235
closed trades
39%
win rate
-594.22
total pnl ($)
0.250
weight
7d window — n=56 wr=36% pnl=-220.55
· venues=(unknown)
· horizon=—
· SL=—
· TP=—
· class=? in ?
Backtest evidence
run: 2026-05-20 01:10:13 (33.5d ago) · src: canon
verdict: REJECT
· strict: STRICT-FAIL
· batch:
akw
n: 200
· wr: 43.5%
· total_bps: -1469.2
· mean_bps: -7.35
· sharpe: -0.07
· max_dd_bps: -2120.5
gate: min_trades=— min_wr=— min_total_bps=— min_sharpe=— effective_days=—
Cumulative P&L (last 100 closed)
Last 100 trades
| time | sym | side | entry→exit | pnl | close |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-22 06:10 | SOL | Buy | 72.9289→74.0999 | +11.29 | timeout |
| 06-22 04:24 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0834028→0.0830902 | -3.53 | timeout |
| 06-21 21:09 | XRP | Buy | 1.14499→1.12316 | -14.94 | stop_loss |
| 06-21 21:09 | ADA | Buy | 0.162261→0.159051 | -15.34 | stop_loss |
| 06-21 19:20 | BTC | Buy | 64174.2→64181.8 | -0.59 | timeout |
| 06-21 13:54 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0831448→0.0833322 | +1.02 | timeout |
| 06-21 11:55 | ADA | Buy | 0.162381→0.16095 | -7.31 | timeout |
| 06-21 11:30 | BTC | Buy | 64335.2→64375.8 | -0.17 | timeout |
| 06-21 06:12 | XRP | Buy | 1.14859→1.14351 | -4.06 | timeout |
| 06-21 00:32 | ADA | Buy | 0.16093→0.163009 | +8.95 | timeout |
| 06-20 22:35 | ETH | Buy | 1713.97→1743.33 | +12.11 | timeout |
| 06-20 15:48 | BTC | Buy | 63709.2→64158.8 | +4.61 | timeout |
| 06-20 14:11 | ADA | Buy | 0.162921→0.15978 | -15.18 | stop_loss |
| 06-20 13:09 | SOL | Buy | 71.5187→71.5443 | -0.48 | timeout |
| 06-20 08:24 | BTC | Buy | 63450.2→63482.8 | -0.33 | timeout |
| 06-20 06:00 | XRP | Buy | 1.13128→1.14691 | +9.75 | timeout |
| 06-20 04:57 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0832068→0.0834091 | +1.17 | timeout |
| 06-20 00:05 | SOL | Buy | 69.3444→69.6735 | +2.85 | timeout |
| 06-19 16:58 | XRP | Buy | 1.12618→1.13022 | +2.06 | timeout |
| 06-19 16:40 | ADA | Buy | 0.16056→0.16151 | +3.75 | timeout |
| 06-19 13:09 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0826907→0.0826153 | -1.34 | timeout |
| 06-19 13:08 | ETH | Buy | 1694.67→1696.83 | +0.29 | timeout |
| 06-19 07:37 | XRP | Buy | 1.14499→1.12316 | -14.96 | stop_loss |
| 06-19 06:05 | SOL | Buy | 69.4164→68.7657 | -7.76 | timeout |
| 06-19 03:18 | ADA | Buy | 0.164171→0.161029 | -15.03 | stop_loss |
| 06-19 00:03 | ADA | Buy | 0.16094→0.163319 | +10.62 | timeout |
| 06-18 23:55 | XRP | Buy | 1.14008→1.14641 | +3.44 | timeout |
| 06-18 15:17 | SOL | Buy | 71.5437→70.1454 | -15.32 | stop_loss |
| 06-18 13:44 | ADA | Buy | 0.167002→0.163777 | -15.18 | stop_loss |
| 06-18 13:19 | BTC | Buy | 63945.2→64337.8 | +3.92 | timeout |
| 06-18 13:19 | ETH | Buy | 1729.47→1750.02 | +8.23 | timeout |
| 06-18 06:20 | ADA | Buy | 0.165921→0.164439 | -7.20 | timeout |
| 06-18 04:09 | SOL | Buy | 72.5219→71.1577 | -14.77 | stop_loss |
| 06-18 03:31 | ETH | Buy | 1744.07→1746.13 | +0.16 | timeout |
| 06-17 19:41 | XRP | Buy | 1.202→1.17912 | -14.94 | stop_loss |
| 06-17 19:41 | BTC | Buy | 65362.3→64146.7 | -14.63 | stop_loss |
| 06-17 19:29 | ADA | Buy | 0.169022→0.165636 | -15.76 | stop_loss |
| 06-17 19:06 | BTC | Buy | 64661.2→65359.7 | +7.39 | timeout |
| 06-17 16:50 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0859255→0.0871972 | +10.35 | timeout |
| 06-17 12:30 | SOL | Buy | 72.8899→71.5145 | -14.80 | stop_loss |
| 06-17 09:22 | ADA | Buy | 0.171193→0.168758 | -11.38 | timeout |
| 06-17 09:04 | SOL | Buy | 73.425→72.4111 | -10.99 | timeout |
| 06-17 08:18 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0872798→0.0864474 | -7.88 | timeout |
| 06-17 06:49 | XRP | Buy | 1.2189→1.2124 | -4.69 | timeout |
| 06-16 14:32 | BTC | Buy | 66583.3→65327.1 | -14.84 | stop_loss |
| 06-16 14:23 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0884191→0.0867349 | -14.95 | stop_loss |
| 06-16 14:23 | ADA | Buy | 0.178425→0.175029 | -14.96 | stop_loss |
| 06-16 14:22 | XRP | Buy | 1.24031→1.21669 | -14.96 | stop_loss |
| 06-16 10:13 | BTC | Buy | 66078.3→66502.7 | +4.14 | timeout |
| 06-16 07:22 | ETH | Buy | 1786.98→1771.32 | -7.22 | timeout |
| 06-16 06:48 | DOGE | Buy | 0.087965→0.0875451 | -4.22 | timeout |
| 06-15 22:59 | SOL | Buy | 73.7371→73.7669 | -0.42 | timeout |
| 06-15 22:31 | ADA | Buy | 0.180285→0.176787 | -15.22 | stop_loss |
| 06-15 22:27 | BTC | Buy | 66487.3→66079.7 | -5.30 | timeout |
| 06-15 19:51 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0898715→0.0888368 | -9.20 | timeout |
| 06-15 15:25 | XRP | Buy | 1.22101→1.25988 | +23.21 | take_profit |
| 06-15 13:17 | SOL | Buy | 71.4907→73.7639 | +23.17 | take_profit |
| 06-15 12:35 | ADA | Buy | 0.180915→0.186853 | +23.92 | take_profit |
| 06-15 09:23 | ETH | Buy | 1711.67→1723.53 | +4.50 | timeout |
| 06-15 07:48 | ADA | Buy | 0.182176→0.180415 | -7.91 | timeout |
| 06-15 01:21 | BTC | Buy | 63898.2→65395.7 | +16.89 | timeout |
| 06-14 21:40 | XRP | Buy | 1.13088→1.16651 | +23.02 | take_profit |
| 06-14 21:40 | SOL | Buy | 67.8932→70.0665 | +23.34 | take_profit |
| 06-14 21:33 | SOL | Buy | 67.4091→69.5686 | +23.45 | take_profit |
| 06-14 18:50 | BTC | Buy | 64518.2→63769.8 | -9.42 | timeout |
| 06-14 16:36 | ETH | Buy | 1678.07→1667.03 | -5.57 | timeout |
| 06-14 14:10 | SOL | Buy | 68.4673→67.6359 | -9.71 | timeout |
| 06-14 12:52 | ADA | Buy | 0.171403→0.168144 | -14.89 | stop_loss |
| 06-14 10:32 | ADA | Buy | 0.172943→0.170477 | -11.25 | timeout |
| 06-14 07:54 | ETH | Buy | 1680.07→1674.83 | -3.01 | timeout |
| 06-14 07:54 | BTC | Buy | 64382.2→64395.8 | -0.52 | timeout |
| 06-14 06:06 | SOL | Buy | 68.9613→68.3597 | -7.17 | timeout |
| 06-14 00:08 | BTC | Buy | 64032.2→64424.8 | +3.92 | timeout |
| 06-13 22:45 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0882601→0.087874 | -4.03 | timeout |
| 06-13 20:35 | ADA | Buy | 0.173363→0.171287 | -9.55 | timeout |
| 06-13 16:35 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0871578→0.0876511 | +3.49 | timeout |
| 06-13 15:38 | BTC | Buy | 63799.2→64295.8 | +5.15 | timeout |
| 06-13 13:17 | XRP | Buy | 1.13208→1.15161 | +12.19 | timeout |
| 06-13 11:53 | ADA | Buy | 0.170503→0.173157 | +10.97 | timeout |
| 06-13 05:14 | ADA | Buy | 0.170012→0.170537 | +1.66 | timeout |
| 06-13 00:04 | SOL | Buy | 67.3211→66.79 | -6.45 | timeout |
| 06-12 22:21 | ADA | Buy | 0.169572→0.169678 | -0.24 | timeout |
| 06-12 16:00 | ADA | Buy | 0.169192→0.170387 | +4.60 | timeout |
| 06-12 14:37 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0891923→0.092035 | +23.23 | take_profit |
| 06-12 13:31 | SOL | Buy | 66.793→66.588 | -3.05 | timeout |
| 06-12 13:25 | BTC | Buy | 63455.2→63364.8 | -1.78 | timeout |
| 06-12 13:24 | ETH | Buy | 1666.87→1664.13 | -1.91 | timeout |
| 06-12 05:38 | ADA | Buy | 0.170183→0.171087 | +3.24 | timeout |
| 06-12 02:03 | BTC | Buy | 63552.2→63465.8 | -1.75 | timeout |
| 06-12 01:30 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0854764→0.0857206 | +1.39 | timeout |
| 06-12 01:29 | ETH | Buy | 1652.67→1662.23 | +3.68 | timeout |
| 06-11 18:01 | ADA | Buy | 0.166562→0.171827 | +23.01 | take_profit |
| 06-11 17:01 | ADA | Buy | 0.166772→0.164959 | -8.90 | timeout |
| 06-11 16:48 | BTC | Buy | 62936.1→62624.9 | -4.42 | timeout |
| 06-11 10:58 | ADA | Buy | 0.163161→0.165759 | +11.32 | timeout |
| 06-10 20:11 | BTC | Buy | 61130.1→61768.9 | +7.13 | timeout |
| 06-10 17:38 | SOL | Buy | 64.8937→63.6746 | -14.75 | stop_loss |
| 06-10 17:03 | XRP | Buy | 1.10598→1.11652 | +6.44 | timeout |
| 06-10 13:38 | ADA | Buy | 0.15929→0.164359 | +23.24 | take_profit |
| 06-10 01:32 | ETH | Buy | 1644.96→1655.63 | +4.22 | timeout |
Paper vs Live
Paper (trades.jsonl)
235
closed
39%
win rate
-594.22
total pnl ($)
-33.7 bps
avg bps net
Live (dry_run=0)
0
closed
—
win rate
—
total pnl ($)
—
avg bps net
Live: 0 trades, insufficient sample
Per-symbol breakdown (paper)
| symbol | n | wr | net bps | total pnl ($) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ADA | 56 | 39% | -37.8 | -158.34 |
| SOL | 39 | 33% | -46.5 | -135.35 |
| BTC | 39 | 36% | -12.7 | -37.66 |
| XRP | 38 | 47% | -7.9 | -22.36 |
| ETH | 35 | 43% | -47.2 | -123.76 |
| DOGE | 28 | 32% | -55.5 | -116.74 |
Recent bounces (last 20 of 2)
| time | sym | side | reason |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06-22 11:51 | BTC | Buy | stale_intent |
| 06-21 22:36 | SOL | Buy | stale_intent |
Postmortem feed (last 10)
| time | sym | side | pnl | narrative |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| no postmortems | ||||