19
closed trades
32%
win rate
-35.58
total pnl ($)
1.140
weight
7d window — n=2 wr=50% pnl=-4.12
· venues=(unknown)
· horizon=—
· SL=—
· TP=—
· class=? in ?
Backtest evidence
run: 2026-06-03 16:33:02 (18.9d ago) · src: canon
verdict: REJECT
· strict: STRICT-FAIL
· batch:
strategies_batch_bj
n: 174
· wr: 40.8%
· total_bps: -2004.3
· mean_bps: -11.52
· sharpe: -0.14
· max_dd_bps: -2459.1
gate: min_trades=— min_wr=— min_total_bps=— min_sharpe=— effective_days=—
Cumulative P&L (last 19 closed)
Last 100 trades
| time | sym | side | entry→exit | pnl | close |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-21 01:04 | BTC | Buy | 63908.2→64282.8 | +2.47 | timeout |
| 06-18 05:03 | BTC | Buy | 64544.2→63751.8 | -6.59 | timeout |
| 06-09 23:03 | BTC | Buy | 61641.1→62016.9 | +2.61 | timeout |
| 06-08 12:05 | BTC | Buy | 62814.1→62975.9 | +0.83 | timeout |
| 06-05 05:58 | BTC | Buy | 63504.2→62318.7 | -9.78 | stop_loss |
| 06-03 16:01 | BTC | Buy | 67204.4→65953.7 | -9.77 | stop_loss |
| 06-01 02:04 | BTC | Buy | 73724.7→73360.3 | -2.94 | timeout |
| 05-31 06:01 | BTC | Buy | 74054.7→74015.3 | -0.73 | timeout |
| 05-29 11:34 | BTC | Buy | 73685.7→73520.3 | -1.58 | timeout |
| 05-29 03:03 | BTC | Buy | 73812.7→73220.3 | -4.49 | timeout |
| 05-24 15:01 | BTC | Buy | 76903.8→76384.2 | -3.83 | timeout |
| 05-19 22:00 | BTC | Buy | 76882.8→76935.2 | -0.14 | timeout |
| 05-18 13:01 | BTC | Buy | 77084.9→77584.1 | +2.77 | timeout |
| 05-11 03:13 | BTC | Buy | 82160.1→80636.6 | -9.74 | stop_loss |
| 05-09 17:02 | BTC | Buy | 80299→80596 | +1.39 | timeout |
| 05-09 14:02 | BTC | Buy | 80375→80343 | -0.65 | timeout |
| 05-04 07:00 | BTC | Buy | 79848→79786 | -0.85 | timeout |
| 05-02 12:00 | BTC | Buy | 78295.9→78101.1 | -1.69 | timeout |
| 04-22 05:01 | BTC | Buy | 76293→77436 | +7.14 | timeout |
Paper vs Live
Paper (trades.jsonl)
19
closed
32%
win rate
-35.58
total pnl ($)
-37.3 bps
avg bps net
Live (dry_run=0)
0
closed
—
win rate
—
total pnl ($)
—
avg bps net
Live: 0 trades, insufficient sample
Per-symbol breakdown (paper)
| symbol | n | wr | net bps | total pnl ($) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BTC | 19 | 32% | -37.3 | -35.58 |
Recent bounces (last 20 of 0)
| time | sym | side | reason |
|---|---|---|---|
| no bounces recorded | |||
Postmortem feed (last 10)
| time | sym | side | pnl | narrative |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-09 17:02 | BTC | Buy | +1.39 | The market was in a mild downtrend across timeframes, with BTC and ETH both declining over the past 24 hours and week. The thesis failed because the trade was closed due to a timeout, indicating the expected price move did not materialize within the allotte… |
| 05-09 14:02 | BTC | Buy | -0.65 | The market was in a mild downtrend with BTC down 1.62% over 24 hours and negative momentum across the week. The thesis failed because the trade was not triggered before the timeout, resulting in a small negative PnL from holding costs or slippage. |
| 05-02 12:00 | BTC | Buy | -1.69 | At market close, Bitcoin was trading sideways near $78,137 with minimal intraday momentum (-0.05% 1h) despite a positive 24h gain of 0.91%, reflecting a loss of bullish conviction after the initial morning strength. The morning star pattern's third candle f… |
| 04-22 05:01 | BTC | Buy | +7.14 | Bitcoin was consolidating near $77,840 with minimal hourly and daily volatility (-0.04% over 24h) after a modest weekly gain of 3.72%. The morning star reversal pattern's third candle failed to sustain momentum beyond the initial breakout, as price stalled … |