91
closed trades
43%
win rate
-55.59
total pnl ($)
1.255
weight
7d window — n=16 wr=44% pnl=+0.70
· venues=(unknown)
· horizon=—
· SL=—
· TP=—
· class=? in ?
Backtest evidence
run: 2026-06-03 17:49:53 (24.3d ago) · src: canon
verdict: REJECT
· strict: STRICT-FAIL
· batch:
strategies_batch_gq
n: 81
· wr: 45.7%
· total_bps: -770.4
· mean_bps: -9.51
· sharpe: -0.10
· max_dd_bps: -1313.0
gate: min_trades=— min_wr=— min_total_bps=— min_sharpe=— effective_days=—
Cumulative P&L (last 91 closed)
Last 100 trades
| time | sym | side | entry→exit | pnl | close |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-27 12:02 | ETH | Sell | 1583.24→1582.76 | -0.30 | timeout |
| 06-26 20:05 | ETH | Sell | 1582.84→1576.76 | +1.49 | timeout |
| 06-26 20:05 | DOGE | Sell | 0.0752682→0.0758029 | -3.98 | timeout |
| 06-26 20:05 | BTC | Sell | 60376→59790 | +4.42 | timeout |
| 06-26 19:31 | SOL | Sell | 72.6571→73.6739 | -7.43 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 04:02 | ADA | Buy | 0.148667→0.147443 | -4.51 | timeout |
| 06-25 04:02 | XRP | Buy | 1.07347→1.07123 | -1.48 | timeout |
| 06-24 20:03 | XRP | Sell | 1.05894→1.06257 | -2.20 | timeout |
| 06-24 17:22 | DOGE | Sell | 0.0748773→0.0732613 | +10.33 | take_profit |
| 06-24 17:19 | SOL | Sell | 67.4639→65.9979 | +10.41 | take_profit |
| 06-24 16:47 | ADA | Buy | 0.144046→0.141973 | -7.65 | stop_loss |
| 06-23 20:01 | ADA | Sell | 0.150832→0.150408 | +0.95 | timeout |
| 06-23 12:13 | SOL | Sell | 68.9887→69.0924 | -1.26 | timeout |
| 06-23 04:07 | ADA | Buy | 0.1585→0.15973 | +3.45 | timeout |
| 06-22 20:14 | ADA | Sell | 0.15871→0.15923 | -2.15 | timeout |
| 06-21 12:06 | ADA | Sell | 0.1613→0.16096 | +0.61 | timeout |
| 06-20 12:10 | ADA | Buy | 0.162551→0.162989 | +0.91 | timeout |
| 06-18 23:31 | ADA | Buy | 0.162541→0.163299 | +1.91 | timeout |
| 06-18 19:54 | ADA | Sell | 0.1611→0.163382 | -7.51 | stop_loss |
| 06-17 19:20 | ADA | Sell | 0.171097→0.167402 | +10.37 | take_profit |
| 06-17 04:04 | ADA | Buy | 0.172333→0.173027 | +1.58 | timeout |
| 06-16 20:03 | ADA | Sell | 0.174126→0.172433 | +4.41 | timeout |
| 06-16 18:02 | XRP | Sell | 1.2106→1.22792 | -7.60 | stop_loss |
| 06-15 04:17 | BTC | Sell | 65735.7→65705.3 | -0.21 | timeout |
| 06-13 20:05 | ADA | Sell | 0.173577→0.171873 | +4.42 | timeout |
| 06-13 04:01 | DOGE | Sell | 0.0859095→0.0863016 | -2.78 | timeout |
| 06-13 01:27 | ADA | Sell | 0.169588→0.172039 | -7.67 | stop_loss |
| 06-11 11:51 | SOL | Sell | 65.1172→66.0329 | -7.46 | stop_loss |
| 06-11 01:41 | ADA | Sell | 0.16084→0.163122 | -7.54 | stop_loss |
| 06-10 18:40 | XRP | Sell | 1.12632→1.10208 | +10.31 | take_profit |
| 06-09 18:17 | BNB | Sell | 585.424→593.655 | -7.47 | stop_loss |
| 06-09 17:14 | DOGE | Sell | 0.083886→0.0850638 | -7.48 | stop_loss |
| 06-08 11:23 | XRP | Sell | 1.14521→1.16127 | -7.46 | stop_loss |
| 06-08 10:00 | ADA | Sell | 0.163179→0.165494 | -7.53 | stop_loss |
| 06-07 08:55 | SOL | Sell | 64.7833→65.6867 | -7.44 | stop_loss |
| 06-07 08:48 | XRP | Sell | 1.13342→1.14936 | -7.49 | stop_loss |
| 06-07 08:38 | ADA | Sell | 0.16196→0.164323 | -7.75 | stop_loss |
| 06-06 16:29 | SOL | Buy | 62.3624→61.499 | -7.37 | stop_loss |
| 06-05 12:01 | ETH | Sell | 1675.93→1661.57 | +3.82 | timeout |
| 06-05 08:53 | SOL | Buy | 66.0319→65.1206 | -7.33 | stop_loss |
| 06-05 02:58 | SOL | Sell | 68.7077→67.2161 | +10.35 | take_profit |
| 06-05 02:43 | DOGE | Sell | 0.0882479→0.0863416 | +10.34 | take_profit |
| 06-05 00:19 | ADA | Sell | 0.178895→0.175024 | +10.37 | take_profit |
| 06-04 18:30 | ADA | Sell | 0.187643→0.190293 | -7.50 | stop_loss |
| 06-04 09:25 | ADA | Sell | 0.193772→0.189597 | +10.30 | take_profit |
| 06-04 09:18 | SOL | Buy | 69.1194→68.1607 | -7.38 | stop_loss |
| 06-04 00:39 | SOL | Sell | 71.8612→70.3005 | +10.40 | take_profit |
| 06-04 00:30 | ADA | Sell | 0.20122→0.196889 | +10.31 | take_profit |
| 06-03 12:11 | DOGE | Sell | 0.0939325→0.0940845 | -1.25 | timeout |
| 06-03 03:44 | ETH | Sell | 1864.11→1823.28 | +10.50 | take_profit |
| 06-03 03:20 | SOL | Buy | 75.0133→73.9779 | -7.33 | stop_loss |
| 06-02 16:18 | DOGE | Sell | 0.0947963→0.0961311 | -7.49 | stop_loss |
| 06-02 16:15 | SOL | Sell | 76.2956→77.3533 | -7.38 | stop_loss |
| 06-02 02:06 | ADA | Sell | 0.230952→0.225966 | +10.34 | take_profit |
| 06-02 01:01 | DOGE | Sell | 0.100445→0.100985 | -3.12 | timeout |
| 06-01 17:02 | DOGE | Sell | 0.0982794→0.0996697 | -7.52 | stop_loss |
| 06-01 14:29 | BNB | Sell | 689.528→674.689 | +10.31 | take_profit |
| 06-01 09:31 | BNB | Sell | 688.038→697.753 | -7.51 | stop_loss |
| 06-01 06:45 | ADA | Sell | 0.236371→0.232228 | +8.31 | timeout |
| 05-31 04:04 | DOGE | Sell | 0.100435→0.101315 | -4.81 | timeout |
| 05-31 04:03 | ADA | Sell | 0.235371→0.23825 | -6.61 | timeout |
| 05-29 04:00 | SOL | Sell | 82.2427→81.6622 | +3.09 | timeout |
| 05-29 04:00 | XRP | Sell | 1.31607→1.31253 | +0.91 | timeout |
| 05-28 17:45 | XRP | Sell | 1.31167→1.3301 | -7.49 | stop_loss |
| 05-27 20:15 | DOGE | Sell | 0.102464→0.102156 | +1.05 | timeout |
| 05-27 20:04 | ADA | Sell | 0.24117→0.24092 | +0.09 | timeout |
| 05-27 12:03 | ADA | Sell | 0.24035→0.23869 | +3.03 | timeout |
| 05-26 20:01 | DOGE | Sell | 0.101925→0.101155 | +3.28 | timeout |
| 05-26 20:01 | BNB | Sell | 659.525→657.034 | +1.40 | timeout |
| 05-26 20:01 | ADA | Sell | 0.242149→0.24019 | +3.53 | timeout |
| 05-25 12:03 | ADA | Sell | 0.244509→0.244401 | -0.20 | timeout |
| 05-25 12:03 | DOGE | Sell | 0.102714→0.102776 | -0.74 | timeout |
| 05-25 04:01 | ADA | Sell | 0.242239→0.24091 | +2.30 | timeout |
| 05-24 12:01 | ADA | Sell | 0.245289→0.245511 | -0.91 | timeout |
| 05-23 20:05 | SOL | Buy | 84.1426→84.8513 | +3.75 | timeout |
| 05-23 18:20 | DOGE | Sell | 0.101135→0.102557 | -7.49 | stop_loss |
| 05-23 12:01 | ADA | Sell | 0.237121→0.23816 | -2.76 | timeout |
| 05-23 12:01 | ETH | Sell | 2024.1→2029.9 | -1.88 | timeout |
| 05-23 12:01 | DOGE | Sell | 0.0987943→0.0991758 | -2.40 | timeout |
| 05-23 12:01 | XRP | Sell | 1.31097→1.32463 | -5.68 | timeout |
| 05-23 04:01 | ETH | Sell | 2062.99→2070.31 | -2.22 | timeout |
| 05-23 04:01 | BNB | Sell | 649.338→652.383 | -2.81 | timeout |
| 05-23 04:01 | DOGE | Sell | 0.102014→0.101675 | +1.21 | timeout |
| 05-22 04:01 | SOL | Sell | 87.1999→87.0711 | +0.31 | timeout |
| 05-21 04:02 | SOL | Sell | 86.0911→86.91 | -5.18 | timeout |
| 05-21 04:01 | ADA | Sell | 0.249018→0.252449 | -7.34 | stop_loss |
| 05-20 04:01 | ADA | Sell | 0.248008→0.248362 | -1.14 | timeout |
| 05-20 04:01 | BNB | Sell | 639.21→640.45 | -1.42 | timeout |
| 05-20 04:00 | SOL | Sell | 84.2414→84.1296 | +0.24 | timeout |
| 05-19 12:02 | ADA | Sell | 0.252127→0.248432 | +6.87 | timeout |
| 05-19 04:02 | ETH | Sell | 2129.09→2131.31 | -0.97 | timeout |
Paper vs Live
Paper (trades.jsonl)
91
closed
43%
win rate
-55.59
total pnl ($)
-12.2 bps
avg bps net
Live (dry_run=0)
0
closed
—
win rate
—
total pnl ($)
—
avg bps net
Live: 0 trades, insufficient sample
Per-symbol breakdown (paper)
| symbol | n | wr | net bps | total pnl ($) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ADA | 34 | 56% | +9.0 | +15.28 |
| SOL | 17 | 41% | -31.8 | -27.00 |
| DOGE | 16 | 31% | -28.5 | -22.85 |
| XRP | 9 | 22% | -62.5 | -28.18 |
| ETH | 7 | 43% | +29.8 | +10.43 |
| BNB | 6 | 33% | -24.9 | -7.48 |
| BTC | 2 | 50% | +41.8 | +4.21 |
Recent bounces (last 20 of 0)
| time | sym | side | reason |
|---|---|---|---|
| no bounces recorded | |||
Postmortem feed (last 10)
| time | sym | side | pnl | narrative |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-08 17:33 | ADA | Sell | -7.39 | The market was in a broad downtrend with ADA falling 4% over 24 hours alongside BTC and ETH. The short thesis failed because the stop_loss was triggered by a temporary intraday bounce against the prevailing bearish momentum. |
| 05-07 06:49 | ETH | Buy | +2.23 | The market was in a mild downtrend with ETH falling 1.23% over 24 hours and negative funding. The thesis failed because the trade was closed by timeout before reaching a profitable exit, as the persistent bearish momentum prevented a favorable price move. |
| 05-01 20:04 | BTC | Sell | +0.92 | Bitcoin had drifted sideways-to-slightly-lower in the hour before close (-0.22%), with funding rates remaining deeply negative at -0.0044%, indicating sustained short positioning and downside pressure. The trade's thesis worked because the MEXC-to-GATE fund… |
| 04-29 18:12 | ADA | Sell | +10.59 | At close, ADA was declining sharply (−1.63% in 1h, −2.52% in 24h) alongside broad crypto weakness (BTC −0.90% 1h, ETH −2.06% 1h), while funding rates turned negative (−0.0234%), signaling reduced leveraged long positioning. The thesis worked because the MEX… |
| 04-27 04:05 | BTC | Sell | -1.75 | BTC was consolidating near $79,078 with mild weakness over the hour (-0.13%) while maintaining strong weekly gains (+5.93%), with funding rates at a modest 0.007399%. The trade's thesis failed because the funding spread gap of +0.0339% that initially favore… |
| 04-27 01:01 | ETH | Sell | -6.45 | ETH rallied 0.59% in the hour leading to the stop loss, with broader crypto strength evident in BTC's 0.34% hourly gain and positive weekly performance across both assets. The trade's thesis failed because the +0.0296% MEXC-versus-GATE funding spread gap th… |