387
closed trades
42%
win rate
-754.26
total pnl ($)
0.435
weight
7d window — n=51 wr=41% pnl=-124.04
· venues=(unknown)
· horizon=—
· SL=—
· TP=—
· class=? in ?
Cumulative P&L (last 100 closed)
Last 100 trades
| time | sym | side | entry→exit | pnl | close |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-27 22:00 | XRP | Buy | 1.06387→1.05044 | -10.04 | timeout |
| 06-27 22:00 | ADA | Buy | 0.147177→0.144372 | -14.86 | stop_loss |
| 06-27 19:31 | SOL | Buy | 72.2408→70.8819 | -14.78 | stop_loss |
| 06-27 18:53 | ADA | Buy | 0.147127→0.146613 | -3.08 | timeout |
| 06-27 16:32 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0755819→0.076051 | +3.90 | timeout |
| 06-27 12:19 | ADA | Buy | 0.148727→0.146743 | -10.62 | timeout |
| 06-27 05:35 | ADA | Buy | 0.147497→0.147583 | -0.30 | timeout |
| 06-26 20:16 | XRP | Buy | 1.02636→1.04754 | +14.77 | timeout |
| 06-26 15:39 | ADA | Buy | 0.143626→0.148153 | +22.95 | take_profit |
| 06-26 14:28 | SOL | Buy | 69.6574→71.8892 | +23.35 | take_profit |
| 06-26 07:39 | BTC | Buy | 58817.9→60696 | +23.27 | take_profit |
| 06-26 06:22 | SOL | Buy | 67.0171→69.1426 | +23.09 | take_profit |
| 06-26 02:12 | ADA | Buy | 0.143316→0.140565 | -14.96 | stop_loss |
| 06-26 02:12 | ETH | Buy | 1574.76→1545.27 | -14.68 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 22:10 | SOL | Buy | 65.9629→67.1099 | +12.36 | timeout |
| 06-25 13:44 | DOGE | Buy | 0.076153→0.0747039 | -14.94 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 13:44 | XRP | Buy | 1.07557→1.05511 | -14.93 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 13:42 | ETH | Buy | 1629.06→1598.54 | -14.72 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 12:50 | SOL | Buy | 68.1142→68.4117 | +2.64 | timeout |
| 06-25 03:08 | BTC | Buy | 59649→60772 | +13.46 | timeout |
| 06-25 00:52 | XRP | Buy | 1.05566→1.07493 | +13.07 | timeout |
| 06-24 20:49 | ADA | Buy | 0.140775→0.145234 | +23.15 | take_profit |
| 06-24 15:37 | BTC | Buy | 61754.1→60600.7 | -14.66 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 15:33 | XRP | Buy | 1.08397→1.063 | -15.11 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 14:01 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0780135→0.0765196 | -15.03 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 13:48 | ETH | Buy | 1672.67→1641.31 | -14.61 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 13:43 | BTC | Buy | 62676.1→61505.2 | -14.65 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 10:10 | ADA | Buy | 0.150588→0.147609 | -15.50 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 07:34 | XRP | Buy | 1.10818→1.09913 | -6.80 | timeout |
| 06-24 07:16 | BTC | Buy | 62536.1→62754.9 | +1.92 | timeout |
| 06-23 23:24 | ADA | Buy | 0.150458→0.151052 | +2.21 | timeout |
| 06-23 16:41 | BTC | Buy | 62379.1→62578.9 | +1.72 | timeout |
| 06-23 16:18 | ETH | Buy | 1653.67→1663.93 | +4.00 | timeout |
| 06-23 16:15 | SOL | Buy | 68.9533→69.2106 | +2.23 | timeout |
| 06-23 06:21 | XRP | Buy | 1.12948→1.10797 | -14.91 | stop_loss |
| 06-23 06:08 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0822636→0.0806375 | -15.39 | stop_loss |
| 06-23 04:42 | ADA | Buy | 0.15914→0.15845 | -3.84 | timeout |
| 06-22 22:28 | SOL | Buy | 72.7609→71.3836 | -14.80 | stop_loss |
| 06-22 16:41 | XRP | Buy | 1.15769→1.13565 | -14.95 | stop_loss |
| 06-22 16:32 | BTC | Buy | 64217.2→64638.8 | +4.22 | timeout |
| 06-22 16:32 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0835649→0.0833092 | -2.99 | timeout |
| 06-22 16:01 | ETH | Buy | 1770.08→1736.96 | -14.72 | stop_loss |
| 06-22 15:06 | ADA | Buy | 0.16091→0.15977 | -5.72 | timeout |
| 06-22 09:10 | SOL | Buy | 73.354→73.8979 | +4.83 | timeout |
| 06-22 05:41 | XRP | Buy | 1.13518→1.13632 | +0.04 | timeout |
| 06-21 19:11 | XRP | Buy | 1.14959→1.14471 | -3.83 | timeout |
| 06-21 18:39 | BTC | Buy | 64358.2→64180.8 | -2.74 | timeout |
| 06-21 18:09 | ETH | Buy | 1732.97→1722.13 | -5.37 | timeout |
| 06-21 17:04 | SOL | Buy | 73.177→74.3848 | +11.63 | timeout |
| 06-21 15:51 | ADA | Buy | 0.16173→0.162139 | +1.24 | timeout |
| 06-21 06:26 | ADA | Buy | 0.162811→0.16063 | -10.55 | timeout |
| 06-20 19:04 | ETH | Buy | 1727.67→1726.63 | -1.15 | timeout |
| 06-20 18:25 | SOL | Buy | 71.5757→71.7052 | +0.61 | timeout |
| 06-20 14:25 | XRP | Buy | 1.15059→1.13582 | -10.38 | timeout |
| 06-20 14:11 | ADA | Buy | 0.162921→0.15978 | -15.18 | stop_loss |
| 06-20 12:55 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0834429→0.0837151 | +1.74 | timeout |
| 06-20 08:26 | ADA | Buy | 0.162961→0.162839 | -1.24 | timeout |
| 06-20 07:57 | BTC | Buy | 63515.2→63660.8 | +0.99 | timeout |
| 06-20 06:20 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0830618→0.083919 | +7.17 | timeout |
| 06-20 02:54 | XRP | Buy | 1.13118→1.13882 | +4.41 | timeout |
| 06-19 22:48 | ETH | Buy | 1708.07→1708.83 | -0.37 | timeout |
| 06-19 15:45 | BTC | Buy | 62510.1→63220.8 | +7.86 | timeout |
| 06-19 12:07 | ADA | Buy | 0.16135→0.15982 | -7.68 | timeout |
| 06-19 02:11 | XRP | Buy | 1.14149→1.14981 | +4.76 | timeout |
| 06-19 01:27 | ETH | Buy | 1673.57→1711.73 | +16.39 | timeout |
| 06-18 15:25 | ADA | Buy | 0.165231→0.162068 | -15.02 | stop_loss |
| 06-18 12:05 | ADA | Buy | 0.166132→0.164889 | -6.32 | timeout |
| 06-18 05:48 | SOL | Buy | 71.4127→70.9264 | -5.71 | timeout |
| 06-17 22:03 | ADA | Buy | 0.167082→0.163877 | -15.06 | stop_loss |
| 06-17 21:46 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0865156→0.0856196 | -8.49 | timeout |
| 06-17 21:45 | SOL | Buy | 72.6219→71.5853 | -11.37 | timeout |
| 06-17 18:05 | BTC | Buy | 65912.3→64668.4 | -14.83 | stop_loss |
| 06-17 18:05 | XRP | Buy | 1.2198→1.1966 | -14.94 | stop_loss |
| 06-17 16:56 | ETH | Buy | 1766.58→1772.02 | +1.58 | timeout |
| 06-17 08:31 | XRP | Buy | 1.22101→1.1978 | -14.88 | stop_loss |
| 06-17 08:19 | DOGE | Buy | 0.088051→0.0863582 | -15.10 | stop_loss |
| 06-17 08:11 | SOL | Buy | 74.1811→72.7847 | -14.74 | stop_loss |
| 06-17 07:19 | ADA | Buy | 0.172173→0.171707 | -2.78 | timeout |
| 06-17 00:40 | ADA | Buy | 0.173213→0.172457 | -3.99 | timeout |
| 06-16 21:09 | BTC | Buy | 66158.3→65896.7 | -3.69 | timeout |
| 06-16 14:23 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0883871→0.0866889 | -15.09 | stop_loss |
| 06-16 14:16 | ADA | Buy | 0.179735→0.176318 | -14.92 | stop_loss |
| 06-16 13:52 | XRP | Buy | 1.24881→1.22498 | -14.99 | stop_loss |
| 06-16 12:33 | ETH | Buy | 1782.38→1839.12 | +23.18 | take_profit |
| 06-16 11:50 | ADA | Buy | 0.177144→0.178305 | +4.24 | timeout |
| 06-16 04:55 | ETH | Buy | 1790.98→1757.05 | -14.88 | stop_loss |
| 06-15 20:00 | ADA | Buy | 0.188517→0.184921 | -14.98 | stop_loss |
| 06-15 19:20 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0897764→0.0888228 | -8.54 | timeout |
| 06-15 13:16 | SOL | Buy | 71.4727→73.7459 | +23.17 | take_profit |
| 06-15 13:16 | ETH | Buy | 1748.67→1804.52 | +23.27 | take_profit |
| 06-15 12:35 | ETH | Buy | 1717.97→1763.62 | +19.22 | timeout |
| 06-15 12:24 | ADA | Buy | 0.180705→0.186403 | +22.94 | take_profit |
| 06-15 05:48 | ETH | Buy | 1718.77→1717.83 | -1.11 | timeout |
| 06-15 05:20 | BTC | Buy | 64808.2→65695.7 | +9.59 | timeout |
| 06-15 01:46 | XRP | Buy | 1.15379→1.1903 | +23.04 | take_profit |
| 06-15 01:04 | ADA | Buy | 0.184346→0.180794 | -15.12 | stop_loss |
| 06-14 21:34 | ADA | Buy | 0.166982→0.172247 | +22.94 | take_profit |
| 06-14 19:09 | SOL | Buy | 68.1132→67.3929 | -8.48 | timeout |
| 06-14 18:51 | BTC | Buy | 64538.2→63769.8 | -9.64 | timeout |
| 06-14 17:31 | XRP | Buy | 1.14379→1.13602 | -5.62 | timeout |
Paper vs Live
Paper (trades.jsonl)
387
closed
42%
win rate
-754.26
total pnl ($)
-25.9 bps
avg bps net
Live (dry_run=0)
0
closed
—
win rate
—
total pnl ($)
—
avg bps net
Live: 0 trades, insufficient sample
Per-symbol breakdown (paper)
| symbol | n | wr | net bps | total pnl ($) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ADA | 89 | 38% | -26.1 | -172.85 |
| BTC | 73 | 47% | -10.5 | -58.59 |
| ETH | 70 | 44% | -13.8 | -72.99 |
| XRP | 58 | 38% | -45.4 | -197.36 |
| SOL | 50 | 44% | -34.8 | -131.01 |
| DOGE | 47 | 38% | -34.3 | -121.46 |
Recent bounces (last 20 of 2)
| time | sym | side | reason |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06-27 22:08 | BTC | Buy | circuit_breaker |
| 06-27 21:53 | DOGE | Buy | circuit_breaker |
Postmortem feed (last 10)
| time | sym | side | pnl | narrative |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-10 06:20 | BTC | Buy | -1.32 | The market was in a neutral to slightly bearish regime with negative funding and moderate open interest. The thesis failed because the trade did not reach its target within the allotted time, resulting in a timeout close and a small loss. |
| 05-10 00:00 | BTC | Buy | +0.80 | BTC was in a mild uptrend with low volatility and neutral funding, showing no strong directional conviction. The thesis failed because the trade expired without hitting any target or stop, as the market remained range-bound and indecisive during the timeout… |
| 05-09 23:49 | ETH | Buy | +3.14 | ETH traded in a narrow range with low volatility, showing a slight hourly gain but remaining flat over 24 hours. The thesis failed because the trade was closed by timeout, indicating the expected directional move did not materialize within the holding period. |
| 05-09 17:39 | ADA | Buy | -3.87 | ADA was declining across all timeframes in a risk-off environment with negative momentum in both BTC and ETH. The thesis failed because the timeout closed the trade before any recovery materialized, locking in a small loss as the downtrend persisted. |
| 05-09 16:13 | BTC | Buy | +1.03 | BTC was in a mild downtrend across all timeframes with low funding and declining open interest. The thesis failed because the trade was closed by timeout without reaching target or stop, as the sideways-to-bearish regime offered no directional catalyst to t… |
| 05-09 10:23 | ADA | Buy | -13.00 | ADA was declining over multiple timeframes with negative 24h and 7d performance, while BTC and ETH also showed weakness. The thesis failed because the timeout closed the trade before a favorable move materialized, as the persistent bearish momentum prevente… |
| 05-09 07:33 | BTC | Buy | +0.25 | BTC was in a mild downtrend across multiple timeframes with low funding and declining open interest. The trade timed out without triggering, as the thesis for a long entry failed to materialize in the prevailing bearish regime. |
| 05-09 03:08 | ADA | Buy | +11.61 | ADA was in a mild downtrend across all timeframes with negative 24h and 7d performance, while funding remained slightly positive. The thesis failed because the trade was closed by timeout without reaching a profit target or stop, as the persistent bearish m… |
| 05-09 02:17 | ETH | Buy | +0.84 | The market was in a mild downtrend with ETH and BTC both declining over multiple timeframes, while funding rates remained neutral. The thesis failed because the trade was closed by timeout, indicating the expected directional move did not materialize within… |
| 05-09 01:07 | BTC | Buy | +2.15 | BTC was in a mild intraday uptick but remained in a broader downtrend over 24h and 7d. The thesis failed because the trade expired via timeout without reaching a target, as the short-term bounce lacked sufficient momentum to overcome the prevailing bearish … |