coingecko_trending_token_capitulation · strategy

148

closed trades

47%

win rate

-9.05

total pnl ($)

1.045

weight

7d window — n=32 wr=47% pnl=-4.71 · venues=(unknown) · horizon=— · SL=— · TP=— · class=? in ?

Backtest evidence run: 2026-05-18 21:31:19 (34.3d ago) · src: canon

verdict: REJECT · strict: STRICT-FAIL · batch: afe__restored_460dfba0

n: 83 · wr: 41.0% · total_bps: -1175.1 · mean_bps: -14.16 · sharpe: -0.22 · max_dd_bps: -1387.8

gate: min_trades=— min_wr=— min_total_bps=— min_sharpe=— effective_days=—

Cumulative P&L (last 100 closed)

Last 100 trades

time	sym	side	entry→exit	pnl	close
06-22 01:54	BTC	Sell	63758.8→64538.2	-2.62	timeout
06-21 20:24	BTC	Sell	64160.8→64089.2	+0.04	timeout
06-21 14:51	BTC	Sell	64147.8→64033.2	+0.17	timeout
06-21 09:20	BTC	Sell	64426.8→63940.2	+1.34	timeout
06-21 03:52	BTC	Sell	64265.8→64394.2	-0.58	timeout
06-20 22:55	BTC	Sell	63823.8→64265.2	-1.56	timeout
06-20 17:23	BTC	Sell	63703.8→63878.2	-0.73	timeout
06-20 11:49	BTC	Sell	63715.8→63732.2	-0.23	timeout
06-20 06:24	BTC	Sell	63431.8→63707.2	-1.05	timeout
06-20 01:23	BTC	Sell	62954.9→63443.2	-1.73	timeout
06-19 19:54	BTC	Sell	63224.8→63075.2	+0.30	timeout
06-19 14:51	BTC	Sell	62355.9→63289.2	-3.18	timeout
06-19 10:19	BTC	Sell	62584.9→62418.1	+0.35	timeout
06-19 04:20	BTC	Sell	62787.9→62719.1	+0.03	timeout
06-18 22:49	BTC	Sell	62601.9→62837.1	-0.94	timeout
06-18 15:57	BTC	Sell	64348.8→62293.1	+6.19	take_profit
06-18 12:55	BTC	Sell	64405.8→64333.2	+0.04	timeout
06-18 07:19	BTC	Sell	64509.8→64138.2	+0.97	timeout
06-18 01:48	BTC	Sell	64240.8→64510.2	-1.01	timeout
06-17 20:49	BTC	Sell	65678.7→64290.2	+4.05	timeout
06-17 15:22	BTC	Sell	64930.8→65250.3	-1.17	timeout
06-17 10:22	BTC	Sell	65741.7→64938.2	+2.27	timeout
06-17 05:22	BTC	Sell	65706.7→65750.3	-0.31	timeout
06-17 00:23	BTC	Sell	65684.7→65698.3	-0.22	timeout
06-16 18:48	BTC	Sell	66128.7→65903.3	+0.51	timeout
06-16 12:53	BTC	Sell	66327.7→66353.3	-0.25	timeout
06-16 07:23	BTC	Sell	66022.7→66297.3	-1.02	timeout
06-16 01:52	BTC	Sell	66479.7→66374.3	+0.14	timeout
06-15 20:22	BTC	Sell	66621.7→66557.3	+0.02	timeout
06-15 13:22	BTC	Sell	65685.7→66908.8	-3.90	stop_loss
06-15 09:52	BTC	Sell	65659.7→65548.3	+0.16	timeout
06-15 04:23	BTC	Sell	65517.7→65723.3	-0.81	timeout
06-14 21:25	BTC	Sell	63732.8→64919.7	-3.90	stop_loss
06-14 17:52	BTC	Sell	64287.8→63742.2	+1.53	timeout
06-14 12:20	BTC	Sell	64277.8→64459.2	-0.75	timeout
06-14 07:20	BTC	Sell	64605.8→64284.2	+0.82	timeout
06-14 01:52	BTC	Sell	64227.8→64614.2	-1.39	timeout
06-13 20:48	BTC	Sell	64207.8→64227.2	-0.24	timeout
06-13 15:23	BTC	Sell	63740.8→64279.2	-1.87	timeout
06-13 09:51	BTC	Sell	63601.8→63732.2	-0.58	timeout
06-13 05:20	BTC	Sell	63538.8→63554.2	-0.23	timeout
06-13 00:21	BTC	Sell	63658.8→63553.2	+0.16	timeout
06-12 15:13	BTC	Sell	63221.8→64399.4	-3.90	stop_loss
06-12 12:53	BTC	Sell	62977.9→63496.2	-1.82	timeout
06-12 07:53	BTC	Sell	63566.8→62996.1	+1.62	timeout
06-12 02:52	BTC	Sell	63522.8→63575.2	-0.34	timeout
06-11 19:30	BTC	Sell	62757.9→63926.1	-3.90	stop_loss
06-11 15:52	BTC	Sell	63012.8→62620.1	+1.08	timeout
06-11 10:48	BTC	Sell	62618.9→62929.1	-1.16	timeout
06-11 05:22	BTC	Sell	61874.9→62673.1	-2.75	timeout
06-11 00:18	BTC	Sell	61701.9→61893.1	-0.80	timeout
06-10 18:54	BTC	Sell	62159.9→61766.1	+1.09	timeout
06-10 13:21	BTC	Sell	61587.9→61503.1	+0.09	timeout
06-09 21:35	BTC	Sell	61171.9→62023.1	-2.97	timeout
06-09 16:38	BTC	Sell	62546.9→60934	+4.98	timeout
06-09 11:10	BTC	Sell	63350.8→62620.1	+2.12	timeout
06-09 05:37	BTC	Sell	62633.9→63434.2	-2.73	timeout
06-09 00:04	BTC	Sell	63506.8→63057.2	+1.24	timeout
06-08 18:04	BTC	Sell	63690.8→63567.2	+0.22	timeout
06-08 12:36	BTC	Sell	63179.8→63224.2	-0.32	timeout
06-08 07:33	BTC	Sell	62966.9→63155.2	-0.78	timeout
06-07 22:13	BTC	Sell	61512.9→62659.4	-3.91	stop_loss
06-07 19:36	BTC	Sell	62249.9→61328.1	+2.78	timeout
06-07 13:38	BTC	Sell	62634.9→61680.1	+2.87	timeout
06-07 08:36	BTC	Sell	61588.9→62589.1	-3.43	timeout
06-07 03:08	BTC	Sell	60596→61471.1	-3.06	timeout
06-06 21:33	BTC	Sell	60535→60915	-1.44	timeout
06-06 16:05	BTC	Sell	60650→60845	-0.83	timeout
06-05 12:49	BTC	Sell	62887.9→61955.1	+2.79	timeout
06-05 06:23	BTC	Sell	63135.8→61499.1	+5.00	timeout
06-05 00:52	BTC	Sell	63698.8→63604.2	+0.11	timeout
06-04 19:49	BTC	Sell	63871.8→63714.2	+0.31	timeout
06-04 13:19	BTC	Sell	63443.8→63295.2	+0.28	timeout
06-04 09:49	BTC	Sell	64341.8→62997.1	+3.99	timeout
06-04 00:29	BTC	Sell	65587.7→63495.2	+6.20	take_profit
06-03 17:51	BTC	Sell	67079.6→65918.3	+3.29	timeout
06-03 09:50	BTC	Sell	66404.7→67033.4	-2.06	timeout
06-03 03:53	BTC	Sell	66501.7→65788.3	+1.97	timeout
06-02 20:49	BTC	Sell	67210.6→67448.4	-0.89	timeout
06-02 12:54	BTC	Sell	70100.5→69045.5	+2.84	timeout
06-02 10:52	BTC	Sell	70380.5→69590.5	+2.08	timeout
06-02 04:23	BTC	Sell	71377.4→70825.5	+1.38	timeout
06-01 01:47	BTC	Sell	73677.3→73463.7	+0.41	timeout
05-31 17:52	BTC	Sell	73900.3→73667.7	+0.45	timeout
05-31 10:49	BTC	Sell	74060.3→73803.7	+0.52	timeout
05-31 04:54	BTC	Sell	73805.3→74198.7	-1.24	timeout
05-31 00:49	BTC	Sell	74022.3→73905.7	+0.14	timeout
05-30 14:54	BTC	Sell	73573.3→73896.7	-1.05	timeout
05-30 12:50	BTC	Sell	73502.3→73645.7	-0.57	timeout
05-30 03:21	BTC	Sell	73518.3→73730.7	-0.75	timeout
05-29 18:18	BTC	Sell	73091.3→73872.7	-2.31	timeout
05-29 12:51	BTC	Sell	73390.3→73273.7	+0.14	timeout
05-29 06:24	BTC	Sell	73590.3→73394.7	+0.36	timeout
05-29 01:23	BTC	Sell	73598.3→73606.7	-0.19	timeout
05-28 19:26	BTC	Sell	73085.3→73496.7	-1.29	timeout
05-28 13:54	BTC	Sell	73306.3→72948.6	+0.80	timeout
05-28 08:23	BTC	Sell	73809.3→73298.7	+1.20	timeout
05-28 02:53	BTC	Sell	74376.3→74317.7	-0.02	timeout
05-27 21:52	BTC	Sell	75220.2→74370.7	+2.08	timeout
05-27 16:23	BTC	Sell	75976.2→75045.8	+2.27	timeout

Paper vs Live

Paper (trades.jsonl)

148

closed

47%

win rate

-9.05

total pnl ($)

-3.2 bps

avg bps net

Live (dry_run=0)

closed

—

win rate

—

total pnl ($)

—

avg bps net

Live: 0 trades, insufficient sample

Per-symbol breakdown (paper)

symbol	n	wr	net bps	total pnl ($)
BTC	148	47%	-3.2	-9.05

Recent bounces (last 20 of 0)

time	sym	side	reason
no bounces recorded

Postmortem feed (last 10)

time	sym	side	pnl	narrative
no postmortems

More…