | timeout |
| 06-05 02:32 | BTC | Buy | 63141.2→62738.9 | -3.62 | timeout |
| 06-04 00:29 | BTC | Buy | 65133.3→63531 | -12.75 | stop_loss |
| 06-03 20:55 | BTC | Buy | 66433.3→64797.3 | -12.81 | stop_loss |
| 06-03 03:28 | BTC | Buy | 67729.4→66063.6 | -12.75 | stop_loss |
| 06-02 14:10 | BTC | Buy | 69986.5→68262.4 | -12.78 | stop_loss |
| 06-01 22:25 | BTC | Buy | 73901.7→71106.9 | -19.50 | stop_loss |
| 05-31 17:35 | BTC | Buy | 73835.7→73636.3 | -1.86 | timeout |
| 05-31 15:38 | BTC | Buy | 73851.7→73686.3 | -1.62 | timeout |
| 05-31 13:46 | BTC | Buy | 73746.7→73854.3 | +0.25 | timeout |
| 05-31 11:37 | BTC | Buy | 73588.7→73889.3 | +1.46 | timeout |
| 05-31 09:42 | BTC | Buy | 73529.7→73985.3 | +2.50 | timeout |
| 05-30 12:14 | BTC | Buy | 73328.7→73559.3 | +1.08 | timeout |
| 05-30 11:06 | BTC | Buy | 73634.7→73606.3 | -0.70 | timeout |
| 05-30 09:53 | BTC | Buy | 73711.7→73572.3 | -1.43 | timeout |
| 05-30 07:50 | BTC | Buy | 73373.7→73502.3 | +0.39 | timeout |
| 05-30 06:35 | BTC | Buy | 73677.7→73662.3 | -0.59 | timeout |
| 05-29 10:56 | BTC | Buy | 73417.7→73631.3 | +0.96 | timeout |
| 05-29 09:48 | BTC | Buy | 73533.7→73764.3 | +1.05 | timeout |
| 05-29 08:40 | BTC | Buy | 73245.7→73773.3 | +3.13 | timeout |
| 05-29 07:35 | BTC | Buy | 73344.7→73491.3 | +0.48 | timeout |
| 05-29 06:33 | BTC | Buy | 72819.6→73387.3 | +3.33 | timeout |
Paper vs Live
Paper (trades.jsonl)
40
closed
48%
win rate
-89.44
total pnl ($)
-44.1 bps
avg bps net
Live (dry_run=0)
0
closed
—
win rate
—
total pnl ($)
—
avg bps net
Live: 0 trades, insufficient sample
Per-symbol breakdown (paper)
| symbol | n | wr | net bps | total pnl ($) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BTC | 40 | 48% | -44.1 | -89.44 |
Recent bounces (last 20 of 1)
| time | sym | side | reason |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06-28 04:37 | BTC | Buy | circuit_breaker |
Postmortem feed (last 10)
| time | sym | side | pnl | narrative |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| no postmortems | ||||