18
closed trades
39%
win rate
+26.98
total pnl ($)
1.338
weight
7d window — n=2 wr=100% pnl=+18.85
· venues=(unknown)
· horizon=—
· SL=—
· TP=—
· class=? in ?
Backtest evidence
run: 2026-05-16 23:05:12 (41.7d ago) · src: canon
verdict: REJECT
· strict: STRICT-FAIL
· batch:
adu
n: 11
· wr: 27.3%
· total_bps: -589.2
· mean_bps: -53.57
· sharpe: -0.45
· max_dd_bps: -862.5
gate: min_trades=— min_wr=— min_total_bps=— min_sharpe=— effective_days=—
Cumulative P&L (last 18 closed)
Last 100 trades
| time | sym | side | entry→exit | pnl | close |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-25 13:51 | BTC | Sell | 61842.9→59126 | +15.05 | take_profit |
| 06-23 05:51 | BTC | Sell | 64148.8→63398.2 | +3.80 | timeout |
| 06-20 14:47 | BTC | Sell | 63247.8→63854.2 | -3.62 | timeout |
| 06-18 02:49 | BTC | Sell | 65844.7→64692.2 | +5.84 | timeout |
| 06-15 03:50 | BTC | Sell | 64413.8→66000.3 | -8.92 | stop_loss |
| 06-12 20:08 | BTC | Sell | 63549.8→63676.2 | -1.01 | timeout |
| 06-10 08:04 | BTC | Sell | 63050.8→61677.1 | +7.22 | timeout |
| 06-07 05:18 | BTC | Sell | 60680→62177.2 | -8.96 | stop_loss |
| 06-03 23:38 | BTC | Sell | 67210.6→64256.2 | +15.07 | take_profit |
| 06-01 00:48 | BTC | Sell | 73893.3→73984.7 | -0.75 | timeout |
| 05-29 12:26 | BTC | Sell | 73257.3→73289.7 | -0.45 | timeout |
| 05-25 10:51 | BTC | Sell | 77101.1→77497.9 | -2.04 | timeout |
| 05-22 22:51 | BTC | Sell | 77569.1→75714.8 | +8.10 | timeout |
| 05-20 10:35 | BTC | Sell | 76906.2→77609.9 | -3.43 | timeout |
| 05-17 06:06 | BTC | Sell | 78988.1→78114.9 | +3.56 | timeout |
| 05-12 22:43 | BTC | Sell | 81715.9→81724.1 | -0.33 | timeout |
| 05-12 02:05 | BTC | Sell | 81486.9→81724.1 | -1.34 | timeout |
| 05-09 12:25 | BTC | Sell | 80251→80363 | -0.80 | timeout |
Paper vs Live
Paper (trades.jsonl)
18
closed
39%
win rate
+26.98
total pnl ($)
+42.4 bps
avg bps net
Live (dry_run=0)
0
closed
—
win rate
—
total pnl ($)
—
avg bps net
Live: 0 trades, insufficient sample
Per-symbol breakdown (paper)
| symbol | n | wr | net bps | total pnl ($) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BTC | 18 | 39% | +42.4 | +26.98 |
Recent bounces (last 20 of 0)
| time | sym | side | reason |
|---|---|---|---|
| no bounces recorded | |||
Postmortem feed (last 10)
| time | sym | side | pnl | narrative |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-09 12:25 | BTC | Sell | -0.80 | The market was in a persistent downtrend across timeframes, with BTC declining 1.92% in 24 hours and 1.70% over the week. The short thesis failed because the trade expired via timeout before the expected continuation materialized, resulting in a small loss … |