16
closed trades
38%
win rate
-13.67
total pnl ($)
1.227
weight
7d window — n=0 wr=0% pnl=+0.00
· venues=(unknown)
· horizon=—
· SL=—
· TP=—
· class=? in ?
Cumulative P&L (last 16 closed)
Last 100 trades
| time | sym | side | entry→exit | pnl | close |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-25 18:30 | BTC | Buy | 77358.9→77590.1 | +1.01 | timeout |
| 05-15 19:39 | BTC | Sell | 79247→79129 | +0.29 | timeout |
| 05-12 04:43 | BTC | Buy | 81724.1→81715.9 | -0.52 | timeout |
| 05-11 03:13 | BTC | Buy | 82160.1→80636.6 | -9.74 | stop_loss |
| 05-07 20:39 | BTC | Sell | 80056→79934 | +0.33 | timeout |
| 05-06 23:17 | BTC | Sell | 81425.9→81200.1 | +0.92 | timeout |
| 05-04 21:13 | BTC | Buy | 80006→80043 | -0.19 | timeout |
| 05-04 08:10 | BTC | Buy | 79904→79703 | -1.72 | timeout |
| 05-01 21:25 | BTC | Buy | 78436.9→77904.1 | -3.83 | timeout |
| 05-01 09:24 | BTC | Buy | 77303.9→77335.1 | -0.26 | timeout |
| 04-29 22:35 | BTC | Sell | 75776→75899 | -1.26 | timeout |
| 04-29 10:34 | BTC | Buy | 77147→77771 | +3.59 | timeout |
| 04-28 19:29 | BTC | Sell | 76069→76116 | -0.76 | timeout |
| 04-28 01:38 | BTC | Sell | 76528→77160 | -4.58 | timeout |
| 04-27 13:36 | BTC | Sell | 77562→77735 | -1.57 | timeout |
| 04-27 01:13 | BTC | Buy | 78346→79137 | +4.60 | timeout |
Paper vs Live
Paper (trades.jsonl)
16
closed
38%
win rate
-13.67
total pnl ($)
-17.0 bps
avg bps net
Live (dry_run=0)
0
closed
—
win rate
—
total pnl ($)
—
avg bps net
Live: 0 trades, insufficient sample
Per-symbol breakdown (paper)
| symbol | n | wr | net bps | total pnl ($) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BTC | 16 | 38% | -17.0 | -13.67 |
Recent bounces (last 20 of 0)
| time | sym | side | reason |
|---|---|---|---|
| no bounces recorded | |||
Postmortem feed (last 10)
| time | sym | side | pnl | narrative |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-07 20:39 | BTC | Sell | +0.33 | The market was in a low-funding, sideways consolidation with stable open interest. The thesis failed because the trade was closed by timeout without reaching a target or stop, indicating the expected directional move did not materialize within the allotted … |
| 05-06 23:17 | BTC | Sell | +0.92 | The market was in a neutral range with low funding and steady open interest, offering no clear directional edge. The thesis failed because the trade expired without reaching a target or stop, as the timeout close captured only minor noise rather than a deci… |
| 05-04 21:13 | BTC | Buy | -0.19 | The market was in a neutral consolidation phase with flat funding rates and modest weekly gains for Bitcoin. The trade failed because the position was closed due to a timeout, preventing any realization of potential profit or loss from the initial entry. |
| 05-01 21:25 | BTC | Buy | -3.83 | # Trade Analysis: BTC Whale Regime Follow (Closed) Bitcoin rallied 2.20% over 24 hours into the close, sustaining the whale accumulation signal (533 txs across 24h buckets) that triggered the long entry, but the 6-hour horizon expired before the thesis cou… |
| 05-01 09:24 | BTC | Buy | -0.26 | BTC was consolidating near $77,277 with modest positive momentum over 24h (+1.40%) but slight weakness intraday (-0.14% in the last hour), while funding rates remained benign at 0.39% basis. The whale regime signal—560 transactions across 24h with the large… |
| 04-29 22:35 | BTC | Sell | -1.26 | BTC was consolidating near $75,888 with minimal directional pressure (1h: +0.05%, 24h: -0.57%), having already absorbed the -1.56% decline that triggered the whale-following short signal. The thesis failed because the sustained whale regime signal (521 tran… |
| 04-29 10:34 | BTC | Buy | +3.59 | BTC was consolidating near $77,603 with modest intraday momentum (+0.29% in the past hour, +1.32% over 24h) while funding rates had turned slightly negative, signaling reduced leverage appetite after the initial move higher. The whale-regime signal worked b… |
| 04-27 13:36 | BTC | Sell | -1.57 | The market was largely range-bound at BTC $77,829 with minimal directional conviction (1h +0.12%, 24h -0.17%), failing to extend the initial 1.51% decline that triggered the whale-following short signal. The trade's thesis collapsed because the sustained wh… |
| 04-27 01:13 | BTC | Buy | +4.60 | BTC was grinding higher with steady momentum, up 1.75% over 24 hours and 6.84% over the week, as the market maintained bullish pressure across the board. The whale regime signal correctly identified sustained accumulation (328 whale transactions across favo… |