deribit_basis_etf_accumulation_convergence

not live
2
closed trades
50%
win rate
-3.41
total pnl ($)
1.212
weight
7d window — n=0 wr=0% pnl=+0.00  ·  venues=(unknown)  ·  horizon=  ·  SL=  ·  TP=  ·  class=? in ?

Backtest evidence run: 2026-05-20 04:33:30 (33.9d ago) · src: canon
verdict: REJECT  ·  strict: STRICT-FAIL  ·  batch: ro
n: 9  ·  wr: 44.4%  ·  total_bps: +76.9  ·  mean_bps: +8.55  ·  sharpe: +0.08  ·  max_dd_bps: -289.4
gate: min_trades=— min_wr=— min_total_bps=— min_sharpe=— effective_days=—

Cumulative P&L (last 2 closed)


Last 100 trades

timesymsideentry→exitpnlclose
04-28 21:16BTCBuy76770→76314-3.42timeout
04-26 18:13BTCBuy77969→78041+0.01timeout

Paper vs Live

Paper (trades.jsonl)
2
closed
50%
win rate
-3.41
total pnl ($)
-34.1 bps
avg bps net
Live (dry_run=0)
0
closed
win rate
total pnl ($)
avg bps net
Live: 0 trades, insufficient sample

Per-symbol breakdown (paper)

symbolnwrnet bpstotal pnl ($)
BTC250%-34.1-3.41

Recent bounces (last 20 of 0)

timesymsidereason
no bounces recorded

Postmortem feed (last 10)

timesymsidepnlnarrative
04-26 18:13BTCBuy+0.01BTC rallied 1.18% over 24 hours and 3.59% over 7 days, closing at $78,209 with positive momentum across the session. The trade's thesis partially worked—the Deribit basis did compress as expected (z=-1.63), but the position exited on timeout before capturin…