21
closed trades
48%
win rate
-10.81
total pnl ($)
1.266
weight
7d window — n=4 wr=50% pnl=+5.40
· venues=(unknown)
· horizon=—
· SL=—
· TP=—
· class=? in ?
Backtest evidence
run: 2026-05-19 01:30:23 (35.3d ago) · src: canon
verdict: REJECT
· strict: STRICT-FAIL
· batch:
vz
n: 4
· wr: 25.0%
· total_bps: -44.2
· mean_bps: -11.06
· sharpe: -0.31
· max_dd_bps: -91.5
gate: min_trades=— min_wr=— min_total_bps=— min_sharpe=— effective_days=—
Cumulative P&L (last 21 closed)
Last 100 trades
| time | sym | side | entry→exit | pnl | close |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-22 22:07 | ETH | Buy | 1736.87→1732.13 | -1.99 | timeout |
| 06-22 06:06 | ETH | Buy | 1712.37→1734.43 | +6.58 | timeout |
| 06-21 18:06 | ETH | Buy | 1725.57→1721.63 | -1.76 | timeout |
| 06-17 18:07 | BTC | Buy | 64839.2→65203.7 | +2.57 | timeout |
| 06-15 06:08 | BTC | Buy | 65712.3→65893.7 | +1.02 | timeout |
| 06-14 14:07 | ETH | Buy | 1674.67→1665.73 | -3.43 | timeout |
| 06-11 02:08 | ETH | Buy | 1626.06→1640.84 | +4.46 | timeout |
| 06-09 22:05 | BTC | Buy | 60971→62016.9 | +8.96 | timeout |
| 06-08 22:08 | ETH | Buy | 1693.67→1695.63 | +0.18 | timeout |
| 06-08 10:08 | BTC | Buy | 62936.1→63428.8 | +3.81 | timeout |
| 06-06 04:12 | ETH | Buy | 1567.86→1538.08 | -10.94 | stop_loss |
| 06-02 13:10 | BTC | Buy | 69984.5→68980.6 | -8.42 | timeout |
| 06-02 02:07 | BTC | Buy | 71480.6→70150.4 | -10.77 | stop_loss |
| 05-31 22:05 | ETH | Buy | 2010.2→2006.4 | -1.56 | timeout |
| 05-29 02:05 | BTC | Buy | 73306.7→73573.3 | +1.46 | timeout |
| 05-27 22:09 | BTC | Buy | 75241.8→74519.3 | -5.79 | timeout |
| 05-23 02:04 | ETH | Buy | 2069.21→2066.19 | -1.32 | timeout |
| 05-21 18:05 | ETH | Buy | 2114.41→2140.19 | +6.17 | timeout |
| 05-12 04:43 | BTC | Buy | 81724.1→81715.9 | -0.58 | timeout |
| 05-12 04:43 | ETH | Buy | 2339.83→2339.37 | -0.58 | timeout |
| 05-07 10:04 | ETH | Buy | 2321.93→2328.77 | +1.10 | timeout |
Paper vs Live
Paper (trades.jsonl)
21
closed
48%
win rate
-10.81
total pnl ($)
-9.1 bps
avg bps net
Live (dry_run=0)
0
closed
—
win rate
—
total pnl ($)
—
avg bps net
Live: 0 trades, insufficient sample
Per-symbol breakdown (paper)
| symbol | n | wr | net bps | total pnl ($) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ETH | 12 | 42% | -4.5 | -3.07 |
| BTC | 9 | 56% | -15.3 | -7.74 |
Recent bounces (last 20 of 1)
| time | sym | side | reason |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06-22 00:30 | ETH | Buy | stale_intent |
Postmortem feed (last 10)
| time | sym | side | pnl | narrative |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-07 10:04 | ETH | Buy | +1.10 | The market was in a short-term uptrend on the hourly chart but remained in a broader downtrend over the past week. The thesis failed because the trade was closed by timeout before the expected move materialized, likely due to insufficient momentum in a rang… |