4
closed trades
25%
win rate
-20.54
total pnl ($)
1.234
weight
7d window — n=1 wr=0% pnl=-3.27
· venues=(unknown)
· horizon=—
· SL=—
· TP=—
· class=? in ?
Backtest evidence
run: 2026-06-04 04:34:32 (24.4d ago) · src: canon
verdict: REJECT
· strict: STRICT-FAIL
· batch:
dt
n: 31
· wr: 54.8%
· total_bps: +654.3
· mean_bps: +21.11
· sharpe: +0.17
· max_dd_bps: -659.6
gate: min_trades=— min_wr=— min_total_bps=— min_sharpe=— effective_days=—
Cumulative P&L (last 4 closed)
Last 100 trades
| time | sym | side | entry→exit | pnl | close |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-22 08:47 | BTC | Sell | 63801.8→64167.2 | -3.27 | timeout |
| 06-14 21:40 | BTC | Sell | 63888.8→65469 | -12.81 | stop_loss |
| 06-01 02:22 | BTC | Sell | 73579.3→73494.7 | +0.17 | timeout |
| 04-26 15:34 | BTC | Sell | 77345→77992 | -4.63 | timeout |
Paper vs Live
Paper (trades.jsonl)
4
closed
25%
win rate
-20.54
total pnl ($)
-103.2 bps
avg bps net
Live (dry_run=0)
0
closed
—
win rate
—
total pnl ($)
—
avg bps net
Live: 0 trades, insufficient sample
Per-symbol breakdown (paper)
| symbol | n | wr | net bps | total pnl ($) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BTC | 4 | 25% | -103.2 | -20.54 |
Recent bounces (last 20 of 0)
| time | sym | side | reason |
|---|---|---|---|
| no bounces recorded | |||
Postmortem feed (last 10)
| time | sym | side | pnl | narrative |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-26 15:34 | BTC | Sell | -4.63 | BTC was trading sideways to slightly positive near $78,062, up 2.68% over the week with minimal hourly movement (-0.01%) and modest 24-hour gains (0.45%). The short thesis failed because price rallied $647 from the 77,345 entry to close at 77,992, breaking … |