70
closed trades
41%
win rate
-4.44
total pnl ($)
1.228
weight
7d window — n=1 wr=100% pnl=+0.23
· venues=(unknown)
· horizon=—
· SL=—
· TP=—
· class=? in ?
Backtest evidence
run: 2026-05-17 01:04:28 (41.8d ago) · src: canon
verdict: REJECT
· strict: STRICT-FAIL
· batch:
restored_cme_futures_gap_momentum_follow
n: 298
· wr: 37.2%
· total_bps: -5972.1
· mean_bps: -20.04
· sharpe: -0.20
· max_dd_bps: -6344.3
gate: min_trades=— min_wr=— min_total_bps=— min_sharpe=— effective_days=—
Cumulative P&L (last 70 closed)
Last 100 trades
| time | sym | side | entry→exit | pnl | close |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-22 03:23 | BTC | Buy | 63723.2→64240.8 | +0.23 | timeout |
| 06-17 01:35 | BTC | Buy | 65689.3→65560.7 | -0.09 | timeout |
| 06-16 23:30 | BTC | Buy | 65742.3→65703.7 | -0.05 | timeout |
| 06-16 21:26 | BTC | Buy | 65732.3→65707.7 | -0.04 | timeout |
| 06-16 19:22 | BTC | Buy | 65726.3→65686.7 | -0.05 | timeout |
| 06-16 17:22 | BTC | Buy | 66145.3→65702.7 | -0.25 | timeout |
| 06-16 14:19 | BTC | Buy | 66516.3→65611.9 | -0.47 | stop_loss |
| 06-16 13:10 | BTC | Buy | 66731.3→66096.7 | -0.34 | timeout |
| 06-16 11:08 | BTC | Buy | 66419.3→66446.7 | -0.02 | timeout |
| 06-16 09:03 | BTC | Buy | 65967.3→66803.7 | +0.38 | timeout |
| 06-16 07:02 | BTC | Buy | 65735.3→66371.7 | +0.29 | timeout |
| 06-16 05:02 | BTC | Buy | 66264.3→65883.7 | -0.22 | timeout |
| 06-16 03:00 | BTC | Buy | 66179.3→65696.7 | -0.27 | timeout |
| 06-16 00:57 | BTC | Buy | 66483.3→66212.7 | -0.16 | timeout |
| 06-15 22:54 | BTC | Buy | 66815.3→66201.7 | -0.33 | timeout |
| 06-15 20:54 | BTC | Buy | 67103.4→66491.7 | -0.33 | timeout |
| 06-15 18:48 | BTC | Buy | 66623.3→66841.7 | +0.08 | timeout |
| 06-15 16:46 | BTC | Buy | 66444.3→67104.6 | +0.29 | timeout |
| 06-15 14:41 | BTC | Buy | 65721.3→66505.7 | +0.36 | timeout |
| 06-15 12:39 | BTC | Buy | 65690.3→66301.7 | +0.27 | timeout |
| 06-15 10:37 | BTC | Buy | 65803.3→65709.7 | -0.08 | timeout |
| 06-15 08:33 | BTC | Buy | 65691.3→65676.7 | -0.04 | timeout |
| 06-15 06:30 | BTC | Buy | 65628.3→65927.7 | +0.12 | timeout |
| 06-15 04:25 | BTC | Buy | 65678.3→65709.7 | -0.01 | timeout |
| 06-15 02:21 | BTC | Buy | 65177.3→65662.7 | +0.21 | timeout |
| 06-09 14:39 | BTC | Buy | 62186.1→61340.2 | -0.47 | stop_loss |
| 06-09 14:11 | BTC | Buy | 62825.1→61966.9 | -0.47 | stop_loss |
| 06-09 14:02 | BTC | Buy | 62728.1→62345.9 | -0.23 | timeout |
| 06-09 11:59 | BTC | Buy | 63180.2→62679.9 | -0.29 | timeout |
| 06-09 09:57 | BTC | Buy | 63318.2→62688.9 | -0.35 | timeout |
| 06-09 07:54 | BTC | Buy | 62725.1→63171.8 | +0.20 | timeout |
| 06-09 05:52 | BTC | Buy | 62753.1→63360.8 | +0.29 | timeout |
| 06-09 03:50 | BTC | Buy | 63002.1→62771.9 | -0.15 | timeout |
| 06-09 00:21 | BTC | Buy | 63752.2→62885.4 | -0.47 | stop_loss |
| 06-08 23:41 | BTC | Buy | 63443.2→63107.8 | -0.20 | timeout |
| 06-08 21:37 | BTC | Buy | 63390.2→63723.8 | +0.14 | timeout |
| 06-08 19:30 | BTC | Buy | 63933.2→63502.8 | -0.25 | timeout |
| 06-08 17:24 | BTC | Buy | 63739.2→63484.8 | -0.16 | timeout |
| 06-08 12:14 | BTC | Buy | 63526.2→62656.5 | -0.47 | stop_loss |
| 06-08 12:05 | BTC | Buy | 63605.2→62740.5 | -0.47 | stop_loss |
| 06-08 11:17 | BTC | Buy | 63093.2→63406.8 | +0.13 | timeout |
| 06-08 09:11 | BTC | Buy | 62624.1→63235.8 | +0.29 | timeout |
| 06-08 05:09 | BTC | Buy | 63322.2→62585.9 | -0.41 | timeout |
| 06-08 05:07 | BTC | Buy | 63364.2→62500.6 | -0.47 | stop_loss |
| 06-08 03:03 | BTC | Buy | 62974.1→63040.8 | +0.00 | timeout |
| 06-01 02:55 | BTC | Buy | 73945.7→73716.3 | -0.13 | timeout |
| 05-20 00:41 | BTC | Sell | 76922.2→76692.8 | +0.07 | timeout |
| 05-19 22:41 | BTC | Sell | 76794.2→76722.8 | +0.00 | timeout |
| 05-19 20:41 | BTC | Sell | 76729.2→76929.8 | -0.11 | timeout |
| 05-19 18:41 | BTC | Sell | 76457.2→76800.8 | -0.17 | timeout |
| 05-19 16:40 | BTC | Sell | 76861.2→76677.8 | +0.05 | timeout |
| 05-19 14:40 | BTC | Sell | 76865.2→76425.8 | +0.16 | timeout |
| 05-19 12:40 | BTC | Sell | 77118.1→76868.8 | +0.08 | timeout |
| 05-19 10:40 | BTC | Sell | 77029.1→76872.8 | +0.04 | timeout |
| 05-19 08:40 | BTC | Sell | 76861.2→77125.9 | -0.14 | timeout |
| 05-19 06:40 | BTC | Sell | 76744.2→77036.9 | -0.15 | timeout |
| 05-19 04:39 | BTC | Sell | 77162.1→76813.8 | +0.12 | timeout |
| 05-19 02:39 | BTC | Sell | 77116.1→76774.8 | +0.12 | timeout |
| 05-19 00:38 | BTC | Sell | 77063.1→77213.9 | -0.09 | timeout |
| 05-18 22:39 | BTC | Sell | 76286.2→77132.9 | -0.39 | timeout |
| 05-18 20:38 | BTC | Sell | 76467.2→77071.9 | -0.29 | timeout |
| 05-18 18:38 | BTC | Sell | 76437.2→76357.8 | +0.01 | timeout |
| 05-18 16:37 | BTC | Sell | 77493.1→76458.8 | +0.40 | timeout |
| 05-18 14:37 | BTC | Sell | 76786.2→76292.8 | +0.18 | timeout |
| 05-18 12:37 | BTC | Sell | 76877.2→77500.9 | -0.29 | timeout |
| 05-18 10:37 | BTC | Sell | 76744.2→76779.8 | -0.04 | timeout |
| 05-18 08:36 | BTC | Sell | 76818.2→76875.8 | -0.05 | timeout |
| 05-18 06:36 | BTC | Sell | 76863.2→76767.8 | +0.01 | timeout |
| 05-18 04:35 | BTC | Sell | 77029.1→76798.8 | +0.07 | timeout |
| 05-18 02:35 | BTC | Sell | 78070.1→76966.8 | +0.43 | timeout |
Paper vs Live
Paper (trades.jsonl)
70
closed
41%
win rate
-4.44
total pnl ($)
-19.6 bps
avg bps net
Live (dry_run=0)
0
closed
—
win rate
—
total pnl ($)
—
avg bps net
Live: 0 trades, insufficient sample
Per-symbol breakdown (paper)
| symbol | n | wr | net bps | total pnl ($) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BTC | 70 | 41% | -19.6 | -4.44 |
Recent bounces (last 20 of 0)
| time | sym | side | reason |
|---|---|---|---|
| no bounces recorded | |||
Postmortem feed (last 10)
| time | sym | side | pnl | narrative |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| no postmortems | ||||