1075
closed trades
40%
win rate
-1457.97
total pnl ($)
0.250
weight
7d window — n=184 wr=41% pnl=-269.26
· venues=(unknown)
· horizon=—
· SL=—
· TP=—
· class=? in ?
Backtest evidence
run: 2026-05-19 06:04:11 (39.4d ago) · src: canon
verdict: PASS
· strict: STRICT-PASS
· batch:
boost_a
n: 57
· wr: 45.6%
· total_bps: +65.3
· mean_bps: +1.15
· sharpe: +0.01
· max_dd_bps: -546.3
gate: min_trades=— min_wr=— min_total_bps=— min_sharpe=— effective_days=—
Cumulative P&L (last 100 closed)
Last 100 trades
| time | sym | side | entry→exit | pnl | close |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-27 14:07 | AVAX | Sell | 6.50547→6.60005 | -11.54 | stop_loss |
| 06-27 12:30 | SUI | Sell | 0.707143→0.699905 | +6.97 | timeout |
| 06-27 12:05 | ATOM | Sell | 1.5866→1.6045 | -9.25 | timeout |
| 06-27 11:56 | NEAR | Sell | 1.79615→1.82137 | -11.20 | stop_loss |
| 06-27 11:18 | APT | Buy | 0.603951→0.594654 | -12.25 | stop_loss |
| 06-27 09:04 | LTC | Sell | 42.1765→42.7701 | -11.26 | stop_loss |
| 06-27 07:54 | INJ | Buy | 4.92543→5.03144 | +15.48 | take_profit |
| 06-27 07:01 | ARB | Buy | 0.0752688→0.0749413 | -3.94 | timeout |
| 06-27 07:01 | APT | Buy | 0.603251→0.602749 | -1.34 | timeout |
| 06-27 07:01 | OP | Buy | 0.105306→0.104754 | -4.50 | timeout |
| 06-27 05:32 | DOGE | Sell | 0.0752952→0.0754098 | -1.85 | timeout |
| 06-27 04:38 | ATOM | Sell | 1.57851→1.6018 | -11.75 | stop_loss |
| 06-27 02:00 | BTC | Buy | 59880→59909 | -0.32 | timeout |
| 06-27 02:00 | LTC | Buy | 41.8155→42.0425 | +3.42 | timeout |
| 06-27 00:32 | OP | Buy | 0.106127→0.104631 | -11.20 | stop_loss |
| 06-27 00:07 | INJ | Buy | 4.82821→4.93267 | +15.54 | take_profit |
| 06-26 23:35 | APT | Sell | 0.606548→0.597449 | +10.61 | timeout |
| 06-26 22:03 | ADA | Buy | 0.148537→0.14645 | -11.22 | stop_loss |
| 06-26 20:36 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0755379→0.0753871 | -2.21 | timeout |
| 06-26 20:33 | SOL | Buy | 73.32→72.303 | -11.08 | stop_loss |
| 06-26 20:00 | SOL | Buy | 72.8859→73.325 | +3.81 | timeout |
| 06-26 18:33 | XRP | Buy | 1.04106→1.04264 | +0.46 | timeout |
| 06-26 18:04 | ETH | Buy | 1563.76→1582.44 | +8.26 | timeout |
| 06-26 18:03 | INJ | Buy | 4.7904→4.71736 | -12.11 | stop_loss |
| 06-26 13:55 | AVAX | Sell | 6.10397→6.19444 | -11.79 | stop_loss |
| 06-26 11:50 | ADA | Buy | 0.144976→0.142873 | -11.57 | stop_loss |
| 06-26 10:58 | OP | Sell | 0.106463→0.104136 | +15.72 | take_profit |
| 06-26 10:27 | INJ | Sell | 4.44819→4.51528 | -11.99 | stop_loss |
| 06-26 10:00 | LINK | Buy | 7.27232→7.16972 | -11.27 | stop_loss |
| 06-26 09:51 | ETH | Buy | 1572.56→1550.97 | -10.97 | stop_loss |
| 06-26 08:14 | XRP | Buy | 1.03126→1.04054 | +6.04 | timeout |
| 06-26 08:09 | ETH | Buy | 1553.96→1572.04 | +8.04 | timeout |
| 06-26 07:28 | ARB | Buy | 0.0725881→0.0741515 | +15.45 | take_profit |
| 06-26 07:13 | APT | Buy | 0.589347→0.602149 | +15.61 | take_profit |
| 06-26 07:03 | ADA | Buy | 0.142346→0.145434 | +15.60 | take_profit |
| 06-26 03:40 | SUI | Sell | 0.663044→0.672644 | -11.53 | stop_loss |
| 06-26 03:11 | INJ | Sell | 4.22504→4.28691 | -11.66 | stop_loss |
| 06-26 01:35 | ADA | Buy | 0.143706→0.141674 | -11.25 | stop_loss |
| 06-26 01:32 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0748327→0.0737846 | -11.18 | stop_loss |
| 06-26 01:30 | XRP | Buy | 1.04276→1.02803 | -11.27 | stop_loss |
| 06-26 01:29 | BTC | Buy | 60096→59278.4 | -10.88 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 22:22 | ETH | Buy | 1569.96→1566.34 | -2.41 | timeout |
| 06-25 21:33 | SUI | Sell | 0.670952→0.68041 | -11.24 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 21:33 | AVAX | Sell | 6.13377→6.22056 | -11.29 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 20:07 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0736864→0.0736706 | -0.86 | timeout |
| 06-25 20:01 | APT | Sell | 0.590452→0.598849 | -11.35 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 19:07 | SOL | Buy | 66.0289→65.9551 | -1.50 | timeout |
| 06-25 19:02 | BNB | Buy | 551.258→554.441 | +3.62 | timeout |
| 06-25 19:01 | XRP | Buy | 1.03156→1.03284 | +0.32 | timeout |
| 06-25 17:13 | APT | Buy | 0.583346→0.596151 | +15.81 | take_profit |
| 06-25 15:15 | AVAX | Buy | 6.11793→6.03187 | -11.22 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 14:51 | INJ | Sell | 4.22464→4.28471 | -11.35 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 14:33 | LINK | Sell | 7.13622→7.23923 | -11.50 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 14:10 | SUI | Sell | 0.666743→0.676307 | -11.43 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 13:48 | ATOM | Sell | 1.6101→1.57529 | +15.52 | take_profit |
| 06-25 13:46 | DOGE | Sell | 0.075879→0.0742366 | +15.55 | take_profit |
| 06-25 13:25 | OP | Sell | 0.105114→0.10665 | -11.65 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 13:18 | NEAR | Sell | 1.91552→1.94256 | -11.26 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 13:00 | LINK | Sell | 7.50612→7.45026 | +4.89 | timeout |
| 06-25 11:04 | INJ | Buy | 4.24366→4.18276 | -11.44 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 09:06 | LTC | Buy | 41.7904→41.7526 | -1.38 | timeout |
| 06-25 09:01 | SOL | Buy | 68.4353→69.0536 | +6.06 | timeout |
| 06-25 09:01 | ATOM | Buy | 1.65101→1.65169 | -0.31 | timeout |
| 06-25 09:00 | ADA | Buy | 0.148907→0.149193 | +0.76 | timeout |
| 06-25 07:09 | INJ | Buy | 4.23036→4.17017 | -11.31 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 04:04 | ETH | Buy | 1623.16→1618.24 | -2.96 | timeout |
| 06-25 04:04 | LTC | Buy | 41.1213→41.2517 | +1.71 | timeout |
| 06-25 03:03 | SUI | Sell | 0.684039→0.68 | +3.71 | timeout |
| 06-25 01:47 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0757239→0.076171 | +3.73 | timeout |
| 06-25 01:42 | ATOM | Buy | 1.65361→1.63819 | -7.59 | timeout |
| 06-24 20:47 | BNB | Sell | 558.13→562.331 | -6.40 | timeout |
| 06-24 20:46 | ADA | Buy | 0.141475→0.144574 | +15.77 | take_profit |
| 06-24 20:06 | AVAX | Buy | 6.09292→6.22404 | +15.46 | take_profit |
| 06-24 20:04 | BTC | Sell | 60264→60165 | +0.51 | timeout |
| 06-24 20:01 | ATOM | Sell | 1.62099→1.64433 | -11.51 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 18:19 | SUI | Sell | 0.661835→0.671223 | -11.35 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 17:27 | APT | Sell | 0.587853→0.596247 | -11.39 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 17:13 | ETH | Sell | 1618.14→1582.66 | +15.76 | take_profit |
| 06-24 16:51 | NEAR | Sell | 1.91282→1.87047 | +15.93 | take_profit |
| 06-24 16:47 | APT | Sell | 0.623744→0.610253 | +15.52 | take_profit |
| 06-24 16:22 | OP | Sell | 0.0986053→0.100095 | -12.01 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 15:43 | LINK | Buy | 7.49257→7.38686 | -11.26 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 13:33 | INJ | Sell | 4.32422→4.38499 | -11.25 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 13:12 | SUI | Sell | 0.702704→0.687322 | +15.72 | take_profit |
| 06-24 13:11 | ADA | Buy | 0.147957→0.145821 | -11.50 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 13:10 | ARB | Buy | 0.0784596→0.077332 | -11.46 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 13:08 | AVAX | Buy | 6.43411→6.33694 | -12.00 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 12:07 | LINK | Sell | 7.5956→7.6215 | -3.20 | timeout |
| 06-24 11:49 | SUI | Sell | 0.701195→0.711043 | -11.26 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 11:49 | NEAR | Sell | 1.95621→1.98369 | -11.20 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 11:16 | APT | Sell | 0.646538→0.632358 | +15.78 | take_profit |
| 06-24 11:07 | INJ | Sell | 4.50847→4.4111 | +15.47 | take_profit |
| 06-24 07:10 | LINK | Sell | 7.5786→7.62931 | -5.71 | timeout |
| 06-24 07:04 | NEAR | Sell | 1.96851→1.97469 | -3.01 | timeout |
| 06-24 07:03 | ATOM | Sell | 1.71317→1.69912 | +5.37 | timeout |
| 06-24 06:06 | INJ | Sell | 4.53926→4.53103 | +0.66 | timeout |
| 06-24 04:08 | APT | Sell | 0.648838→0.64026 | +9.23 | timeout |
| 06-24 02:01 | ATOM | Buy | 1.72713→1.72677 | -0.82 | timeout |
| 06-24 02:01 | INJ | Sell | 4.57596→4.54444 | +4.43 | timeout |
| 06-24 02:00 | ADA | Buy | 0.151408→0.152862 | +6.49 | timeout |
Paper vs Live
Paper (trades.jsonl)
1075
closed
40%
win rate
-1457.97
total pnl ($)
-18.0 bps
avg bps net
Live (dry_run=0)
0
closed
—
win rate
—
total pnl ($)
—
avg bps net
Live: 0 trades, insufficient sample
Per-symbol breakdown (paper)
| symbol | n | wr | net bps | total pnl ($) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| INJ | 106 | 36% | -20.4 | -162.95 |
| ATOM | 106 | 42% | -20.7 | -164.46 |
| ADA | 105 | 35% | -26.4 | -208.69 |
| APT | 93 | 43% | -11.1 | -78.37 |
| OP | 91 | 40% | -17.5 | -119.73 |
| ARB | 76 | 46% | -15.0 | -86.57 |
| NEAR | 71 | 34% | -35.2 | -187.67 |
| AVAX | 61 | 41% | -9.0 | -41.91 |
| ETH | 48 | 44% | -14.1 | -51.06 |
| SUI | 48 | 40% | -20.0 | -72.68 |
| LTC | 47 | 43% | -15.8 | -56.06 |
| DOGE | 45 | 42% | -3.6 | -12.66 |
| LINK | 40 | 42% | -20.8 | -62.93 |
| SOL | 38 | 42% | -0.9 | -2.77 |
| BNB | 37 | 49% | +2.7 | +6.70 |
| BTC | 33 | 36% | -31.7 | -78.72 |
| XRP | 30 | 30% | -34.2 | -77.43 |
Recent bounces (last 20 of 6)
| time | sym | side | reason |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06-27 14:21 | AVAX | Buy | circuit_breaker |
| 06-27 14:09 | ADA | Buy | circuit_breaker |
| 06-27 14:00 | INJ | Buy | circuit_breaker |
| 06-27 14:00 | APT | Buy | circuit_breaker |
| 06-27 12:22 | ATOM | Buy | circuit_breaker |
| 06-27 10:30 | AVAX | Sell | trigger_already_opened |
Postmortem feed (last 10)
| time | sym | side | pnl | narrative |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-09 20:43 | ADA | Sell | -6.23 | The market was in a mild uptrend with ADA rising 1.38% over 24h and positive funding, indicating bullish sentiment. The short thesis failed because the timeout closed the trade before the expected pullback materialized, as the trend continued against the po… |
| 05-09 20:43 | ADA | Sell | -6.23 | ADA was trading in a narrow range with low volatility, showing mild upward momentum across timeframes. The short thesis failed because the market lacked the directional pressure needed to trigger a decline, and the position was closed by timeout without rea… |
| 05-09 20:43 | ADA | Sell | -6.23 | ADA was in a mild uptrend across timeframes with neutral funding and steady open interest. The short thesis failed because the market lacked the bearish momentum needed to trigger a profitable exit before the timeout. |
| 05-09 20:43 | ADA | Sell | -6.23 | The market was in a bullish trend with elevated funding and open interest, indicating strong long-side conviction. The short thesis failed because the trade was closed by timeout without a favorable reversal, as persistent buying pressure prevented the expe… |
| 05-09 20:43 | ADA | Sell | -6.23 | ADA was trading in a narrow, low-volatility range with minimal directional bias across timeframes. The short thesis failed because the market lacked the momentum to trigger a significant move within the timeout period, resulting in a small loss from funding… |
| 05-09 20:43 | ADA | Sell | -6.23 | The market was in a low-volatility, range-bound regime with ADA flat across timeframes and neutral funding. The short thesis failed because the trade expired before any directional move materialized, as the timeout close_reason indicates no price action cat… |
| 05-09 20:43 | ADA | Sell | -6.23 | ADA was trading in a narrow range with low volatility, showing slight gains over 24 hours and 7 days. The sell thesis failed because the market lacked directional momentum, and the trade expired via timeout without reaching a profitable exit. |
| 05-09 20:43 | ADA | Sell | -6.23 | The market was in a low-volatility, range-bound regime with elevated funding rates, suggesting persistent long positioning. The thesis failed because the trade timed out without reaching the target, as the sideways price action prevented the anticipated mea… |
| 05-09 20:43 | ADA | Sell | -6.23 | ADA was trading in a narrow, low-volatility range with mild positive momentum across timeframes. The short thesis failed because the market lacked directional conviction and the position expired before any significant move materialized, resulting in a small… |
| 05-09 20:43 | ADA | Sell | -6.23 | ADA was trading in a narrow, low-volatility range with neutral funding and mixed short-term performance across majors. The sell thesis failed because the market lacked directional momentum, and the position was closed by timeout without reaching a target or… |