254
closed trades
43%
win rate
-357.22
total pnl ($)
0.576
weight
7d window — n=52 wr=44% pnl=-106.49
· venues=(unknown)
· horizon=—
· SL=—
· TP=—
· class=? in ?
Backtest evidence
run: 2026-05-21 03:21:02 (37.6d ago) · src: canon
verdict: REJECT
· strict: STRICT-FAIL
· batch:
aqz
n: 267
· wr: 43.4%
· total_bps: -3183.5
· mean_bps: -11.92
· sharpe: -0.11
· max_dd_bps: -4662.9
gate: min_trades=— min_wr=— min_total_bps=— min_sharpe=— effective_days=—
Cumulative P&L (last 100 closed)
Last 100 trades
| time | sym | side | entry→exit | pnl | close |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-27 15:57 | BTC | Buy | 60493→60804 | +2.12 | timeout |
| 06-27 14:39 | ADA | Buy | 0.147447→0.148213 | +2.19 | timeout |
| 06-27 11:41 | SOL | Buy | 72.2378→71.6063 | -4.80 | timeout |
| 06-27 00:13 | ADA | Buy | 0.148037→0.148693 | +1.75 | timeout |
| 06-26 19:31 | SOL | Buy | 71.3017→73.573 | +15.44 | take_profit |
| 06-26 11:27 | BTC | Buy | 59033→59443 | +3.00 | timeout |
| 06-26 10:36 | XRP | Buy | 1.02026→1.03164 | +5.14 | timeout |
| 06-26 09:51 | ADA | Buy | 0.146677→0.143892 | -9.94 | stop_loss |
| 06-26 02:12 | ADA | Buy | 0.143516→0.140774 | -9.96 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 15:14 | ADA | Buy | 0.144236→0.141474 | -10.03 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 13:45 | XRP | Buy | 1.07107→1.05071 | -9.94 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 12:50 | SOL | Buy | 68.1002→68.4107 | +1.82 | timeout |
| 06-25 12:39 | XRP | Buy | 1.07107→1.07453 | +1.17 | timeout |
| 06-25 10:15 | ADA | Buy | 0.147507→0.148763 | +3.80 | timeout |
| 06-25 01:24 | BTC | Buy | 59516→60848 | +10.73 | timeout |
| 06-24 21:29 | ADA | Buy | 0.141275→0.145734 | +15.37 | take_profit |
| 06-24 20:49 | SOL | Buy | 65.7069→67.8008 | +15.49 | take_profit |
| 06-24 15:33 | ADA | Buy | 0.146757→0.143902 | -10.18 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 15:33 | DOGE | Buy | 0.07613→0.074683 | -9.95 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 13:46 | BTC | Buy | 62482.1→61319.3 | -9.75 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 13:22 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0787427→0.077242 | -9.97 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 10:10 | ADA | Buy | 0.151088→0.148189 | -9.98 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 09:41 | BTC | Buy | 62964.1→62625.9 | -3.16 | timeout |
| 06-24 06:36 | SOL | Buy | 69.3964→69.9395 | +3.55 | timeout |
| 06-24 03:02 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0785776→0.0791142 | +2.98 | timeout |
| 06-23 21:31 | XRP | Buy | 1.10148→1.10472 | +1.02 | timeout |
| 06-23 21:31 | BTC | Buy | 62168.1→62530.9 | +2.47 | timeout |
| 06-23 12:56 | ADA | Buy | 0.153228→0.150317 | -9.96 | stop_loss |
| 06-23 08:28 | XRP | Buy | 1.11558→1.09438 | -9.94 | stop_loss |
| 06-23 08:24 | ADA | Buy | 0.154249→0.151306 | -9.95 | stop_loss |
| 06-23 08:24 | DOGE | Buy | 0.079915→0.0783902 | -9.99 | stop_loss |
| 06-23 06:20 | SOL | Buy | 71.3747→70.0315 | -9.85 | stop_loss |
| 06-23 05:43 | ADA | Buy | 0.15853→0.157391 | -4.00 | timeout |
| 06-23 02:10 | BTC | Buy | 64656.2→64051.8 | -5.12 | timeout |
| 06-22 22:27 | SOL | Buy | 73.558→72.1751 | -9.79 | stop_loss |
| 06-22 19:30 | BTC | Buy | 64378.2→64346.8 | -0.71 | timeout |
| 06-22 16:40 | ETH | Buy | 1767.98→1734.86 | -9.81 | stop_loss |
| 06-22 13:39 | ADA | Buy | 0.16002→0.162529 | +7.35 | timeout |
| 06-22 05:14 | XRP | Buy | 1.13108→1.13662 | +1.99 | timeout |
| 06-22 05:13 | ETH | Buy | 1709.47→1736.03 | +7.31 | timeout |
| 06-22 03:24 | BTC | Buy | 64183.2→64296.8 | +0.41 | timeout |
| 06-21 21:09 | XRP | Buy | 1.14419→1.12236 | -10.00 | stop_loss |
| 06-21 21:09 | SOL | Buy | 74.0221→72.6278 | -9.90 | stop_loss |
| 06-21 14:13 | BTC | Buy | 64179.2→64029.8 | -1.59 | timeout |
| 06-21 14:13 | ETH | Buy | 1733.17→1721.73 | -3.74 | timeout |
| 06-21 13:18 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0833698→0.0833242 | -0.76 | timeout |
| 06-21 06:04 | XRP | Buy | 1.14809→1.14321 | -2.55 | timeout |
| 06-21 05:27 | BTC | Buy | 63933.2→64260.8 | +2.11 | timeout |
| 06-21 05:14 | ADA | Buy | 0.163291→0.16014 | -10.09 | stop_loss |
| 06-21 00:43 | ADA | Buy | 0.16143→0.162989 | +4.33 | timeout |
| 06-20 18:48 | XRP | Buy | 1.14829→1.14281 | -2.88 | timeout |
| 06-20 18:25 | SOL | Buy | 71.5917→71.7012 | +0.26 | timeout |
| 06-20 15:03 | DOGE | Buy | 0.084111→0.0834991 | -4.11 | timeout |
| 06-20 09:42 | XRP | Buy | 1.13958→1.14981 | +4.05 | timeout |
| 06-20 09:27 | ADA | Buy | 0.162→0.162919 | +2.37 | timeout |
| 06-20 06:41 | BTC | Buy | 63313.2→63676.8 | +2.42 | timeout |
| 06-19 20:51 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0822105→0.0829902 | +4.27 | timeout |
| 06-19 15:45 | BTC | Buy | 62514.1→63245.8 | +5.43 | timeout |
| 06-19 13:08 | ETH | Buy | 1694.67→1696.83 | +0.18 | timeout |
| 06-19 07:37 | ADA | Buy | 0.162091→0.158881 | -10.33 | stop_loss |
| 06-19 04:56 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0835799→0.0819655 | -10.11 | stop_loss |
| 06-19 03:19 | ADA | Buy | 0.164021→0.160879 | -10.04 | stop_loss |
| 06-19 02:30 | BTC | Buy | 62817.1→62921.9 | +0.42 | timeout |
| 06-18 23:44 | SOL | Buy | 69.0104→69.6476 | +4.12 | timeout |
| 06-18 15:40 | ETH | Buy | 1738.37→1705.48 | -9.91 | stop_loss |
| 06-18 15:37 | XRP | Buy | 1.16369→1.14154 | -9.96 | stop_loss |
| 06-18 15:03 | ADA | Buy | 0.166572→0.163377 | -10.04 | stop_loss |
| 06-18 13:40 | XRP | Buy | 1.17789→1.15553 | -9.93 | stop_loss |
| 06-18 12:06 | ADA | Buy | 0.166262→0.164759 | -5.00 | timeout |
| 06-17 19:29 | ADA | Buy | 0.169162→0.165905 | -10.08 | stop_loss |
| 06-17 19:22 | ADA | Buy | 0.168432→0.167358 | -3.69 | timeout |
| 06-17 19:06 | BTC | Buy | 64661.2→65359.7 | +4.92 | timeout |
| 06-17 16:38 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0861015→0.0872942 | +6.43 | timeout |
| 06-17 09:22 | ADA | Buy | 0.171193→0.168758 | -7.59 | timeout |
| 06-17 08:51 | BTC | Buy | 65770.3→64867.8 | -7.31 | timeout |
| 06-17 08:10 | SOL | Buy | 74.2001→72.7977 | -9.81 | stop_loss |
| 06-16 22:40 | SOL | Buy | 72.8219→73.7439 | +5.87 | timeout |
| 06-16 14:32 | BTC | Buy | 66583.3→65327.1 | -9.89 | stop_loss |
| 06-16 14:31 | ETH | Buy | 1801.98→1768.24 | -9.83 | stop_loss |
| 06-16 14:27 | XRP | Buy | 1.23531→1.21159 | -10.05 | stop_loss |
| 06-16 13:09 | SOL | Buy | 73.518→74.4448 | +5.82 | timeout |
| 06-16 11:07 | BTC | Buy | 65776.3→66457.7 | +4.71 | timeout |
| 06-16 06:48 | DOGE | Buy | 0.087965→0.0875451 | -2.81 | timeout |
| 06-16 04:31 | ETH | Buy | 1793.58→1760.04 | -9.79 | stop_loss |
| 06-16 02:12 | ADA | Buy | 0.179865→0.176418 | -10.05 | stop_loss |
| 06-15 21:03 | XRP | Buy | 1.28282→1.25846 | -9.95 | stop_loss |
| 06-15 19:19 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0902826→0.0885665 | -9.91 | stop_loss |
| 06-15 19:19 | ADA | Buy | 0.189147→0.185491 | -10.12 | stop_loss |
| 06-15 16:39 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0888312→0.0902494 | +7.62 | timeout |
| 06-15 13:20 | SOL | Buy | 71.8948→74.1769 | +15.42 | take_profit |
| 06-15 12:35 | ADA | Buy | 0.180915→0.186853 | +15.95 | take_profit |
| 06-15 07:48 | ADA | Buy | 0.182176→0.180415 | -5.27 | timeout |
| 06-15 05:44 | BTC | Buy | 65298.3→65701.7 | +2.63 | timeout |
| 06-15 05:33 | DOGE | Buy | 0.088162→0.0888488 | +3.39 | timeout |
| 06-14 21:44 | XRP | Buy | 1.13728→1.16801 | +13.11 | timeout |
| 06-14 21:34 | ADA | Buy | 0.166982→0.172247 | +15.30 | take_profit |
| 06-14 21:18 | SOL | Buy | 66.987→69.1126 | +15.49 | take_profit |
| 06-14 17:18 | ETH | Buy | 1670.47→1664.73 | -2.20 | timeout |
| 06-14 14:22 | BTC | Buy | 64375.2→64248.8 | -1.43 | timeout |
| 06-14 13:29 | ADA | Buy | 0.170363→0.167105 | -9.99 | stop_loss |
Paper vs Live
Paper (trades.jsonl)
254
closed
43%
win rate
-357.22
total pnl ($)
-28.1 bps
avg bps net
Live (dry_run=0)
0
closed
—
win rate
—
total pnl ($)
—
avg bps net
Live: 0 trades, insufficient sample
Per-symbol breakdown (paper)
| symbol | n | wr | net bps | total pnl ($) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ADA | 69 | 41% | -32.9 | -113.88 |
| BTC | 40 | 52% | +0.0 | -0.21 |
| SOL | 39 | 54% | +11.8 | +23.44 |
| XRP | 38 | 45% | -53.1 | -100.99 |
| DOGE | 34 | 32% | -33.8 | -57.63 |
| ETH | 34 | 32% | -63.4 | -107.95 |
Recent bounces (last 20 of 2)
| time | sym | side | reason |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06-27 16:39 | XRP | Buy | circuit_breaker |
| 06-27 14:24 | ETH | Buy | circuit_breaker |
Postmortem feed (last 10)
| time | sym | side | pnl | narrative |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| no postmortems | ||||