4
closed trades
50%
win rate
-2.93
total pnl ($)
1.250
weight
7d window — n=0 wr=0% pnl=+0.00
· venues=(unknown)
· horizon=—
· SL=—
· TP=—
· class=? in ?
Backtest evidence
run: 2026-05-19 08:05:19 (39.7d ago) · src: canon
verdict: INSUFFICIENT_HISTORY
· strict: STRICT-FAIL
· batch:
hw
n: 3
· wr: 33.3%
· total_bps: -163.2
· mean_bps: -54.42
· sharpe: -0.40
· max_dd_bps: -300.1
gate: min_trades=— min_wr=— min_total_bps=— min_sharpe=— effective_days=—
Cumulative P&L (last 4 closed)
Last 100 trades
| time | sym | side | entry→exit | pnl | close |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-01 16:14 | ETH | Buy | 1984.6→1966.4 | -5.06 | timeout |
| 05-30 10:25 | ETH | Buy | 2012.1→2019.3 | +1.32 | timeout |
| 05-07 16:34 | ETH | Buy | 2320.63→2294.37 | -6.15 | timeout |
| 05-04 19:01 | ETH | Buy | 2326.23→2360.66 | +6.96 | timeout |
Paper vs Live
Paper (trades.jsonl)
4
closed
50%
win rate
-2.93
total pnl ($)
-14.3 bps
avg bps net
Live (dry_run=0)
0
closed
—
win rate
—
total pnl ($)
—
avg bps net
Live: 0 trades, insufficient sample
Per-symbol breakdown (paper)
| symbol | n | wr | net bps | total pnl ($) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ETH | 4 | 50% | -14.3 | -2.93 |
Recent bounces (last 20 of 0)
| time | sym | side | reason |
|---|---|---|---|
| no bounces recorded | |||
Postmortem feed (last 10)
| time | sym | side | pnl | narrative |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-07 16:34 | ETH | Buy | -6.15 | The market was in a low-volatility, sideways grind with neutral funding and steady open interest. The thesis failed because the trade was closed by timeout, indicating the expected directional move did not materialize within the holding period. |
| 05-04 19:01 | ETH | Buy | +6.96 | The market was in a neutral state with ETH trading flat on the hour and slightly down over 24 hours while funding rates remained near zero. The trade failed because the entry was never executed, resulting in a timeout close rather than a realized profit or … |