388
closed trades
38%
win rate
-600.96
total pnl ($)
0.250
weight
7d window — n=75 wr=35% pnl=-191.96
· venues=(unknown)
· horizon=—
· SL=—
· TP=—
· class=? in ?
Backtest evidence
run: 2026-05-21 03:21:02 (38.3d ago) · src: canon
verdict: REJECT
· strict: STRICT-FAIL
· batch:
aqz
n: 245
· wr: 44.9%
· total_bps: -1007.0
· mean_bps: -4.11
· sharpe: -0.04
· max_dd_bps: -3209.5
gate: min_trades=— min_wr=— min_total_bps=— min_sharpe=— effective_days=—
Cumulative P&L (last 100 closed)
Last 100 trades
| time | sym | side | entry→exit | pnl | close |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-28 05:44 | SOL | Buy | 71.0167→70.3614 | -5.04 | timeout |
| 06-28 05:44 | ETH | Buy | 1577.86→1568.04 | -3.53 | timeout |
| 06-28 04:38 | ADA | Buy | 0.145546→0.144844 | -2.81 | timeout |
| 06-27 23:32 | BTC | Buy | 60771→59977 | -6.96 | timeout |
| 06-27 22:15 | ETH | Buy | 1598.16→1568.16 | -9.82 | stop_loss |
| 06-27 20:35 | SOL | Buy | 71.8348→71.2253 | -4.69 | timeout |
| 06-27 19:30 | ADA | Buy | 0.147907→0.145041 | -10.02 | stop_loss |
| 06-27 16:32 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0755819→0.076051 | +2.60 | timeout |
| 06-27 13:27 | SOL | Buy | 71.9298→72.3032 | +2.16 | timeout |
| 06-27 12:05 | BTC | Buy | 60399→60304 | -1.25 | timeout |
| 06-27 10:15 | XRP | Buy | 1.05636→1.05794 | +0.31 | timeout |
| 06-27 09:02 | ADA | Buy | 0.147867→0.147123 | -2.90 | timeout |
| 06-27 06:07 | SOL | Buy | 71.5917→71.7622 | +0.75 | timeout |
| 06-27 00:13 | ADA | Buy | 0.148497→0.148583 | -0.15 | timeout |
| 06-26 21:55 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0743566→0.0755641 | +7.62 | timeout |
| 06-26 20:16 | XRP | Buy | 1.02636→1.04754 | +9.85 | timeout |
| 06-26 19:31 | SOL | Buy | 71.3117→73.573 | +15.37 | take_profit |
| 06-26 15:25 | ETH | Buy | 1532.65→1581.44 | +15.45 | take_profit |
| 06-26 13:19 | BTC | Buy | 59591→58478.8 | -9.79 | stop_loss |
| 06-26 11:53 | SOL | Buy | 69.6815→68.3595 | -9.97 | stop_loss |
| 06-26 11:10 | BTC | Buy | 58874.9→59440 | +4.33 | timeout |
| 06-26 09:52 | ADA | Buy | 0.146337→0.143552 | -9.96 | stop_loss |
| 06-26 02:12 | ADA | Buy | 0.143316→0.140565 | -9.98 | stop_loss |
| 06-26 02:12 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0745996→0.0731821 | -9.95 | stop_loss |
| 06-26 02:12 | ETH | Buy | 1574.16→1544.67 | -9.77 | stop_loss |
| 06-26 02:09 | SOL | Buy | 68.3493→67.0594 | -9.89 | stop_loss |
| 06-26 00:39 | XRP | Buy | 1.02956→1.04214 | +5.67 | timeout |
| 06-25 13:42 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0764591→0.0749917 | -10.03 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 13:42 | ADA | Buy | 0.148357→0.145511 | -10.04 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 12:59 | SOL | Buy | 68.4253→68.2398 | -1.78 | timeout |
| 06-25 12:59 | BTC | Buy | 61342.1→61203.9 | -1.54 | timeout |
| 06-25 12:33 | ADA | Buy | 0.146987→0.147743 | +2.13 | timeout |
| 06-25 08:45 | XRP | Buy | 1.07367→1.08323 | +3.99 | timeout |
| 06-25 05:24 | ADA | Buy | 0.145936→0.150532 | +15.37 | take_profit |
| 06-25 01:24 | BTC | Buy | 59530→60890 | +10.98 | timeout |
| 06-25 00:52 | XRP | Buy | 1.05566→1.07493 | +8.71 | timeout |
| 06-24 17:21 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0747737→0.073339 | -10.04 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 17:20 | SOL | Buy | 66.617→65.3645 | -9.85 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 16:51 | ADA | Buy | 0.143726→0.140974 | -10.03 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 15:33 | SOL | Buy | 69.3844→68.0787 | -9.85 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 13:48 | BTC | Buy | 62410.1→61249.3 | -9.74 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 13:22 | ETH | Buy | 1678.47→1647.01 | -9.83 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 13:22 | XRP | Buy | 1.09647→1.07529 | -10.10 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 10:10 | ADA | Buy | 0.150738→0.147869 | -9.95 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 07:34 | XRP | Buy | 1.10778→1.09933 | -4.27 | timeout |
| 06-24 06:42 | SOL | Buy | 69.4684→69.8045 | +2.00 | timeout |
| 06-24 05:49 | ETH | Buy | 1666.47→1674.13 | +1.84 | timeout |
| 06-24 03:18 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0784626→0.0788243 | +1.85 | timeout |
| 06-24 01:42 | ADA | Buy | 0.150468→0.153782 | +10.51 | timeout |
| 06-23 19:25 | ETH | Buy | 1659.97→1656.83 | -1.39 | timeout |
| 06-23 18:33 | BTC | Buy | 62301.1→62277.9 | -0.64 | timeout |
| 06-23 18:07 | SOL | Buy | 69.0114→68.6577 | -2.94 | timeout |
| 06-23 16:24 | XRP | Buy | 1.10168→1.09733 | -2.43 | timeout |
| 06-23 12:58 | ADA | Buy | 0.153008→0.150057 | -10.10 | stop_loss |
| 06-23 08:17 | XRP | Buy | 1.12788→1.10647 | -9.93 | stop_loss |
| 06-23 06:21 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0814684→0.079898 | -10.08 | stop_loss |
| 06-23 06:20 | ADA | Buy | 0.157819→0.154784 | -10.05 | stop_loss |
| 06-23 06:20 | SOL | Buy | 71.4297→70.0844 | -9.85 | stop_loss |
| 06-23 05:43 | ADA | Buy | 0.15848→0.157431 | -3.64 | timeout |
| 06-23 02:06 | ETH | Buy | 1745.47→1730.23 | -4.82 | timeout |
| 06-23 01:10 | BTC | Buy | 64633.2→64208.8 | -3.73 | timeout |
| 06-22 22:27 | SOL | Buy | 73.451→72.0581 | -9.83 | stop_loss |
| 06-22 21:39 | DOGE | Buy | 0.083946→0.0823382 | -10.05 | stop_loss |
| 06-22 17:32 | ADA | Buy | 0.16125→0.158181 | -9.93 | stop_loss |
| 06-22 14:31 | SOL | Buy | 73.614→73.589 | -0.64 | timeout |
| 06-22 11:06 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0831478→0.08392 | +4.19 | timeout |
| 06-22 11:00 | XRP | Buy | 1.13498→1.13622 | +0.09 | timeout |
| 06-22 11:00 | ETH | Buy | 1735.97→1748.53 | +3.12 | timeout |
| 06-22 10:13 | ADA | Buy | 0.1605→0.16057 | -0.27 | timeout |
| 06-21 21:09 | ETH | Buy | 1735.27→1702.78 | -9.81 | stop_loss |
| 06-21 20:38 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0830458→0.0833752 | +1.54 | timeout |
| 06-21 20:28 | ADA | Buy | 0.16059→0.16129 | +1.75 | timeout |
| 06-21 20:23 | SOL | Buy | 72.9499→74.0609 | +7.12 | timeout |
| 06-21 20:18 | ETH | Buy | 1717.87→1729.93 | +3.09 | timeout |
| 06-21 13:18 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0833698→0.0833242 | -0.73 | timeout |
| 06-21 09:33 | BTC | Buy | 64196.2→64054.8 | -1.53 | timeout |
| 06-21 06:12 | XRP | Buy | 1.14859→1.14351 | -2.71 | timeout |
| 06-21 05:52 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0834369→0.0831422 | -2.21 | timeout |
| 06-21 05:14 | ADA | Buy | 0.163371→0.16023 | -10.03 | stop_loss |
| 06-20 23:15 | ADA | Buy | 0.162081→0.163269 | +3.19 | timeout |
| 06-20 21:25 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0832818→0.0834241 | +0.38 | timeout |
| 06-20 20:51 | XRP | Buy | 1.14579→1.14431 | -1.13 | timeout |
| 06-20 16:09 | ADA | Buy | 0.162411→0.1619 | -2.05 | timeout |
| 06-20 15:48 | BTC | Buy | 63709.2→64158.8 | +3.08 | timeout |
| 06-20 13:10 | XRP | Buy | 1.14699→1.14581 | -1.00 | timeout |
| 06-20 08:41 | ETH | Buy | 1710.17→1723.33 | +3.35 | timeout |
| 06-20 08:24 | BTC | Buy | 63450.2→63482.8 | -0.22 | timeout |
| 06-20 06:00 | XRP | Buy | 1.13128→1.14691 | +6.50 | timeout |
| 06-20 01:05 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0828387→0.0833422 | +2.62 | timeout |
| 06-20 00:57 | ADA | Buy | 0.16076→0.162449 | +4.75 | timeout |
| 06-19 22:12 | SOL | Buy | 68.9123→69.0056 | +0.25 | timeout |
| 06-19 20:33 | ETH | Buy | 1684.27→1701.03 | +4.53 | timeout |
| 06-19 16:40 | ADA | Buy | 0.16056→0.16151 | +2.50 | timeout |
| 06-19 15:50 | BTC | Buy | 62512.1→63182.8 | +4.92 | timeout |
| 06-19 13:50 | XRP | Buy | 1.13088→1.13932 | +3.29 | timeout |
| 06-19 13:08 | ETH | Buy | 1695.07→1695.83 | -0.22 | timeout |
| 06-19 08:19 | BTC | Buy | 62865.1→62591.9 | -2.58 | timeout |
| 06-19 04:55 | SOL | Buy | 69.5024→68.1966 | -9.87 | stop_loss |
| 06-19 04:52 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0836369→0.0820484 | -9.96 | stop_loss |
| 06-19 02:27 | ADA | Buy | 0.162161→0.164019 | +5.26 | timeout |
Paper vs Live
Paper (trades.jsonl)
388
closed
38%
win rate
-600.96
total pnl ($)
-31.0 bps
avg bps net
Live (dry_run=0)
0
closed
—
win rate
—
total pnl ($)
—
avg bps net
Live: 0 trades, insufficient sample
Per-symbol breakdown (paper)
| symbol | n | wr | net bps | total pnl ($) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ADA | 82 | 38% | -29.1 | -118.99 |
| XRP | 72 | 46% | -5.8 | -20.53 |
| SOL | 63 | 38% | -24.7 | -77.09 |
| BTC | 60 | 37% | -32.4 | -97.73 |
| ETH | 58 | 33% | -41.1 | -119.40 |
| DOGE | 53 | 32% | -63.0 | -167.22 |
Recent bounces (last 20 of 6)
| time | sym | side | reason |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06-28 07:03 | SOL | Buy | circuit_breaker |
| 06-28 06:37 | XRP | Buy | circuit_breaker |
| 06-28 03:41 | ADA | Buy | circuit_breaker |
| 06-28 02:26 | DOGE | Buy | circuit_breaker |
| 06-27 21:46 | SOL | Buy | circuit_breaker |
| 06-27 21:46 | ETH | Buy | circuit_breaker |
Postmortem feed (last 10)
| time | sym | side | pnl | narrative |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| no postmortems | ||||